Maybe. we need to consider that Kakko was almost as productive as Zegras 5v5 last season, (2.02 vs 1.76 pts / 60) but Kakko with less ice time, opportunity and no PP has lower overall production. I think the gap with the 2 isn’t what it seems. If there is a significant pricing gap between the 2, I go for Kakko for sure.
kakko I would buy . Winnipeg 1st + Harris is my offer .
Top 6 next year
Caufield Suzuki Slafkovsky
Newhook Dach Kakko
I think we would need to add a 2025 2nd rounder (either ours or the Pens) to make it work. If I was them, and Kakko wasn't in my plans, I would seriously consider it. Harris kinda sucks, though.
Honestly, if you're doing a deep dive into analytics, then the gap between the two is significant. And frankly, if Montreal's paying big (like, say, a 1st and a young D plus a 2nd), then I'd probably want someone that has shown flashes of being more than a middle 6 winger.
Lets look practically at what Montreal needs and what Kakko is. He has around 300 NHL games in the regular season and playoffs and is generally a mediocre 5v5 player and average PP and PK guy. He's a strong defensive player 5v5 and decent off the rush. He's also not a great skater, doesn't have a strong shot and a poor playmaker.
He feels live a very Bergevin-like target. Along the lines of a Shaw or Anderson. I don't see that he's going to be the kind of impact player some here seem to think.
Zegras has struggled defensively thus far in his career (although he was improving this season before being hurt) and isn't quite as good off the rush, but he has a significantly better shot, he's a much better playmaker, more productive and a much more multifaceted player. There just seems to be more room to grow there.
Costs depend on if it makes sense or not, but for me, I'd rather pay more for Zegras than play less for Kakko, because I think it'll cost less to get a Kakko-type player from other places. Especially if Kakko costs a 1st+.