How did the Golden Knights out-perform those numbers by such a wide margin? By controlling the front of the net on both ends of the ice, and by scoring clutch goals in crucial moments.
Because Vegas’ big, powerful defense core protected the front of its net so well, the chances allowed were actually not as dangerous as the metrics would suggest. They forced shots to come from further away, and cleared lanes for Hill to see the puck. Once the initial save was made, their control over the net front led to easy clears and very few second chances.
The same goes on the other end of the ice, where Vegas’ forwards consistently crashed the net and made life difficult on opposing goaltenders. Expected goal models can’t account for traffic in front, making the Golden Knights’ actual chances more dangerous than they appear from a shot-plotting calculation.
By controlling the good ice as well as they did, the Golden Knights made four consecutive goalies look average at best. It’s not as if they faced an easy road of goaltending. Vegas started the postseason with former Vezina winner
Connor Hellebuyck, followed by Calder Trophy finalist
Stuart Skinner,
Jake Oettingerand
Sergei Bobrovsky on a heater.