I get where you’re coming from and have ample respect for all your posts and opinions on here. I just think that role and quality of linemates is being overlooked a bit. Strome looked like a 65 point player next to Panarin. In reality over the last two seasons Strome has put up 69 points at even strength and Danault has put up 66. The remaining difference is PP points, but Danault was only given 19 seconds per game while Strome got 3+. Danault still put up 53 and 47 points the previous two seasons, again with limited PP time and vastly inferior offensive talent to play with.
This leads me to believe that if he was given Strome’s usage he could very realistically out produce him. I don’t think that’s a stretch. Based on all the underlying numbers, I think an extra 3 minutes on the PP per game with guys like Panarin, Fox, Zib and Kreider obviously gives just about anyone competent an extra 10-20 points and I think that lining up next to Panarin in an offensive role would obviously boost even strength numbers that are already nearly identical to Strome’s.
If Strome had his production and was a “complete” player we’d be saying he was a perfect 2C. The problem is that he produces like a 2C but isn’t good defensively or on draws, doesn’t bring any physicality and isn’t tough to play against. Danault is all of those things, and I’m fairly certain he can at least match Strome’s production if given the same role. That would then make him an ideal 2C, and his ask is 5.5M which is significantly cheaper than a Strome extension would be, a Larkin would be, an Eichel would be, etc. It gives us way more flexibility with getting Zib re-signed or going after one of those more pricey centers to replace him, and while Chytil will be cheap for at least 2-3 more years, if Chytil eventually is able to run with the 2C spot, he wouldn’t be up to get paid like one until Danault was going into year 3-4 of his contract, at which point he’d be a great 3C or could be flipped, especially if he produced next to Panarin.
Just my (pretty strong lol) opinion on the matter. Always a fan of your posts. I just think when you look at 5v5 numbers, quality of lineups, usage and role, PP time, etc. it’s reasonable to conclude that Danault could replace Strome’s production while providing elite defensive play, make us tougher to play against, and be cheaper than most top six center options out there.