The Peterborough Petes are in no win situation. They are currently leading the Eastern Conference but lack young players and draft picks from their last two runs (2019-2020 and 2022-2023) to first make any additions and for the future. Because of this many people think they should be going into a rebuild to add young players and draft picks. It is hard decision to trade away your best players when you have a chance to finish 1st in the East Division and at the very least win a round or two. It will be a hard sell to fans go from a team seen as a contender to a team that could miss the playoffs.
The Petes have never said for sure this is a rebuilding year. At the start the season and more recently they indicated they are trying to determine what type of team they are. There are now two members of the media that have said that the Petes will be buyers at the deadline. Team President, Dave Lorentz has indicated that the plan is that the Petes will strive to be competitive every year and GM, Mike Oke said when he signed his new contract and got his promotion that he has a plan to get the Petes back to the Memorial Cup within the next five years.
I do not think the Petes will be buyers at the deadline, I also doubt they will keep their current lineup intact. I think they will do a measured rebuild with the aim of remaining competitive but getting younger and adding needed draft picks. I think the Petes will trade Owen Beck and Sam Mayer. They will likely keep Jax Dubois, Jonathan Melee, Tommy Purdeller and Chase Lefebvre at forward and Donovan McCoy, Konnor Smith and Cam Gauvreau on Defence and both goaltenders. This will give them a solid foundation as they go into a small rebuild. I think they could will trade Beck for a young player but it may not be a 16 or 17 year old player drafted in the 1st round. I think they will likely target a 17 year old forward taken in a later round (round 2 to 4) instead and will get two 2nds and one or two, 3rds and if they don’t get the second, 3rd a 4th. I think they will accept a lesser player to get more draft picks. They could get a 17 year or 18 old defenceman plus a 2nd and a 3rd or 4th for Mayer.
If they get this return they would have four, seconds, four to six, 3rds, one to three, 4ths and five, 5ths over the next four drafts. They would also receive a young forward and defenceman in the deals. They then could trade a 3rd and 5th for an overage forward to replace Mayer as an overage and take Beck’s place on the top line. They also could make a trade for a project player that may cost them a 4th or a 5th. In the end they will have replaced Owen Beck and Sam Mayer (likely not at the same level as they are at) and added two additional forwards.
This will allow Peterborough to remain competitive but maybe not be a contender and add needed draft picks. After these trades they would still have the four 2nds, three to five 3rds, maybe two, 4ths and three to four, 5ths. Plus three additional players that would return next year.