Because I'm lazy as f*ck and don't want to read pages and pages of what to me is a depressing situation I am wondering " do we take this whole situation seriously"? Is there a legitimate chance that I might see the Jets leave for a second time in my lifetime?
With the way things are in Arizona where the team isn't even playing in an NHL adequate arena how can bettman possible try to force a move by the Jets if that is his intent? I had season tickets for awhile for Jets 1.0 but didn't get for 2.0 mostly because we are 2 hours outside the city now and the logistics of the drive in and back don't make sense.
The salary cap was installed in large part because of the fact small markets were not sustainable when the big dogs could spend through the roof to acquire and sign players but the economy and the contracts IMO have gotten out of hand as owners will spend ridiculous amounts on players since winning is the only option for running a succesful franchise, which is not wrong but at the same time I hear expansion talks when the NHL should be striving to have the current member franchises on solid footing, some of which are not. Bettman may well be coming here in an attempt to help the Jets but he's a weasel in a chicken coop, a fox in the henhouse if you will who cares diddly squat about the Jets and certain other franchises.
We could go to a few games, maybe purchase a mini pack but unless there are a couple thousand out there willing to do the same then all is lost anyways. I remember the "Jets aren't going anywhere statement made by Chipman, paraphrasing the actual words a little but now I wonder with the "threat" of moving if things don't improve, what kind of timeline are we talking about?
The downtown of this city has become awful in the last decade and likely was never the best location but there is a constant attempt to make the "SHED" a "must go" destination for Winnipegs and travellers alike. But really the downtown especially in the area of the arena is like a backed up toilet that can't seem to be cleared. I hope I die before I have to see the jets leave, yet again.
IMHO:
There is no real threat right now. It’s a lot of media hype, its creating a negative echo chamber. Is there an issue? Yes. Is True north working on addressing it? Yes. Will it be fixed? I do believe so, and I mean that; it’s why I am not too worried myself.
This media stuff is getting taken way out of context. Just go to the main boards, or on social media, (don’t actually do it) some of the posts - oh boy. Makes one wonder how these impressively poorly informed junk keyboard warriors function as human beings and got to the point of coordinating their fingers to type on a phone or a keyboard. Twitter is particularly cess-like about this news. Seriously there is some dumb trash floating out there and it creates a dumb trashy echo chamber, don’t let it get to you or scare you.
What is currently coming from TNSE and Mark Chipman, take it at face value, and nothing more, don’t read into it "too much". When he says something like “this isn't sustainable long-term“ he means from the perspective of a healthy business. 13000 STH, guaranteed revenue is different than 9500 STH. Have you seen all those new towers, the fact that they’re spending to the cap, the fact that they have everything paid for (arena), massive billion dollar projects in the pipeline, etc. etc.? This is
not an
SOS scenario. I do think he meant what he said in October that there is no threat of the moving or anything like that "under his watch". This is basically identifying an issue and putting it front and centre through the media that it needs to be addressed. I bet the next steps are going to be some thing, akin to perhaps another ticket drive (mini packs, new offerings, new options), with the behind-the-scenes focus on respecting the current and future season-ticket holder and providing good service and benefits for the people who provide the foundation/the backbone for the Winnipeg Jets exist (not taking them for granted, which seem to have been the case). I’m sure there will also be behind-the-scenes stuff that we will not be privy to regarding corporate community / sponsorship building and helping to make something work out for next year.
Bettman coming here - it is being positioned as a "fire side chat", not a news conference.
Consider that likely that this news of Bettman simply coincides with his regular annual visit, how many of those last year or the year before was such media frenzy trumpeted about it? I think the cause for alarm is more that true North's intentions are to get back to a stable and predictable season-ticket holder base as quickly as possible.
Bettman will likely make some matter-of-fact statements similar to what he said in 2011 that the building needs to be full; I ask you to accept that mentally and prepare for those words to happen. Despite that, it does not change anything that I believe in this post - I think people need to take a breath. If you read the Athletic article, it's a pretty solid read without anything glaring. There is intent to say "hey we messed up and we know that and we are working on it". Some of the quotes are being interpreted from a perspective of "doom"
So some things I believe:
The original Jets had years and years of losses before they left, without a new rink or concession $ or ownership of building or any of the other advantages TNSE currently has.
The entire situation is different now, lets remind ourselves:
For one, the city itself is larger, and we have a generation of children growing up with the Winnipeg Jets as "their" club; as they move forward in their own lives and professional lives, those bonds and opportunities to become new STH will be there.
Last I checked, Winnipeg is the fastest growing city by raw numbers under 1 million people in Canada (when the Jets left the city was around 629,000, and the CMA was under 685,000; this year the city is around 800,000 and the CMA is around 900,000 (a 170k and 215k increase respectively)… by the end of the decade the city will be approaching 900,000 and the CMA will be approaching 1 million if not around there. At that point, Winnipeg will still be the smallest market in the NHL, but that "effectively doubles" it’s population in 3 to 4 decades and relatively/proportionally speaking that is a pretty big increase for any city. The point being is it is not a shrinking but a growing pool of people who could attend games moving forward. I accept that people moving to Winnipeg from other parts of Canada/USA probably aren't Jets fans and have allegiances elsewhere, but that is still "a" new person who could go to CLC and pay to see their team live.
Second economy wise, yes things are hard for many folks right now: The dollar has taken a hit against the American dollar, but fortunately Manitoba's economy continues to be relatively stable, there is an advantage for new adults ( either from the city, from abroad or from elsewhere within the country) that the cost-of-living is low, and although wages aren’t the highest in the country, they are very competitive, especially in welling fields, combined that with the cost of living, when people aren’t battling interest rates and all those other things they will have more disposables come to spend. There is turbulence in the economy right now, that is just the reality, the interest rates are really a burden for a lot of people - I see it in the greater Vancouver area every day. The country just had an airline shut down - all these costs are real, and they do add up, and they can make viable businesses no longer viable. That said, there is some light at the end of the tunnel, I think we will have to wait a few a few years for the economy to turn back around but at least Manitoba self has not been hit hard to the extent other places have been. Steady as she goes bodes well for the future. Its not like suddenly the economy is in the state where things will never reverse and people will never have disposable income ever again to see the Jets live
Third,
Corporations...lots about the corporate support. I believe there are more than enough corporations in Winnipeg to support an NHL team... The TLDR as to why TNSE find themselves in the current predicament is because early on during the ticket drive, commitments were made by individuals and people, not corporations. That effectively blocked out a lot of the corporate pool, now that there are other economic realities, those corporate pools may be less interested or have their expenses responsibly placed elsewhere at this time. They need to be won over or their STH base needs to increase. What corps you ask, well start with the major national ones that don't have much of a presence providing seasons tickets right now and go from there
Fourth,
You have ownership. On one hand, the richest owner in the NHL and on the other hand, a solid person in Mark Chipman who embodies the hard-working nature that Winnipeg prides itself on. Ownership is committed to keeping the Jets in Winnipeg. People can overall be down on true north if they would like, but it is commendable and in keeping with what we know of Mark Chipman, that he is personally calling people and former season-ticket holders, it sounds like he genuinely wants to improve and work towards a stable foundation. I presume he is not alone in calling folks - there is likely a team of people "higher up" because 3500+ calls to make for one person is not realistic lol.
Fifth,
there is so much in the downtown and city itself that is tied up with the Jets and the Jets ownership that "relocating them" in the next few years just is not a reasonably plausible scenario. There is a mutually beneficial relationship with the team and the massive positives for the city
....
As long as you have committed ownership, they are never leaving. They just need to rebuild and strengthen the foundations. They’re saying “the building is not caving in, that’s not the situation, but there’s some leaks and we need to address these leaks. And it’s our fault and we’re working to fix that.” But people are really taking things out of proportion and context. "Doomsday" - it is not.
Sorry man, lots of side stuff there in a lengthy post, but to answer your question if you want to skip ahead: No, I don’t think there’s a legitimate chance of the moving.
I’m as confident in making that statement now as I was making a statement in 2009 that the NHL would be viable in Winnipeg
I don't think the team is in imminent danger of relocation. That said, selling 13,000 seats per game (many of them discounted) isn't sustainable. A sufficient number of people have to support the Jets or they'll move eventually.
A lot of people take offense to this for some reason, but it strikes me as simple business reality.
Oddly enough, I'm less concerned about the team than I am for what it says about Winnipeg and the Province overall. I want so badly to believe we have something going for us.
I don't think all hope is lost though. TNSE is working to do what they have to, I believe Manitobans will as well. There was a lot of negativity in the offseason that impacted ticket sales this year. I think there is a good chance TNSE and the fans can right the ship.
Agree, I think there is no legitimate threat. At this point, this media stuff is to ensure attention is refocused back on the Winnipeg Jets. It’s to sound a “type of an alarm” that hey don’t anyone sleep on buying tickets! It’s to bring the issue of STH loss to the spotlight. Not a "hey we are at danger of moving"...not even close. What TNSE said in October still holds true.
It’s a shame that whatever egotistical agents that went on a power trip and left bad tastes in hundreds of season-ticket holder mouths, did more damage to the organization and to the team then they probably realized. But it all starts and ends with True North. With their engagement, their Customer Service, and not taking their fanbase for granted.
I Hope Chipman (or a team of high ups as 3500+ phone calls is a lot of phone calls for one person (and unrealistic)) gets to talk to everybody that gave up tickets to get an informed opinion as to what needs to be done to go from the worst customer service to the best customer service. If it’s life, you can’t really do anything about that. But anything related to customer service complaints, those need to be addressed and changed.
Maybe one day the NHL can get a TV deal that takes a lot of this gate driven revenue pressure off of NHL teams.