OT: Raise the Jolly Roger: Congrats to the Houston Cheaters on their win

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Seems like a pretty decent haul for a rental, but Benintendi has pretty strong numbers.

I am a little optimistic that we'll get something decent for Gamel (though not quite this, obviously).
 


Shame, this is the risk that it seems like every young pitcher is facing today.


Hell, it feels like 3 out of 4 guys have TJ surgery before they ever reach MLB.

Save an arm. Submarine a pitch!

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Various people on Pirates twitter seem to be fighting amongst themselves about who has the "sources" (i.e., has harassed enough minor league players and agents) to know that Reynolds is going on paternity leave and Madris is being called up.

It's a blow to lose Reynolds obviously, but not a bad way for Madris to get an early crack at having his bat in the lineup, even if it might mean that JVM and Yoshi draw some more playing time through the weekend. Both really need to be off the roster by this time next week.
 
I've seen some scattered suggestions that the Phillies could be in on Quintana, and though their system is top heavy with some guys who I think wouldn't be the fit, a swap centered around the tentative Friday starters (Quintana and Bailey Falter) might be pretty interesting.

Falter's got weird deception with a fastball that plays way up, but because of secondaries, it's not clear if he sticks as a starter or moves into a bullpen role. That strikes me as the kind of profile that maybe plays up a little bit more in the NL Central as a starter, and having a LHP immediate weapon in the pen to go along with Holderman, Crowe, and Bednar would also not be the worst result.

From the Phillies side, Dombrowski is well-known to not give one lick about prospects and they are still right in striking distance for a WC spot despite having Harper out. Hard to get a gauge on how Falter would be valued (FG had him as a 45FV as a prospect, which seems on the upper end of what Quintana gets at the front of a deal), but might be a good opportunity to follow suit with the Vogelbach trade.
 
I should have added that Robert Murray said in a livestream today that we prefer to move him before his start tomorrow, so I assume things are fairly advanced with whoever we are in talks with. I'm remaining a bit skeptical, but I do think this is a strategy that makes sense: try and ferret out the teams who would otherwise drag their feet to see how the market plays out with Q as a backup. If the offer isn't there, you don't have to fold, but for certain teams, it might work to create a bit of a pressure cooker.

Not that it has to be the Phillies, but just as an example, they aren't going to go out and get Castillo, and I doubt the Jays will make that big of a splash either.
 
No chance I start Q tomorrow, regardless of a deal happening or not. Risk injury or a meltdown game and that hurts value.

But I think he's moved in the next 24 hours regardless.
 
Well, the way we're going, we'll almost surely be in the lotto running for 1st overall next year. I'd expect to pick top 5 again unless the lotto screws us or we go on an impressive August/September run, which doesn't seem likely.
 
LOL. Pathetic Organization. Trend line going downward.

But like another $1M to the bonus pool to draft our soon-to-be-ranked #13 prospect.
 
That was almost exciting. It's hard to stomach these games until we hopefully get through the deadline and churn some of the players for prospects, though I'm not even sure who is called up right away. Maybe Marcano, but Bae now has an oblique issue, and Suwinski is striking out like crazy. Swaggerty has also not been great.

The other plus is that I think Cruz looks a lot better in terms of his aggression and making the right decisions. He just missed the big HR earlier, and he also battled well against Wheeler and spat on a bunch of bad pitches to work the walk. He's night and day from how he was prior to the break.
 


That will be nice to not have looming.

With Hayes, I think we're moving into a period of real worry with his bat, even if the defense is actually so good that he's still a very valuable player (and by that measure -- I understand that this is counterintuitive, but it's still the case -- the contract is perfectly fine). He is clearly not the same since the collision at the plate, which is the second year in a row that a big, lingering injury has impacted him.

More worryingly, I think, is that this kind of hitter is the guy he was in the minors. More power is not going to come until he changes his approach, and I am not confident that he will. All of the underlying data suggests that he should hit for increased power, but his swing doesn't get any loft at all, and he doesn't hit the ball at the right contact point to get results that are within his reach.

It's definitely a little easy to just cherry pick this stuff, but it's all right there. It's funny, as Hayes would probably benefit from selling out more and striking out more, because he'd start hitting bombs and more doubles. As it stands right now, he's basically a singles hitter who is prone to some streakiness, i.e., not the guy you want hitting in any of the important spots in the order on a better team.
 


That will be nice to not have looming.

With Hayes, I think we're moving into a period of real worry with his bat, even if the defense is actually so good that he's still a very valuable player (and by that measure -- I understand that this is counterintuitive, but it's still the case -- the contract is perfectly fine). He is clearly not the same since the collision at the plate, which is the second year in a row that a big, lingering injury has impacted him.

More worryingly, I think, is that this kind of hitter is the guy he was in the minors. More power is not going to come until he changes his approach, and I am not confident that he will. All of the underlying data suggests that he should hit for increased power, but his swing doesn't get any loft at all, and he doesn't hit the ball at the right contact point to get results that are within his reach.

It's definitely a little easy to just cherry pick this stuff, but it's all right there. It's funny, as Hayes would probably benefit from selling out more and striking out more, because he'd start hitting bombs and more doubles. As it stands right now, he's basically a singles hitter who is prone to some streakiness, i.e., not the guy you want hitting in any of the important spots in the order on a better team.


I think Hayes has a technically nice swing and a good eye, but he's less than the sum of his parts.

There is a distinct lack of feel and intention in his swing. It looks like he's practicing and not actually trying to hit. I don't mean that from an effort perspective...just that he is so technical that there's a real "bat meet ball, ball go boom" that is missing from his whole approach. Again the basic inability to pull a baseball in the air is a testament to this. He can't do it.
 
Hayes reminds me of Bell, Walker and Reynolds.

How they hit from the right side.

I'm being serious.
 


That will be nice to not have looming.

With Hayes, I think we're moving into a period of real worry with his bat, even if the defense is actually so good that he's still a very valuable player (and by that measure -- I understand that this is counterintuitive, but it's still the case -- the contract is perfectly fine). He is clearly not the same since the collision at the plate, which is the second year in a row that a big, lingering injury has impacted him.

More worryingly, I think, is that this kind of hitter is the guy he was in the minors. More power is not going to come until he changes his approach, and I am not confident that he will. All of the underlying data suggests that he should hit for increased power, but his swing doesn't get any loft at all, and he doesn't hit the ball at the right contact point to get results that are within his reach.

It's definitely a little easy to just cherry pick this stuff, but it's all right there. It's funny, as Hayes would probably benefit from selling out more and striking out more, because he'd start hitting bombs and more doubles. As it stands right now, he's basically a singles hitter who is prone to some streakiness, i.e., not the guy you want hitting in any of the important spots in the order on a better team.


Johnson signing for the weekend exposure. Never worried there.

And the money we just guaranteed Hayes means as long as you have an obtuse nudnik running the team on gamedays, he's going to get pushed like a better ballplayer than he current is and has been for the past year.

Great glove (and honestly, he's had spurts of shit there which needs to be trimmed. he's not a gold glove guy yet) but the bat is just flat out shit. And I don't care that he's .240-.250. It's an empty average. A guy that hits singles exclusively should never be in the top 2/3 of your order.

Because he has that contract, regardless of slump, he's going to get the 1-3 hole. Unless you're a certified star/superstar, a position in the lineup should not be a lock. Again though, the money alone is going to force him into a net negative role for us.
 
Big fan of their publication. Top 150 for next year has been updated. At least dreaming about a great prospect feels nice.

The more I'm reading, it does seem like Crews has a pretty immense ceiling. Dollander will be an arm to watch closely. He also could elevate himself to a really high level. Only saw him twice this year but the stuff is wicked.

Looks like a strooong OF draft.

 
I have no idea. The only way I can describe it is, it's like Hayes is intentionally trying to slice a golf ball....He looks awful to me.

It's like a golfer who only hits at the driving range and you take him to the course. Sidehills. Different lies. And meanwhile he's just doing the same driving range swing. That's what it looks like to me.

It really does remind me of a switch-hitter's weaker side. Think of how aggressively Bell hit from the left side and how kinda technical-but-rigid he was from the right side.

He also has a lot of voices in there. His dad made the rounds when the extension was signed and Greg Brown started asking him about Key's hitting and Charlie started saying "you know, sometimes I worry that I ruined him..." and then something happened in the game and Charlie didn't get to finish his thought.

I feel like with him an outside the box approach is warranted in the offseason to building an intuition around impact. Home Run Derby. Swing a shorter bat. Hit a tennis ball. Hit some lefty. Hit off a tee. Play with radically different stances. I ain't no expert but I know an athlete that is technical-not-fluid when I see one.
 
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