I do remember that Duchene centered Hall and (I think) Eberle at the 2013 Worlds. Regardless, I think we agree on Barzal. Looking at the forward group, personally, I don't see many open spots in the forward group at the moment - maybe 2 or 3. I have 9 locks or near-locks, and Stamkos as a "probable". That's 10 forward positions spoken for.
Then I see Couturier (low-risk, big bodied defensive center who can kill penalties and provide quality depth minutes) and Huberdeau (trending upwards on the strength of his playoff run, possible power-play option, can provide offensive depth, natural left winger...our shallowest position) as having basically 50-50 chances of making the team. Maybe I could be a little more bullish on these two guys, but Huberdeau's international resume (or lack thereof) give me pause in the sense that he's not a guy that Hockey Canada favours and Couturier doesn't seem to have much wing experience and may lose the "shut down center" spot to O'Reilly, Scheifele, or maybe even Crosby. Still, I think it is more likely than not that both of these guys make it.
So, with 2 spots remaining, at this moment I think those go to Barzal and Horvat - a RHS center, and a LHS center. Presumably both can be moved to the wing, especially Horvat. I think Armstrong will place a premium on versatility and low-risk at the bottom of the forward group, which helps Horvat. There seems to be a narrative around Horvat that is kind of similar to how Toews was perceived very early in his career (think 2009, when he was on the bubble for the 2010 Olympic team), with regards to being a young, defensively-responsible captain that has a good playoff or two under his belt and never hesitates to represent Canada internationally. I think that will carry him to a spot on this team, and I think that will surprise a lot of people. Not much more needs to be said about Barzal, but obviously Marner is the other guy in contention here and as a long-time observer of how we construct our national teams we tend to shy away from guys like Marner more often than not...particularly when we have EGMs as conservative as Armstrong.
After that, there is a bit of a mixed bag of older veterans who are still very good players but that have most likely been surpassed by younger players (Tavares, Couture, Benn, Carter, Seguin), Toews, who is a big TBD at this point but someone who I would expect to get a very long leash from Armstrong if he comes back early next season, several good young defensive forwards who essentially aren't as good or experienced as our current defensive forwards (think Pageau, Cirelli, Danault), and the guys whose names are thrown around from time to time but have little chance (Hyman, Perron, Gallagher, Toffoli, Suzuki, Kyrou...who Armstrong specifically named, etc.). So, not much room to maneuver at this point for guys on the bubble...there might be 16 guys with a realistic chance at this point, imo.
100% locks (x 5):
- McDavid
- MacKinnon
- Crosby
- Bergeron
- Marchand
Near locks - 80-90% (x4):
- Point
- Scheifele
- Stone
- O'Reilly
Probable - 70-80% (x1):
- Stamkos
50-60% chance (x2):
- Couturier
- Huberdeau
Extras:
1. Horvat
2. Barzal
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- Marner