So, I'm not going to include tonight's 'debacle' in the the stats here, but a 500 ft view at the 20 game mark:
We've improved defensively.
3.62 GAA a game last year -> 3.15 GAA a game this year. That's almost 1/2 a goal against per game improvement over a decent sample size. HOWEVER,
That has come at the cost of a drop 3.57 GF/G from to 2.85 GF/G , a .72 goals per game LESS.
Overall, UPL has played well, Levi hasn't, Comrie the sample size is too small.
The PP is bad, the PK has improved quite a bit
We've had more key injuries so far. 21 games in, 20 points.
To hit the 95 point mark, we need to pickup 75 of the next 122 possible points. The equivalent of a 101 point pace over 61 games. Even before tonight's stinker, does that seem something that this team would be able to accomplish? They certainly haven't shown it.
Overall, Buffalo has amassed a lot of talent. Two 1st overall picks on the blueline (technically 3, but...), probably the deepest forward prospect group in the league, one of the best goaltending prospects in the league. There is a lot of good here.
The problem has been the process and it's been bad. The complete lack of any real meaningful veteran leadership in the top of the lineup. Tuch is the closest thing there. Okposo is pretty much on his retirement lap now and Girgensons is good in his role, but he plays 12 minutes a game.
No real support for Dahlin, Power, or Samuelsson other than a guy who is also in the twilight of his career in EJ.
letting the 'kids' run the show is great on paper and 'not blocking kids' is a good soundbite. But I think we are seeing the stark reality of not having any real support, especially when adversity comes in. Vibes and culture isn't going to save a poorly constructed team. Competence could....but we don't have that. Not in the front office, and I fear....not behind the bench either. Granato seems like a great guy, but the longer he's been the coach....the more overmatches and unprepared the team seems on a nightly basis.
I think the talent level here is pretty obvious, and we've shown that. But...it takes more than just a high talent level and friendship to win games. There needs to be a steady hand to make some hard choices and a coach that can implement a system that can both limit and generate high danger chances.
61 games left...the season isn't over. But,,,I think the deeper roster construction and coaching problems are going to doom this season much more than any bad injury luck could.