The Trade
Sportsnet yesterday indicated that the Leafs aren't shopping Nylander and that Nylander has not asked for a trade. Still, just as a mental exercise, I was wondering what my fellow Rangers fans would say to the following deal:
- NYR trades to the Toronto Maple Leafs
- Mats Zuccarello Aasen
- NY Rangers 2019 third round pick (becomes a second round pick if NY make the playoffs this year)
- NY Rangers 2020 first round pick (if NY Rangers make the playoffs in 2019-2020)
- In exchange for
- Unsigned William Nylander
- Toronto 2019 first round pick (if Nylander does not sign with NY Rangers by draft day)
Why should the Leafs entertain it?
The Leafs look like the real deal so far, and I bet they would love a stand-up, skilled veteran (like #36 join) their team. Who wouldn't? He probably has at least a few more 60-point seasons left in him. Besides, Nylander isn't even playing, and a bird in the hand, goes the saying, is worth two in the bush.
On to the picks. At least one
source expects the Rangers to be a bottom-ten team this year. A top-ten third round pick is not terrible. Besides, if Nylander signs with the Rangers, the likelihood of NYR entering the playoffs ought to increase significantly. Maybe it's enough to get the Rangers in -- but probably not. Either way, though, the third round pick carries no downside.
But what about next season? NY will have Kreider, Zibanejad, Chytil, Buchnevich, Andersson and -- hopefully -- Kravtsov and Shestyorkin. We have no reason to believe that the latter two won't pan out; they have both proven themselves in arguably the second most competitive professional hockey league. I wouldn't be surprised if the Rangers make the playoffs -- especially with Nylander in the mix.
What about that final pick? Chances are Nylander would sign with the Rangers -- no professional player wants to miss a full season (even in an under-performing team) -- but it's hard to imagine that pick being any higher than 25th. But what if he doesn't sign with the Rangers? It's not the end of the world; we're probably talking about a bottom-five first round pick anyway.
Why should the Rangers entertain it?
Zuccarello has hit 30; his trade value is likely to only decrease. We are also rebuilding; quality young players -- like Nylander -- should be our targets. Besides, we already have more than a few veterans (Staal, Shattenkirk, Lundqvist, McQuaid and Kreider come to mind) to help mentor the youngsters.
Now we revisit the picks. The third-rounder is likely to remain a third-rounder -- even if Nylander joins the Rangers. The conditional NY Rangers first round pick might be a bit ambitious: rebuilds rarely take more than two seasons. Yes, we do have some talented players coming over, but one has to wonder whether they'll join the big club right away. And, if not, will one more year of experience and, potentially, one or two trades or signings be enough to get us into the playoffs? I'm skeptical -- but I'm also not an odds-maker.
What about Nylander not signing? It wouldn't be the
first time a player holds out over a contract.
So what now?
You tell me. Is one side overpaying? Does the deal simply not make sense? Discuss! (But, please, let's keep it civil).