Giving ADA $7 million per to be an top end offensive Dman bothers me a hell of a lot less than giving Brady Skjei almost $5.5 million per to be a middling 2nd pairing Dman.
Interestingly enough, Skjei was a guy who, not unlike Adam Fox, came into the league producing at a pretty high rate --- perhaps higher than most would've expected before the season began. And there was the thought it was only onward and upward from there --- we're talking about a guy who finished at 40 point pace compared to the 46 point pace Fox is currently on.
But he never hit that next level and more or less settled in the role he was originally projected to occupy before his rookie season took a lot of people by surprise. That's one of the reasons why I am hesitant to assume Fox goes onward and upward from here. Don't get me wrong, he very well could. He's a very talented kid, but he could more or less maintain his current level of play. That would be a very good thing, but not necessarily a reason to move a guy like ADA just yet either.
Having said that, I could use this example and apply it to ADA. But I do think there are some differences when talking about ADA. I think most people felt he had this kind of production in him, it was whether or not he could actually put the pieces together and get there. So it's not like this a kid who put up good, but necessarily great numbers as a junior and then suddenly found a new level. Dan Boyle was always seen as a possible end-game for him, and the season he's having is very much in the vein of a young Dan Boyle, only he's doing it sooner than Boyle did.
At the end of the day, a big contract
does represent a risk for the Rangers. The question is whether that risk is worth it? In my opinion, it does.
But, we have to see what the actual demands are. I'm thinking $5-$6 million. I could be way off, and that changes the conversation a bit. So I want to find out what we're actually looking at first.