You can go back and read the threads from 16-17 and it doesn't seem like anyone thought that team was capable of going on a run either. In fact, there are a lot of posts that you could pretty much copy and paste into threads nowadays and change a couple names and get a lot of agreement. Specifically, a lot of people questioning Lavi as a coach and putting him on the hot seat. A lot of posts questioning if Pekka is on his way out and we should turn to Saros more. The thing is I think those were perfectly reasonable takes at the time, but things can change really quickly in the NHL. I don't particularly have confidence we could go on a run in the playoffs, but I think our roster is definitely capable of it. Similarly, I'm not crazy about Hynes but we've had runs under him where we've been as good as anyone in the league too.
The issue is you can always look at one aberration to justify irrational confidence in a team. Lots of fans think if only this, this, this, this, this, and this, and oh yeah, this go right than we can compete for the cup!
The 16-17 team was an example of a team catching fire at the exact right moment. I would argue the momentum they built in the first two wins in Chicago carried them to the Cup finals that year. Pekka stole the first game and the Preds came into game 2 with confidence and swagger and womped the Hawks that second game. Everything snowballed from there.
Another key factor was, in hindsight, that was a relatively easy path to the Cup. We can now see that the Hawks were not that great. They were top-heavy and at the very end of their cup window. That was a really flawed team. STL was a solid team. I would compare them favorably that year to the Preds. Preds just had lots of momentum and chemistry at that moment and used it to ride past them. Anahiem: the way they were constructed the Preds always played them well. None of those teams were what I would define as elite or even great.
Pittsburgh was a great team, and while Preds played them well in Nashville, they got steamrolled in Pitt.
This year's Pred's team does not inspire me to believe they could make a run, however, looking at the Western conference, it is not super strong this year. If the Preds could suddenly click it's not outside the realm of possibility. I wouldn't bet on it though,