How many people put up 9+9 on their 1st NHL seasons and never became a superstar? I can guarantee it was a lot more... it is more likely he becomes a 30 goal, 30 assist guy than a 100 point player
I agree, but you have to look at guys drafted very high, not any random 2nd/3rd/4th round pick that did it. While it's still not the norm, it's also not unheard of for guys to be underwhelming as an 18 year old and then putting up excellent seasons a few years later. Not all were 95+ points, but scoring wasn't constant year over year either. Some examples (not all were 95+ point players, just showing examples of great strides after a rookie season):
Eric Staal put up 11G, 31 points in his rookie season as an 18 year old and then put up 100 points 2 seasons later.
Stamkos put up 23G, 46 point in his rookie season as an 18 year old and then put up 95 points the very next season.
Scheifele put up 13G, 34 points in his rookie season (at an older age) and 3 years later put up 32G, 82P
Joe Thorton put up 3G,7P in his first season (55G), and 16G, 41P then 71 (in 72 games) 2 years later and had a 100 point season.
Kuznetsov put up 11G, 37P (at an older age) in his first full season then put up 77 a year later.
Giroux (as a 21 year old) put up 16G, 47P in his first full season and then 76 two years later and 93 the year after that.
Seguin put up 11G, 22 points as an 18 YO rookie, but 2 full seasons (excluding lockout) later had 37G, 84P
Rantanen put up 20G, 38P as a rookie, then 29/84 in year 2, and is on pace for over 100 in year 3.
I'm not saying Svechnikov will achieve those numbers as I'll be happy with a 30/30 guy, but using his 18 year old numbers, when he's being eased in on the 3rd line with Martinook and Wallmark isn't a good way to gauge him either.
All that said, I agree with Leafs fans that there is no way they move Marner.