Salary Cap: Pens '23-'24 Salary Cap Thread: "Mandrake, do you recall what Clemenceau once said about hockey"

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It's all risk-based and Sullivan, much like his coaching brethren in Steelers headquarters is all about that high floor, low ceiling talent. And that conservative approach leaves you mired in mediocrity, especially since such an approach tends to bring about .500 performance anyway.

Sully would rather not make any changes. Why? let's play a game we did in my college statistics class:

Choice A Risk: Potentially Improves your chances 2%. Decreases your chances 2%
Choice B Risk: Potentially improves your chances 10%. Decreases your chances 5%

Sully is picking A every day of the week and twice on Sunday. I get it and if you are the Av's or Bruins you can say that is a wise approach. If you are a team on the cusp of the playoffs, why wouldn't you take that gamble? The loss factor is inconsequential because missing the Wild Card by 1 point or 10 points is irrelevant.

So we will not be seeing Ty Smith. A person who theoretically could boost the 1 area your team needs a major boost. Same for Puus, who seemed to give the PP some life. Those guys are too much Choice B where things could unravel for these youngsters quickly.

So not only can he not take appropriate risk analysis, he's a shitty coach to boot lol

Put this on a sign and hold it up during the game.
 
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"After careful consideration and evaluation, the Pittsburgh Penguins organization has made the difficult decision to relieve Mike Sullivan of his duties as head coach. We appreciate Mike's dedication and contributions to the team over the years, but unfortunately, we believe a change is necessary at this time.

While Mike has had success in the past, we feel his inability to effectively manage the roster and run a cohesive powerplay unit has hindered our performance this season. We believe it's in the best interest of the team to move in a new direction.

We want to thank Mike for his hard work and wish him the best of luck in his future endeavors. We understand he will be taking a position coaching mini mites youth level hockey in Latvia, and we have no doubt he will excel in that role."

Just in case Kyle needs a template.
 
Grundstrom is not a young player anymore and isn’t very good…Turcotte doesn’t look like he’ll be very good.. maybe Kaliyev…hell, give LA both Jake and Jarry for Byfield, Kaliyev and a cap dump lol
The kings don't have the cap space without sending back salary and the guys the kings would want to send back the pens shouldn't take.

Also, Turcotte can't stay healthy, he cannot be the centerpiece of a Jake trade when he only plays half a season at most.

And Kaliyev, if kings fans are to be taken seriously, will be waiver foder more sooner than later. A very one dimensional forward who is a poor skater at the NHL level. He's a just a pilon with a good shot, you could probably pick him up for a 3rd round pick right now and kings fans would be elated.

I'm expecting something completely out of left field at this point.

Like something beyond stupid that dubas can sell as looking towards the future while staying competitive now. Like Jake extended with PoJ (because Sullivan has wrecked him so just ship him out with Jake not matter what) and a first for Zegras and Gauthier.

Zegras, who makes like 5 mil I think, is on the rocks with verbeek right now,.has been shifted to wing, and is reported to be on the block. The ducks top two centers moving forward are carlsson and mactavish, with gaucher projecting to eventually be a great defensive minded number 3. At wing they have terry for like 7 more years and strome and vatrano for the next 3.

They have an absolute crap ton of cap space, a really good young goalie, and the best prospect pool in the NHL with some great defenders coming up.

Jakes the guy you bring in to teach mactavish, terry, Carlson, and eventually gaucher/Perrault/pastojov everything he learned from sid about being a professional and Jake with Carlson put up more points each of the next 5 years than Carlson/Zegras does. They can easily absorb his salary moving forward and still have caproom to build around their core guys.

And Dubas can be like, "hey, ignore the missed playoffs in sids golden years look at how well zegas skates (and ignore his lack of back checking) and we got that kid that told the flyers to go eff them selves. Are you not entertained? Ignore Sullivan's ineptitude, that Zegras kid just scored a Michigan! Please like me!"

I am saying a move like that is the right one? No, giving up Jake AND assets for some flashy but damaged goods probably blows up in your face, (see LA with dubois) but something like that feels on brand for dubas.
 
The kings don't have the cap space without sending back salary and the guys the kings would want to send back the pens shouldn't take.

Also, Turcotte can't stay healthy, he cannot be the centerpiece of a Jake trade when he only plays half a season at most.

And Kaliyev, if kings fans are to be taken seriously, will be waiver foder more sooner than later. A very one dimensional forward who is a poor skater at the NHL level. He's a just a pilon with a good shot, you could probably pick him up for a 3rd round pick right now and kings fans would be elated.

I'm expecting something completely out of left field at this point.

Like something beyond stupid that dubas can sell as looking towards the future while staying competitive now. Like Jake extended with PoJ (because Sullivan has wrecked him so just ship him out with Jake not matter what) and a first for Zegras and Gauthier.

Zegras, who makes like 5 mil I think, is on the rocks with verbeek right now,.has been shifted to wing, and is reported to be on the block. The ducks top two centers moving forward are carlsson and mactavish, with gaucher projecting to eventually be a great defensive minded number 3. At wing they have terry for like 7 more years and strome and vatrano for the next 3.

They have an absolute crap ton of cap space, a really good young goalie, and the best prospect pool in the NHL with some great defenders coming up.

Jakes the guy you bring in to teach mactavish, terry, Carlson, and eventually gaucher/Perrault/pastojov everything he learned from sid about being a professional and Jake with Carlson put up more points each of the next 5 years than Carlson/Zegras does. They can easily absorb his salary moving forward and still have caproom to build around their core guys.

And Dubas can be like, "hey, ignore the missed playoffs in sids golden years look at how well zegas skates (and ignore his lack of back checking) and we got that kid that told the flyers to go eff them selves. Are you not entertained? Ignore Sullivan's ineptitude, that Zegras kid just scored a Michigan! Please like me!"

I am saying a move like that is the right one? No, giving up Jake AND assets for some flashy but damaged goods probably blows up in your face, (see LA with dubois) but something like that feels on brand for dubas.
I asked on the main boards, no reply as of yet. Not sure if good value or not. If the Preds want to make a run for the playoffs, currently 1 point back, would Kemmell, Novak and a pick (1st) move the needle? Preds fans would probably say no, everyone over rates their prospects. Might be too hit or miss for the Pens' side.
 
The kings don't have the cap space without sending back salary and the guys the kings would want to send back the pens shouldn't take.

Also, Turcotte can't stay healthy, he cannot be the centerpiece of a Jake trade when he only plays half a season at most.

And Kaliyev, if kings fans are to be taken seriously, will be waiver foder more sooner than later. A very one dimensional forward who is a poor skater at the NHL level. He's a just a pilon with a good shot, you could probably pick him up for a 3rd round pick right now and kings fans would be elated.

I'm expecting something completely out of left field at this point.

Like something beyond stupid that dubas can sell as looking towards the future while staying competitive now. Like Jake extended with PoJ (because Sullivan has wrecked him so just ship him out with Jake not matter what) and a first for Zegras and Gauthier.

Zegras, who makes like 5 mil I think, is on the rocks with verbeek right now,.has been shifted to wing, and is reported to be on the block. The ducks top two centers moving forward are carlsson and mactavish, with gaucher projecting to eventually be a great defensive minded number 3. At wing they have terry for like 7 more years and strome and vatrano for the next 3.

They have an absolute crap ton of cap space, a really good young goalie, and the best prospect pool in the NHL with some great defenders coming up.

Jakes the guy you bring in to teach mactavish, terry, Carlson, and eventually gaucher/Perrault/pastojov everything he learned from sid about being a professional and Jake with Carlson put up more points each of the next 5 years than Carlson/Zegras does. They can easily absorb his salary moving forward and still have caproom to build around their core guys.

And Dubas can be like, "hey, ignore the missed playoffs in sids golden years look at how well zegas skates (and ignore his lack of back checking) and we got that kid that told the flyers to go eff them selves. Are you not entertained? Ignore Sullivan's ineptitude, that Zegras kid just scored a Michigan! Please like me!"

I am saying a move like that is the right one? No, giving up Jake AND assets for some flashy but damaged goods probably blows up in your face, (see LA with dubois) but something like that feels on brand for dubas.
Not interested in Zegras at all…if I’m trading w Anaheim I want Mactavish back at minimum or Carlson…we need a young center..not taking someone else’s crap back…otherwise just resign Jake
 
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It's all risk-based and Sullivan, much like his coaching brethren in Steelers headquarters is all about that high floor, low ceiling talent. And that conservative approach leaves you mired in mediocrity, especially since such an approach tends to bring about .500 performance anyway.

Sully would rather not make any changes. Why? let's play a game we did in my college statistics class:

Choice A Risk: Potentially Improves your chances 2%. Decreases your chances 2%
Choice B Risk: Potentially improves your chances 10%. Decreases your chances 5%

Sully is picking A every day of the week and twice on Sunday. I get it and if you are the Av's or Bruins you can say that is a wise approach. If you are a team on the cusp of the playoffs, why wouldn't you take that gamble? The loss factor is inconsequential because missing the Wild Card by 1 point or 10 points is irrelevant.

So we will not be seeing Ty Smith. A person who theoretically could boost the 1 area your team needs a major boost. Same for Puus, who seemed to give the PP some life. Those guys are too much Choice B where things could unravel for these youngsters quickly.

So not only can he not take appropriate risk analysis, he's a shitty coach to boot lol
the pp needs more than one guy doing the right things to make it work. but i agree with your thought behind it.
 
Honestly, the best argument against a Jake trade is simply that we don't trust our scouts to target players worth bringing back. :laugh:
Kristen-Bell-Laughing-to-Crying.gif

I asked on the main boards, no reply as of yet. Not sure if good value or not. If the Preds want to make a run for the playoffs, currently 1 point back, would Kemmell, Novak and a pick (1st) move the needle? Preds fans would probably say no, everyone over rates their prospects. Might be too hit or miss for the Pens' side.
I asked LA and Nashville people and neither side thing that a Jake trade is right for them. Nashville is still in rebuild mode. LA is decent location but they don't want to spend major assets for a rental when they are WC1/2.
 
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Kristen-Bell-Laughing-to-Crying.gif


I asked LA and Nashville people and neither side thing that a Jake trade is right for them. Nashville is still in rebuild mode. LA is decent location but they don't want to spend major assets for a rental when they are WC1/2.
Kings fans are the funniest bunch. They are so, so conservative. They never want to make a move to make the team better. They are always not quite ready yet.
 
Not interested in Zegras at all…if I’m trading w Anaheim I want Mactavish back at minimum or Carlson…we need a young center..not taking someone else’s crap back…otherwise just resign Jake

Zegras isn't ideal, but you're not getting Carlson or mactavish off of the ducks, and I'm a guy the feels that the redwings should be offering up Danielson or edvinsson as the center price of a Jake deal.

But,

Positives: he's only 22, had back to back 23 goal 60pt seasons before being pushed to wing this year. He skates really well and has a crap ton of talent. Is a natural center. He's under contract for a couple more years so there is team control.

Negatives: doesn't play defense, only cares about scoring, not physical at all, butts heads with Coach when moved to wing because he struggles at wing without the open ice at the center position.

Again, have no expectations that a Jake for Zegras deal would happen, just seems like a dubas move. But, if it did, the only hope is that sid rubs off on him and he gets it together and plays a more complete game. Also he would immediately improve the powerplay and could move Geno to wing (with a defensively responsible winger) which I think has to happen at this point one way or another.

If something like that happens maybe smith to the jets for iafallo might be a good move. Iafallo could balance out Geno if he is placed with another non-defensive forward on line 2.

Iafallo has been on the jets 4th line and seems like a poor fit with them, he and smith are similar ages and similar contacts so it's more of a hockey trade than dumping smith.

Kings fans are the funniest bunch. They are so, so conservative. They never want to make a move to make the team better. They are always not quite ready yet.
After giving up a kings random for dubois I understand being conservative.
 
Saravalli did a trade matchmaker piece that includes Guentzel.

Here's his proposed trade:
To Colorado: Jake Guentzel (50% retained), Alex Nedeljkovic
To Pittsburgh: 2024 1st Rd Pick, 2025 1st Rd Pick, 2025 3rd Rd Pick


That seems underwhelming to me given how late the picks are going to be in the first round, the fact that the goalie market is very much a seller's market, and that Guentzel is being retained at 50%.
 
Saravalli did a trade matchmaker piece that includes Guentzel.

Here's his proposed trade:
To Colorado: Jake Guentzel (50% retained), Alex Nedeljkovic
To Pittsburgh: 2024 1st Rd Pick, 2025 1st Rd Pick, 2025 3rd Rd Pick


That seems underwhelming to me given how late the picks are going to be in the first round, the fact that the goalie market is very much a seller's market, and that Guentzel is being retained at 50%.

Change it to Callum Ritchie/Kovalenko+.
 
Saravalli did a trade matchmaker piece that includes Guentzel.

Here's his proposed trade:
To Colorado: Jake Guentzel (50% retained), Alex Nedeljkovic
To Pittsburgh: 2024 1st Rd Pick, 2025 1st Rd Pick, 2025 3rd Rd Pick


That seems underwhelming to me given how late the picks are going to be in the first round, the fact that the goalie market is very much a seller's market, and that Guentzel is being retained at 50%.
If we accept the "young player, prospect, 1st" as the framework and you say Neds is worth a 3rd, then two 1sts is an interesting return for a rental. I think that would be the first time that ever happened. Young RFAs, sure. 29yo rentals? No. Even though they are late, I don't know...I think we take that and run and then try to weaponize the cap space.

Sure there is some $3mil player out there that a team needs to dump to us. Maybe you could get NYR to give up another 1st to send up Goodrow. Or you get Toronto to pay to send us Domi or Edmonton with Foegele. In that instance, say you get an additional 3rd, then it becomes more in line with what we thought: 2 1sts, 2 3rds. And you get $6mil in space next year to do with as you please.

Something I might be willing to float if this trade happens:
Kakko+Goodrow+2024 1st
for
2024 2nd+Acciari

XXXX-Sid-Rust
Smith-Malkin-Rakell
DOC-Eller-Kakko
Nieto-Goodrow-XXXX

with a massive cap space fund. Course if they decide to tank the season, I'd also be sending Smith out. That's where Smith+3rd for Foegele+1st could be discussed.

If they waive the white flag, there are sooooo many different combinations they could try to really retool. Say you do everything I just said, which is hardly unreasonable, and you come away with 4 1st round picks in the upcoming drafts. You want to restock the prospect pool? Boom. And with the cap going up and available FAs or potentially available cap casualties, I think you could signed/trade for enough talent to take another run next year.
 
Pens next number of games will probably dictate moves. Lose the next 3 out of 5 and kiss it goodby. I think FSG will keep Letang and the Hextall core signings for one more year. Than make all the deals in Rust, Karlsson, Geno, and rebuild the system. Sullivan gone and Sid still has two years if he really wants to play in the olympics in 2026.
 
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