Salary Cap: The Salary Cap Thread | Trust me... nothing has changed.

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Shady Machine

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Aug 6, 2010
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Do people honestly believe every time a team says "we viewed him as a 1st round prospect" after they took him in the 2nd round after trading their 1st round pick?

PR still exists and teams know what trades are going to raise eyebrows. I guess I don't like the excuse of "well they would have taken him anyway, so that 31st overall pick didn't matter anyway".

So what? I can still disagree with trading the pick even if I buy that they would have drafted a guy who was ranked as a big reach at 31 had they taken him there.
 

Gurglesons

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Filip or Peter? Honestly, can we pump the brakes on this comparison? Yes, the trade isn't lovely, and I do agree with you about Sundqvist, but this trade isn't the egregious failure that some are making it out to be.

If Reaves walks and we get knocked out in the 1st round or one of our players gets a concussion or injury like the one in the Caps series against Crosby. What if we win a cup and Reaves is a scratch the entire playoffs. What exactly was the point of bringing in Reaves?

If Sundqvist or Kostin become young 20pt+ players for the Blues, I guarantee you people will be talking about how we could've drafted Kostin, but instead Old Rutherford traded for Reaves because we needed physicality.

I don't agree with that sentiment at all, but we will see it just as much as we see people lamenting the Pouliot pick.
 

Shady Machine

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Based on what exactly? I don't think you understand the term "very generous" - at least based on what they're worth or what they would have received on a shorter deal or elsewhere.

Honestly, both of them came in a little higher than the board consensus. They were certainly fair based on their comparables, but we had a lot of posters putting Dumo at 3.75MM and Schultz at 5MM for a long term deal.

Certainly not bad contracts, but not really discounts either (not that every player should give a hometown discount).
 

Shady Machine

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Dumoulin comparables:

Larsson: $4.167 million cap hit
Pesce: $4.025 million cap hit
Zaitsev: $4.5 million cap hit (I actually think Dumoulin is fairly better than Zaitsev)
Hjalmarsson: $4 million cap hit

In a world where Dmitri Kulikov gets $4.33 million on a semi long term deal after putting up 5 points in 47 games while being a -26, you can't complain about what Dumoulin is making.

Larsson is probably a bit better than Dumo, but fair comparison.
Pesce has more offensive upside but took up more RFA years so again fair.
Zaitsev put up 36 points. Fair or not, players get paid more for offensive production. Not unfair comparison, but they aren't really in the same pay grade. Now it's fair to question whether Toronto should have committed that much this early to him.
Hjalmarsson fair and would definitely get more today. I think he's better than Dumo, but is the right type of player that Dumo can grow into

Kulikov isn't comparable as a UFA. It's interesting to note, but not relevant to the Dumo contract negotiation.
 

Rufus

Letangarang
May 27, 2014
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If Reaves walks and we get knocked out in the 1st round or one of our players gets a concussion or injury like the one in the Caps series against Crosby. What if we win a cup and Reaves is a scratch the entire playoffs. What exactly was the point of bringing in Reaves?

If Sundqvist or Kostin become young 20pt+ players for the Blues, I guarantee you people will be talking about how we could've drafted Kostin, but instead Old Rutherford traded for Reaves because we needed physicality.

I don't agree with that sentiment at all, but we will see it just as much as we see people lamenting the Pouliot pick.

I agree with you, but that's based on a lot of ifs. What's the point in bellyaching about potential bellyaching?
 

Shady Machine

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I agree with you, but that's based on a lot of ifs. What's the point in bellyaching about potential bellyaching?

Because we like Sunny's potential and we need centers. We will find out soon enough if trading Sundqvist was wise or not.
 

Rufus

Letangarang
May 27, 2014
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Because we like Sunny's potential and we need centers. We will find out soon enough if trading Sundqvist was wise or not.

I'm with you on Sundqvist. My point is referring to complaints about trading the pick that was used on Kostin. It looks like it could turn out bad for us if a variety of things happen, but none of them are close to happening yet, so why complain about it?
 

Riptide

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Dec 29, 2011
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That isn't true. He put up 30+ pts 06, 08, and 09 while playing 73+ games and had more than 3 goals multiple times in his career. He has put up more assists than Dumoulin has put up points in a season, nine times. Dumoulin has also spent the majority of his time with Letang. He also has scored 5 goals in 200 games.

Sorry, I mean in his time in Pittsburgh. I could care less about what he did in NJ given that that was 7+ years ago.

I think you miss understood my point here. I was trying to say I think it is really strange that the franchise would be super gung ho to basically give Dumo a blank check and then turn around and try to low ball Sheary. I like our winger depth, but who is actually replacing Sheary's offense if we trade him? You have to hope either Sprong or ZAR suddenly becomes a 40-50+ pt winger. Hagelin isn't doing, Rust isn't doing it, Kuhn / Wilson aren't doing it.

Who talked about trading Sheary?

Really? You can't see why when a GM looks at Dumoulin who had a very good rookie campaign, then a great rookie playoffs, and then a decent sophomore season and a good playoffs... and you can't see why the qualities he has and the play he's played doesn't reassure a GM? It's pretty easy to see what you're going to get with Dumoulin.

And then compare that to Sheary. He had a decent rookie season, but nothing outstanding. He had some up's and downs in the playoffs in 15/16, but overall was good. He then had a great sophomore season, but some meh playoffs. So which version of Sheary will we get next season? Will it be the rookie who was decent? Or the playoff version of him that was meh? Or the RS version of him that was outstanding? There is the potential for some real falling back to earth for Sheary going forward, and this is what his contract reflects.

The issue is players that play defensive games in junior generally aren't safe bets. Usually they don't make the league.

Also, if you are going to pay that much money and term for a D, shouldn't you be looking to take risks that hopefully pan out in a year or two. I just completely disagree with "building our picks", right now the Pens should be drafting players that are hopefully roster eligible in two years maximum.

That would be stupidly short sighted. Most prospects take between 3-5 years to become impact NHLers - if they ever do. As for who we're picking, I'm not disagreeing with you - just offering an opinion on why JR is picking who he's picking.

I totally tried to make the point that my issue really isn't with either contract as much as the fact as it is with both of them and especially the term on Dumo. If you could save a million or a million and a half on these two players and only have them for the next two or three years, it may have given you a chance to sign a more effective 4C. Basically, spend less money on the D and try to build back what you had with Cullen and Bonino, because I think it is pretty obvious the Penguins have proven you can win the cup with one elite D and a bunch of 17 - 19 minute guys.

Like I said, I really like Dumo. It just seems like a risky contract after the one Rutherford already gave Maatta in my opinion. If you trade Maatta, you can probably say that it allows you to have the Dumo contract, but next year and the year after the money tied up in our D is definitely going to effect us resigning players like Horny, Rust, Guentzel, etc and I don't think it is worth that.

Bold 1: As a GM, you have to look longer than just a year or two. You probably could have saved 1-1.5m, if you'd just signed BD and JS until they were FAs (so 1 and 2 years). But then you're either paying more for JS or trying to find a high end offensive top 4 RD. Odds are that's going to cost you more than 5.5m. And was saw what Alzner signed for (5x4.65m). Replacing Dumoulin 2 years from now will not get cheaper unless we happened to have someone internally.

Bold 2: Sure you can... with players like Hunwick playing an important role. However you've also been very critical of JR in signing Hunwick... so I'm not sure what you're after here. I mean you give him **** for signing BD/JS to some term and say we should be fine using lesser guys... and when we signed a lesser guy, you did nothing but ***** about him... :dunno: And before you say "don't do both", we don't have too many options. No one, other than perhaps myself and a couple others - liked the idea of Ruhwedel being our #6D when healthy - and even we had reservations.

Bold 3: Dumoulin's contract is about as risk free as you can get. But it's odd that you should use that term, after talking about depending on guys like Hunwick and Cole to play 17-19 minutes a night. That is risky - especially if you can't shelter them. Which without Dumoulin around, you would have a hard time doing.

Bold 4: Having the blueline we have may affect one of Hagelin, Hornqvist or Rust. But it's not just the blueline. Having Crosby, Malkin and Kessel also play parts of that as well. IF we want depth throughout the roster, it costs money. We have a lot of high end talent... which means we need to ensure that money elsewhere is spent as judiciously as possible. That said... with a small raise in the cap, letting Cole walk, and having a cheap #3 (2.5m or less), extending Hornqvist isn't that big of an issue.

The bigger issue will be June 2019 when Guentzel and Murray need around 8m in raises, and there will only be ~3m coming off the roster (Hagelin - replacement) without trading players. Add 2m or so in a cap raise, and we're still falling short. That will be the summer where we see some real change and tough decisions made.
 

Riptide

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Dec 29, 2011
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This is the honest truth really. It is hard to fault the contracts, because if you don't give them to Schultz and Dumo who else are you going to give them to aside from a UFA you're probably paying the same amount for. You just figured, for such a "home run" summer he would've gotten at least a minor discount. Especially, since they both "wanted to stay here".

Again... what did Shattenkirk just sign for? What did Alzner sign for? We got that discount - you guys just refuse to admit it.
 

Riptide

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Honestly, both of them came in a little higher than the board consensus. They were certainly fair based on their comparables, but we had a lot of posters putting Dumo at 3.75MM and Schultz at 5MM for a long term deal.

Certainly not bad contracts, but not really discounts either (not that every player should give a hometown discount).

Most didn't see Dumoulin signing a 6 yr deal, but a 4-5 yr one. And I've been saying for months and months and months that Schultz wouldn't be signing a 5m deal with term. And most were actually talking about less than 5m.
 
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Peat

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Jun 14, 2016
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Do people honestly believe every time a team says "we viewed him as a 1st round prospect" after they took him in the 2nd round after trading their 1st round pick?

PR still exists and teams know what trades are going to raise eyebrows. I guess I don't like the excuse of "well they would have taken him anyway, so that 31st overall pick didn't matter anyway".

So what? I can still disagree with trading the pick even if I buy that they would have drafted a guy who was ranked as a big reach at 31 had they taken him there.

I don't think the fact they'd have possibly taken Lauzon or Phillips there means adding the pick swap to the trade didn't matter.

But it does mean anyone saying "We passed up the chance to take Kostin" is talking about something that would have never happened anyway. And even if you don't trust Rutherford to be utterly open on this score - which is fair enough - the definite defensive bias we had in the draft and our lack of interest in drafting from Russia signals we probably weren't interested in Kostin.

Honestly though - yes, Rutherford may have been spinning things, but we know he is willing to go off board and reach like mad in the first two rounds, so I find it fairly plausible.

ETA: Plus, if a GM is willing to take a consensus 4th rounder at 51, is he really gonna frown that hard at 31?
 

SEALBound

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I'm with you on Sundqvist. My point is referring to complaints about trading the pick that was used on Kostin. It looks like it could turn out bad for us if a variety of things happen, but none of them are close to happening yet, so why complain about it?

I agree with that premise. If Kostin works out, seems like a high price for a guy like Reaves.

Something to consider though, with our need at defense...had we not traded the pick, would JR and Co have taken Kostin?
 

Rufus

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May 27, 2014
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I agree with that premise. If Kostin works out, seems like a high price for a guy like Reaves.

Something to consider though, with our need at defense...had we not traded the pick, would JR and Co have taken Kostin?

It depends on if JR values team needs or best player available more. Who knows who he would have taken with that first round pick? Maybe Kostin, maybe Lauzon, maybe neither. If Kostin works out, then people can be upset, but it reeks of complaining for the sake of complaining. Very informed people probably didn't like the Pouliot pick at the time for reasons, but it's not as many people who say they didn't like the pick at the time.
 

SEALBound

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It depends on if JR values team needs or best player available more. Who knows who he would have taken with that first round pick? Maybe Kostin, maybe Lauzon, maybe neither. If Kostin works out, then people can be upset, but it reeks of complaining for the sake of complaining. Very informed people probably didn't like the Pouliot pick at the time for reasons, but it's not as many people who say they didn't like the pick at the time.

Each team will have their opinion on best player available. I guess what I'm saying is, do we know that JR's draft list had Kostin as the best player available at that time? So if the trade fell through, would JR have drafted him?
 

Rufus

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Each team will have their opinion on best player available. I guess what I'm saying is, do we know that JR's draft list had Kostin as the best player available at that time? So if the trade fell through, would JR have drafted him?

Those are questions we'll probably never get the answer to.
 

Empoleon8771

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Aug 25, 2015
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Larsson is probably a bit better than Dumo, but fair comparison.
Pesce has more offensive upside but took up more RFA years so again fair.
Zaitsev put up 36 points. Fair or not, players get paid more for offensive production. Not unfair comparison, but they aren't really in the same pay grade. Now it's fair to question whether Toronto should have committed that much this early to him.
Hjalmarsson fair and would definitely get more today. I think he's better than Dumo, but is the right type of player that Dumo can grow into

Kulikov isn't comparable as a UFA. It's interesting to note, but not relevant to the Dumo contract negotiation.

I based the Pesce comparison from what Canes fans told me, he's essentially the same player as Dumoulin. I'm also not sure why you think he has more offensive upside than Dumoulin, Dumoulin's college production was a good bit better than Pesce's and it's not like their production is much different in the NHL.

Either way, those contracts prove he's not overpaid. The Kulikov contract wasn't perfectly comparable, but he's a worse player than Dumoulin coming off a horrid season. You can easily point to that and say "see, that's a bad contract".
 

Jag68Sid87

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If Reaves walks and we get knocked out in the 1st round or one of our players gets a concussion or injury like the one in the Caps series against Crosby. What if we win a cup and Reaves is a scratch the entire playoffs. What exactly was the point of bringing in Reaves?

If Sundqvist or Kostin become young 20pt+ players for the Blues, I guarantee you people will be talking about how we could've drafted Kostin, but instead Old Rutherford traded for Reaves because we needed physicality.

I don't agree with that sentiment at all, but we will see it just as much as we see people lamenting the Pouliot pick.

I think it is laughable that you are criticizing and ridiculing the GM of a back-to-back Cup champion.

JR identified a problem area on this team and he made a move to correct it. The deal was Sundqvist and Kostin for Reaves and Lauzon. Sure, only time will tell whether this deal is considered a failure, but it fills an immediate need while not surrendering any key top prospects.

I admit the timing of dealing Sundqvist seems odd considering Bonino and Cullen's eventual departures, but if the club soured on him then they made the right decision. We shouldn't keep a guy just because he plays a position of need. Would it have been better to deal Pouliot over Sundqvist considering our current depth chart? I say no, because I think Pouliot has a brighter future in the NHL, and more actual value. Hindsight is always 20/20. We don't know what JR had in mind for the center position on draft day, but I think we all agree it was NOT to begin the regular season with Rowney and McClement filling the bottom-six center roles. He is up to something, we are just going to have to wait to find out what that is.


I agree with that premise. If Kostin works out, seems like a high price for a guy like Reaves.

Something to consider though, with our need at defense...had we not traded the pick, would JR and Co have taken Kostin?

I don't think Kostin was ever on our radar. Kostin is a wild card. I think he will either pan out or bust fairly quickly, especially since he has moved to North America.

All I know is that Reaves will have a very important role on our club this season, while Sundqvist and Kostin will be toiling for the Chicago Wolves this season...and Kostin may even see time in the ECHL.

I am not too concerned that this deal will make us look bad.
 

Sidney the Kidney

One last time
Jun 29, 2009
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So what? I can still disagree with trading the pick even if I buy that they would have drafted a guy who was ranked as a big reach at 31 had they taken him there.

Of course you can. But it's two different arguments. One is about whether or not JR should have made the trade, the other is whether or not JR would have selected that specific player (in this case, Kostin) and thus, lost out on a player he may or may not have even selected anyway.

My issue is the linking of the two. "If we didn't make that trade, we would have drafted a future star!". No, we don't know that because we don't know if JR would have taken that guy anyways. And we don't know that because there's no guarantee that Kostin becomes a star.

(PS. not saying the above is your argument about selecting and passing on Kostin. But that was the argument of the person originally quoted that you've piggybacked on to make your point)
 

Jenkins

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Aug 2, 2017
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I didn't mind trading our first but was thinking it could be used to bring in something better (on its own or with a plus). Maybe he did try on draft day to make a bigger deal with the first involved. There were definitely rumblings from reporters on twitter JR was in discussions with a few teams.

In the end maybe the deals weren't there and didn't need the first to get who he wanted so he made the deal to get Reaves who he did want. He even talked about a player like him (no names mentioned) during the playoffs after our players were targeted.
 

Pens x

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Oct 8, 2016
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I'm with you on Sundqvist. My point is referring to complaints about trading the pick that was used on Kostin. It looks like it could turn out bad for us if a variety of things happen, but none of them are close to happening yet, so why complain about it?

Because everyone will spew the standard hindsight is 20/20 if the trade doesn't work out for the Pens. At least he will be able to say it was a bad deal from day 1.
 

Pens x

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Oct 8, 2016
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I think it is laughable that you are criticizing and ridiculing the GM of a back-to-back Cup champion.

JR identified a problem area on this team and he made a move to correct it. The deal was Sundqvist and Kostin for Reaves and Lauzon. Sure, only time will tell whether this deal is considered a failure, but it fills an immediate need while not surrendering any key top prospects.

I admit the timing of dealing Sundqvist seems odd considering Bonino and Cullen's eventual departures, but if the club soured on him then they made the right decision. We shouldn't keep a guy just because he plays a position of need. Would it have been better to deal Pouliot over Sundqvist considering our current depth chart? I say no, because I think Pouliot has a brighter future in the NHL, and more actual value. Hindsight is always 20/20. We don't know what JR had in mind for the center position on draft day, but I think we all agree it was NOT to begin the regular season with Rowney and McClement filling the bottom-six center roles. He is up to something, we are just going to have to wait to find out what that is.

I don't think Kostin was ever on our radar. Kostin is a wild card. I think he will either pan out or bust fairly quickly, especially since he has moved to North America.

All I know is that Reaves will have a very important role on our club this season, while Sundqvist and Kostin will be toiling for the Chicago Wolves this season...and Kostin may even see time in the ECHL.

I am not too concerned that this deal will make us look bad.

I like how you have no problem with Jimmy addressing the fourth line wing before anything else. it's fine to leave the 3C and 4C in shambles! I'm glad Jimmy corrected the 4th line wing problem but he hasn't addressed the 3C situation. The bottom line wing was the least of concerns but he was hellbent on fixing it.
 
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