Werenski isn't prime Bobby Orr or something. Yeah he's really good, but on a team like the Leafs as it is right now? He'll make the team better without making it a top contender. Werenski is the kind of move you make when you have a team like Colorado or Dallas or even the Sharks who have a good young team that's lacking a top Dman.
Chayka needs to put the brakes on thinking this team is a contender and do at least a significant retool so that we have long term success rather than short term mediocrity.
Let's pretend we landed Werenski for Knies + COL 1st (+ Danford if you want).
To address the remaining line-up holes, we have:
- More than 20 mill to spend in free agency
- OEL trade return
- Our 2nd round pick if we want to attempt an offersheet for a 4.5m center (e.g., Bourque or Hayton)
- A number of Marlies pushing for bottom 6 positions
Just as an example, the following team's goal totals for 2025-26 (including McKenna putting up 20 goals) would be top 10 in the league. If you account for a modest bounceback from Matthews (potting 45 goals) and an increase to Nylander's totals based on his 82 game pace, it would put us #1 in the league.
McKenna - Matthews - Nylander
Cowan - Tavares -
Arvidsson
Tolvanen - Bourque - Robertson
Joshua - Quillan - Lorentz
Werenski - Raddysh
Rielly - Tanev
McCabe - Andrae
Stetcher
Stolarz
Hildeby
Even if we don't get bouncebacks from our top 2 guys so we end up with Nylander + Matthews stuck around 30g again, we would still be top 10 in the league.
We may see a decrease based on our vets playing worse, but we should also expect Cowan to improve on his 11 goals, I didn't count any goals for Quillan, and I fully expect our PP to be better.
If you dont see Borque as realistic, I didn't even use OEL in a trade so we could try to get somebody else with OEL + 2nd. There are only 2 guys over 30 years old in our entire top 9 with what should easily be the best Leafs defense in my lifetime. Also not up against the cap still most likely.
What are the holes in this lineup preventing it from being a contender? We have a franchise #1C, a franchise #1D, a 100pt winger, and another potential 100pt winger. Also have one of the best 2nd line Cs from last year and a deep defense. Not saying we're easy favourites, but there is definitely a path after adding Werenski (and making a few good UFA additions for depth) to put together a team that could win it all.