Speculation: Roster Building Thread: Part XXVII – Fortnight, Not Fortnite

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If you can get a player like Puljujarvi for a 3rd (you can't) you should just always do that because right now he is probably better than that third rounder will ever be. He's already shown that he can score in the AHL and he's in what's widely considered the worst situation in the league in EDM (outside of being stapled to McDavid's wing which he is not).
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He had 12 goals and 28 points in 39 games in the A as an 18/19 year old
 
Trying to parse my way through this. I'm about 90% sure the Rangers are going to trade Hayes--or at least I haven't heard one thing that they're trying to re-sign him.

But if the Rangers have a general idea of what they want for him (and Joe Sakic can go **** himself) and there's not a buyer willing to part with that kind of return right now then they should wait and see if they can later on. There's no real rush right now--we've got almost two weeks still.

The only person that seems to think he will re-sign as a NYR is Dave Maloney. He's mentioned it 2 times already in while commentating on pre-game analysis. Everyone else seems to think he gone.
 
If you can get a player like Puljujarvi for a 3rd (you can't) you should just always do that because right now he is probably better than that third rounder will ever be. He's already shown that he can score in the AHL and he's in what's widely considered the worst situation in the league in EDM (outside of being stapled to McDavid's wing which he is not).

People overvalue how good 3rd round picks are. Here are the top two forwards in points taken in the 3rd round in all drafts since 2010 (neglecting dmen just because it's easier to judge forwards by points):

2010: Bryan Rust/Joakin Nordstrom
2011: Vincent Trocheck/Adam Lowry
2012: Jimmy Vesey/Brendan Leipsic (Gostisbehere/Parayko here too)
2013: Jake Guentzel/Anthony Duclair
2014: Brayden Point/Warren Foegele
2015: Anthony Cirelli
2016-2018: No data

Back a bit further...2009: Reilly Smith/Cody Eakin...2008:Adam Henrique/Zack Smith...2007:Alex Killorn/Evegeny Dadonov...2006: Brad Marchand/Cal Clutterbuck...2005: Nobody over 38 pts as a forward but Letang was there.

So in 6 full years comprising 180 picks you have 3 first line forwards: Trocheck/Point/Guentzel. Obviously all very good players but on their teams two are 2C and one is stapled to Crosby. If you go back to 2005 you add in obvious 1W Marchand and 1st line wing Dadonov who didn't come to the NHL full time before age 28. That's every draft since the lockout.

You wouldn't trade that for the hope Puljujarvi happens to figure it out?

Look at the history of the third round and then people's expectations for Buchnevich. It doesn't add up.

Thaaaaaaank you - as much as people don’t like Puljujarvi, folks on here are hung up on a third rounder who has SOME skill and can’t remain healthy, ever? Puljujarvi has a better resume too, not even close to Buchnevich’s, which is why I think he can still put it together as a 20 year old. Chill guys, Buchnevich is not Kovalev, not even cut from the same cloth as him.
 
I think we can get some nice returns. Had a very long chat this evening. Bobby Mac is pretty close to where it will land it appears. Hayes in the East, Zucc to the West it seems. Zucc will garner the most from a team with size. Retaining on Hayes will strengthen the return.
It also appears that the Rangers are saving money for something unconventional. Plus there is someone outside the usual suspects very likely to be dealt. I did not get this name - but have my suspicions. Gorton runs a very tight ship. For sure. Gotta respect that.

Rangers scouting Sharks "regularly" according to a link in a thread in the HFB Trade forum.

Bobcast mentions Red Wing fan wondering if SJ interested in Jimmy Howard, Bob's thoughts were SJ didn't meet the ask of a 1st having dealt to OTT and Buff for Karlson/Kane.

Yes, Gorts regime is very close to the chest with their hand when they want to be. One player, very unlike the usual suspects could quietly be on the move to any destination HE chooses out of loyalty and respect, oh, and media disaster.

How bad do we get when Hayes, Zucc, etc are gone?

What goalie wants to face that next 2 months?

Is Georgiev ready for a trial by fire?

Maybe Hank is "low key" on the move and San Jose sounds like a lovely 180 from NY. Clean break, fresh restart, quiet town, Karlsson.

Rangers might take alternate assets than a 1st if SJ is Hanks only demand, to go quietly.

Suspicious indeed.
 
The only person that seems to think he will re-sign as a NYR is Dave Maloney. He's mentioned it 2 times already in while commentating on pre-game analysis. Everyone else seems to think he gone.

As I mentioned the other night I heard it on pretty good authority as well. I don’t think Dave is wrong. Pretty sure that’s the plan they have in mind. They want the assets for him first
 
Thaaaaaaank you - as much as people don’t like Puljujarvi, folks on here are hung up on a third rounder who has SOME skill and can’t remain healthy, ever? Puljujarvi has a better resume too, not even close to Buchnevich’s, which is why I think he can still put it together as a 20 year old. Chill guys, Buchnevich is not Kovalev, not even cut from the same cloth as him.

A 2019 3rd round pick is different than a 3rd round pick that is currently playing for us.

Whether Buchnevich is Kovalev or not, is 100% irrelevant. What we know is that Buchnevich can produce at the NHL level. Puljujarvi it remains to be seen.
 
Thaaaaaaank you - as much as people don’t like Puljujarvi, folks on here are hung up on a third rounder who has SOME skill and can’t remain healthy, ever? Puljujarvi has a better resume too, not even close to Buchnevich’s, which is why I think he can still put it together as a 20 year old. Chill guys, Buchnevich is not Kovalev, not even cut from the same cloth as him.

I wasn't even really referring to Buchnevich much. Just threw it in. There have been at MOST five first line forwards taken in the 3rd round of the last 14 years (maybe ignore the 3 most recent drafts) and then a handful of 2nd liners. Marchand for sure. Then whatever you think of Trocheck/Point/Guentzel/Dadonov. Personally, I wouldn't count Dadonov since it took him 10 years. Holding on to that is really so valuable? Buchnevich is a way above average 3rd round pick for a forward.
 
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Dreger has said that about every single player so far, Rangers might resign him in the summer. Its not a rebuild if you just lease out your players for assets and then ice the same team the next year.
How is it not a rebuild? Yankees did just that. Acquired a lot of assets and turned it around quick. Why cant that be done?

The Rangers have Six 1st Round Draft Picks from the last Three Drafts. Howden, Lias, Chytil, Kravtsov, Miller, Lundkvist. They have a bunch of picks behind those guys. But they will be adding potentially 1-3 more 1st round picks after this draft. I would hardly say you are icing the same team next year because you bring back one of Hayes/Zucc. Especially if you sign 1-2 of the premium Free Agents while also having an infusion of all those 1st round picks. Some are here already, so then a progression in development.
 
A 2019 3rd round pick is different than a 3rd round pick that is currently playing for us.

Whether Buchnevich is Kovalev or not, is 100% irrelevant. What we know is that Buchnevich can produce at the NHL level. Puljujarvi it remains to be seen.


If we went by pure production without names, if any team knew they could draft a player who would put up 81 points in his first 153 NHL games, he'd be a 1st round pick.

To me that sort of screams, bridge him and try to figure it out as the reward there could be pretty significant.
 
I wasn't even really referring to Buchnevich much. Just threw it in. There have been at MOST five first line forwards taken in the 3rd round of the last 14 years (maybe ignore the 3 most recent drafts) and then a handful of 2nd liners. Marchand for sure. Then whatever you think of Trocheck/Point/Guentzel/Dadonov. Personally, I wouldn't count Dadonov since it took him 10 years. Holding on to that is really so valuable? Buchnevich is a way above average 3rd round pick for a forward.

There is a massive difference between trading a 2019 3rd round pick and Buchnevich (who is a former 3rd round pick). I am not sure he gets that.

I'd trade a 2nd for Puljujarvi. I'd even trade a 2nd + 3rd. But I am not trading Buchnevich for him. You know what I mean?
 
quick question for you guys, I get we want to trade our assets and not resign these players for the "rebuild" but if rangers trade Zucc and Hayes and don't resign them in off season .. who will take their place in the line up ? Rangers don't have anyone in the farm that will be able to play 82 games. they can't dress 12 forwards now .... Free agency we saw bottom 6 players getting 3-4 years deal for 2-4 million . i don't see that being a good option
 
How is it not a rebuild? Yankees did just that. Acquired a lot of assets and turned it around quick. Why cant that be done?

The Rangers have Six 1st Round Draft Picks from the last Three Drafts. Howden, Lias, Chytil, Kravtsov, Miller, Lundkvist. They have a bunch of picks behind those guys. But they will be adding potentially 1-3 more 1st round picks after this draft. I would hardly say you are icing the same team next year because you bring back one of Hayes/Zucc. Especially if you sign 1-2 of the premium Free Agents while also having an infusion of all those 1st round picks. Some are here already, so then a progression in development.

Well, for starters, the Yankees already had built up a pretty exceptional farm system before their 2016 selling spree.

Lets please not fall into the Rangers most of their history/New York Knicks garbage of being a couple players/1 or 2 free agents away from quickly contending again. You would think MSG teams have f***ed that theory up enough to not want to try it again. This rebuild will take patience. That letter went out to the fans only a year ago.
 
The reason to like Puljujärvi now is the same reason to like DeAngelo this summer: Because he has shown unequivocal elite talent as a prospect and there are mitigating factors as to why he hasn't broken out yet. Is it a sure thing he will? No. But there is elite upside there and if that is available cheaply you should do it every time.

It will not work out every time, e.g. Sam Bennett is running out of excuses in Calgary. Though for the price of a 3rd round pick I'd roll the dice there as well - there are some positives to be found if you dig into his underlying stats.
 
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The Yankees did not rebuild. They traded pretty much exclusively upcoming UFA in a lost year in trades that ended up being massively lopsided in their favor.
 
I'd definitely put my money on Puljujarvi turning into an NHL player over a random 2nd rounder. Dont see any reason why Edmonton would make that trade though for the same reasons.
 
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I'm glad I'm not alone in my interest in Puljujarvi anymore. It's always interesting to see how players in other franchises are evaluated compared to our own. For example, this board loves Chytil and rightfully so. He had a great D+1 season with 31 points in 46 games in the AHL; A .67 point per game pace. Jesse Puljujarvi had a 28 points in 38 games; a .71 PPG pace.

Both players saw time in the NHL in their second year. JP scored at a .30ppg clip while FC is pacing at .35ppg.

JP is now being bounced up and down the lineup on a team that is a total Trainwreck. They switched coaches mid year and now the new coach is calling out the team. That group is rotten.

Now there are plenty of things Puljujarvi needs to work on, but I think he could be revitalized in a new environment. One where he's not under the pressure to be the 3rd overall pick who was projected to be McDavids running mate for the next decade. It just comes down to the price.
 
It's always dumb when people even talk about moving a struggling prospect like Puljujarvi. As has been stated, his value is probably a mid round pick. Why would EDM even bother trading him for trash like that? They wouldn't. They are gonna keep him and try to develop him and hope he rights the ship.

I would give up our 2nd rounder and someone like Vesey for him but if I was EDM that still wouldn't do much for me.
 
How is it not a rebuild? Yankees did just that. Acquired a lot of assets and turned it around quick. Why cant that be done?

The Rangers have Six 1st Round Draft Picks from the last Three Drafts. Howden, Lias, Chytil, Kravtsov, Miller, Lundkvist. They have a bunch of picks behind those guys. But they will be adding potentially 1-3 more 1st round picks after this draft. I would hardly say you are icing the same team next year because you bring back one of Hayes/Zucc. Especially if you sign 1-2 of the premium Free Agents while also having an infusion of all those 1st round picks. Some are here already, so then a progression in development.
None of those picks project to elite and we are gonna resign Hayes and another UFA????

If we sign him, HE IS OUR EXPENSIVE UFA

If that’s the plan then this FO is dumber than I feared
 
How is it not a rebuild? Yankees did just that. Acquired a lot of assets and turned it around quick. Why cant that be done?

The Rangers have Six 1st Round Draft Picks from the last Three Drafts. Howden, Lias, Chytil, Kravtsov, Miller, Lundkvist. They have a bunch of picks behind those guys. But they will be adding potentially 1-3 more 1st round picks after this draft. I would hardly say you are icing the same team next year because you bring back one of Hayes/Zucc. Especially if you sign 1-2 of the premium Free Agents while also having an infusion of all those 1st round picks. Some are here already, so then a progression in development.
I’m fine with bringing back one of Hayes or Zucc, im not fine with bringing back every player we traded. Especially considering that Hayes’ next contract is going to be like 7 years at 6.25. Why acquire all these exciting assets for them to lose icetime to the very trade bait vets that they were traded for. Zucc doesn’t sign back with the NYR without an NMC, Hayes would want a limited NTC, MCQ won’t take the league minimum.
 
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