Nanabijou
Booooooooooone
I didn't expect that anything would get done until the pressure of training camp was upon us. Even with that long lull, things really took off this week. As Ron Burgundy would say, "Well, that really escalated quickly".
It is now clear that Johansen and his agent are hung up on the #1 center thing. Overhardt mentioned this pretty clearly yesterday - they subscribe to IHZ's point of view that he is the #1 C and and therefore should be paid as one. I think Joey was trying to needle Dubi playfully after he signed with that #2 C comment, but I also think it's in line with what he now believes (or at least what KO convinced him to believe). They have chosen to ignore the RFA/UFA distinction and focus on the depth chart position for whatever reason.
The Jackets are looking at the leverage they have and the comparables and are going to hold to that. I think if KO had negotiated a bit off those deals (and I believe those are actually the offers the Jackets gave), Joey could have gotten around $8 M over 2 or $35 M over 6.
I admit I was wrong early on, and mainly because I was using Bob as a comparison. I first thought it would be between $10 and $11 M over 2 years. Then, with Jarmo's comments a few weeks ago, I though between $9-10 M. As I said above, it probably could have been $8 M if done this week, but I am now pretty positive that it will be $7 M or less. Looking at all the good comparables out there, they have a good case. No matter what IHZ says, Duchene and Stepan are reasonable comparisons for the Jackets to point to.
Where do we go from here? I think we need to brace ourselves, because I actually now think the reason JD/JK went public is because the negotiations are finished in their mind. I'm not convinced that Jarmo was posturing that training camp is the line in the sand. I'm not going to be surprised that as of tonight, the 6 and 8 year contracts come off the table and that the 2 year deal of $6 M will start to get pro-rated down based on missed time.
I think Jarmo sees the young talent coming up and he's not going to paint himself into a corner by giving Joey the keys to the vault. My prediction now is that Joey will either cave and accept a 2-year less than $7 M (maybe even less than $6 M if he misses a lot of time) or he will miss the year. As Robert would say, 'book it'.
It is now clear that Johansen and his agent are hung up on the #1 center thing. Overhardt mentioned this pretty clearly yesterday - they subscribe to IHZ's point of view that he is the #1 C and and therefore should be paid as one. I think Joey was trying to needle Dubi playfully after he signed with that #2 C comment, but I also think it's in line with what he now believes (or at least what KO convinced him to believe). They have chosen to ignore the RFA/UFA distinction and focus on the depth chart position for whatever reason.
The Jackets are looking at the leverage they have and the comparables and are going to hold to that. I think if KO had negotiated a bit off those deals (and I believe those are actually the offers the Jackets gave), Joey could have gotten around $8 M over 2 or $35 M over 6.
I admit I was wrong early on, and mainly because I was using Bob as a comparison. I first thought it would be between $10 and $11 M over 2 years. Then, with Jarmo's comments a few weeks ago, I though between $9-10 M. As I said above, it probably could have been $8 M if done this week, but I am now pretty positive that it will be $7 M or less. Looking at all the good comparables out there, they have a good case. No matter what IHZ says, Duchene and Stepan are reasonable comparisons for the Jackets to point to.
Where do we go from here? I think we need to brace ourselves, because I actually now think the reason JD/JK went public is because the negotiations are finished in their mind. I'm not convinced that Jarmo was posturing that training camp is the line in the sand. I'm not going to be surprised that as of tonight, the 6 and 8 year contracts come off the table and that the 2 year deal of $6 M will start to get pro-rated down based on missed time.
I think Jarmo sees the young talent coming up and he's not going to paint himself into a corner by giving Joey the keys to the vault. My prediction now is that Joey will either cave and accept a 2-year less than $7 M (maybe even less than $6 M if he misses a lot of time) or he will miss the year. As Robert would say, 'book it'.