Poster predicts goal over 5 months out - to the period

[Blitzkrug]

I don't know what disturbs me more; the fact he was right, or the fact Bartkowski actually did something.

 

[JA]

he scored 3 goals earlier this season, and 2 the day the poster predicted it (one in the 2nd, one in the 3rd)

Last night might have been Bartkowski's best game of the season.

 

[PanthersHockey1]

What are the mathematical odds of predicting this?

 

[Mattilaus]

What are the mathematical odds of predicting this?

Just spit balling but I think earlier we established he scores roughly .05 goals per game? Divided by 3 periods is .016 goals per period (ignoring OT because it makes my head hurt)

so something like .016%? I am bad at stats, someone please help me.

 

[Beerfish]

How many puppies had to be bought becasue of this? 100?

 

[DearDiary]

Thread is already referenced on a conspiracy forum with one poster saying he's going to research the post history...

 

[I am toxic]

Thread is already referenced on a conspiracy forum with one poster saying he's going to research the post history...

Beyond the inability to edit a post without it showing, other posters here have stated they read the post back when it was made, long before last night. Otherwise I would not have started this thread.


According to another poster, wayback machine says same. Certainly looks like it.

 

[Esq]

I'm literally speechless.

 

[QnebO]

He knows how to cheat the universe.. burn him before he takes over the power.

He even said he would by luca sbisa jersey if he is wrong. He is rubbing it, taunting it 5months before. This guy is outta control.

I'd even go as far as calling it the apocalypse is now. Somehow, he has come to earth to trigger it.

 

[BigTruzz]

Lol that's awesome. Posting in epic thread.

 

[Buck Aki Berg]

Meh ... broken clocks, blind squirrels, and such.

He picked a random game out of 82 and a random period out of 3. 246-1 odds, about the same as winning a church raffle.




Why yes, I am fun at parties.

 

[Fear]

Just spit balling but I think earlier we established he scores roughly .05 goals per game? Divided by 3 periods is .016 goals per period (ignoring OT because it makes my head hurt)

so something like .016%? I am bad at stats, someone please help me.

Should be 1.6%, assuming that he scores equally no matter who the opponent is or where/when the game is.

And he's never scored an OT goal so we'll just pretend he never will

 

[Cyclones Rock]

Oh Great Big Rings,

Ye of Immeasurably Prescience. I have a request which will be of profound ease to a man of such vision.

Who is going to win the 5th at Aqueduct. Post time is in 6 minutes.

In all seriousness, what an amazing call. Odds have to been enormous against calling that one.

 

[CBJ goalie]

So, has Big Rings posted since then?
Is he/she soaking in all the bragging rights?

 

[lush]

This prediction coming true is probably the highlight of the season for me

 

[Reddwit]

Questions that need answers:

1. Is Big Rings in the habit of making random predictions such as this?
2. Why did Big Rings make such a random prediction in the first place?

This is amazing. And slightly disturbing.

Also, this prediction is infinitely more amazing based on the fact that Bartkowski barely scores.

 

[W75]

/hfboards

 

[Reddwit]

Meh ... broken clocks, blind squirrels, and such.

He picked a random game out of 82 and a random period out of 3. 246-1 odds, about the same as winning a church raffle.




Why yes, I am fun at parties.

But he also picked a random player. A random player whose likelihood of scoring a goal is considerably below average.

 

[These Are The Days]

Speech! Speech!!

 

[me2]

would've been sick if it was his 1st goal of the year tho

He was only 4 months and a week out. That is damn close. His first was Oct 18.

 

[BenningHurtsMySoul]

Crazy. What were the odds of that

 

[Hardyvan123]

would've been sick if it was his 1st goal of the year tho

so in a sense his prediction was off a bit...still I fully expect a reality TV show focusing on this one prediction then a guest spot on trailer park boys.

 

[W75]

Crazy. What were the odds of that

Big Rings doesn't care about odds. Odds care about him.

 

[me2]

Questions that need answers:

1. Is Big Rings in the habit of making random predictions such as this?
2. Why did Big Rings make such a random prediction in the first place?

This is amazing. And slightly disturbing.

Also, this prediction is infinitely more amazing based on the fact that Bartkowski barely scores.

1. No
2. Predicting the Bartkowski's first NHL goal after never scoring in Boston.

 

[Captain Bowie]

Yeah, it's 1/256 if he scores every period. The chance is astronomically lower then that.

If he scores every period (256 goals a season) then the odds are 1/1 because no matter which period you pick, you're right.

Those are the odds without knowing how many goals in the season he will score. In practice you would have an easy time guessing a random period and being right for a guy like Ovechkin or Kane, because they score a lot more often.