Empoleon8771
Registered User
What I disagree with is the notion that Pickett is a normal rookie, when he's not. He's a 5-year college player, 24 years old, and outside of learning the speed of the pro game and pro play design/reads, his mechanics are likely as developed as they're going to get. He's likely near what his potential ceiling is already, which was the vast majority opinion of him pre-draft, low ceiling, high floor. He's likely not going to become what Fields for instance has blossomed into this year out of the blue. Who's still younger than Kenny btw.
But he is still a rookie though. You're right in that he won't have this massive surge like younger guys have, but it still takes some time for rookie QBs to get fully adjusted to the NFL.
He's not going to improve substantially in terms of talent, because he is already a fairly polished player. His improvement will be learning what he can and can't do in the NFL and learning how to apply his skills to be successful in the NFL. That's something that will just take time, regardless of whether he's a 21 year old rookie or a 24 year old rookie.
He's not a young athletic freak that has the potential to be a Mahomes tier QB if everything clicks for him, but I don't think anyone things that. His upside is 2013-2017 Alex Smith, a solid starter game manager QB who runs the ball well. Even Smith took quite a few years to get fully acclimated into the NFL, his rookie year was infamous for being horrible.