If we did acquire Lafrenière, it would have to be for something like a young D and CAL's 1st round pick, or Anderson at 2.75M - 3M, plus tweaking the trade to make the salaries fit.
Montreal would become that much younger, but not insanely so.
I put Lafrenière on a second line with Slafkovsky and Newhook toggle him more ice time than in New York, but less responsibilities than by playing with Caufield and Suzuki in a first line role against the opponents' best players.
That and playing Caufield andSuzuki with a veteran like Monahan best addresses the continued development of Caufield, Suzuki, Slafkovsky, Newhook AND Lafrenière.
Next year, or by the trade deadline, if we move Monahan, Lafrenière could be considered to play with Caufield and Suzuki, although, ultimately, the ideal candidate should come to be Slafkovsky, if the hockey IQ proves to be a match (that could stile a few years off, though, as Slafkovsky gains more experience and matures into his large frame).
Caufield - Suzuki - Monahan
Slafkovsky - Newhook - Lafrenière
RHP - Dvorak - Roy (if Anderson traded for Lafrenière)
Pearson - Evans - Ylonen
*Gallagher*, *Pezzetta*
Caufield and Suzuki get the winger that can help them take the next step forward, Lafrenière plays on his off side to maximize exploiting his shot. Roy comes up from Laval with less pressure in a two-way, 3rd line role. Win-Win-Win.
I think it’s safe to assume the Habs wouldn’t subsidise 50% of Anderson’s salary for the remainder of its term, so acquiring Lafrenière would rather have to be via sending a young D + 1st round pick (or maybe 2 x 2nd is one is early enough?) to New York.
The crux of the issue is which 1st round pick; as it stands, CGY’s 2025 1st is indeed the only viable, but still suboptimal option.
The optimal option appears to be for the Habs to first acquire another 1st in #20-32 range - trading Monahan at TDL for instance - then include this pick in a package for Lafrenière.
As for the next years’ line, I mostly concur with your assessment, and would add that besides Dach and Roy, the top-9 should also be substantially bolstered by the addition of an elite talent considering the Habs are now strong contenders for another top-5 pick.
And we should also see some rebuild-defining moments on D that same year, with crucial decisions as to which ELC/RFAs to keep - and which to sell to further bolster the F corps and, more importantly, the G department.