Behind Enemy Lines
Registered User
There are a lot of similarities between Nashville's situation last year and St. Louis. Both are teams in transition with top weighted cap, expensive aging players, the Predators actually spread it better between its top 3 D and Duchene/Johannsen at forward. The Blues is basically all at defense. With Parayko, he's their best sell asset who enables hard cash savings of $30 million+ including $16 million the next two seasons. If the Blues are willing to eat $3,150,000 for half of Buchnevich's next year contract, it's not unreasonable to think $1,000,000 retained for $6,000,000 over the life of Parayko's deal would be out of reach.The retention was $400K for three years and it seems that Nashville was at least looking to move on from Ekholm at the time. St. Louis might have to retain more for much longer and today. That said the real concern is that it is hard to imagine that Parayko is a guy they want to move on from right now. They may see this differently in the future. But it would probably take time to convince them.
Parayko's value, similar to Karlsson last year, might be at peak market value. It's not unreasonable to think the Blues view a prospective chance to reset their cap situation and augment their personnel reset by moving one of their 5 trade protected age 30+ defensemen. They tried with Krug who vetoed.
Hard to do. Absolutely. Improbable. Yes. But there is a window and major financial and cap considerations which gives this a reasonable business case scenario.