It;s not a worthwhile gamble. It's a big gamble. He's 31, and takes up almost all of the cap space we freed up. If he flops it's a compete failure, not only for this year, but for 2 more years. If he sucks that contract is going to be completely immovable without adding incentive to take the contract on.
By most advanced metrics he's underperformed relative to other Nashville players, but those metrics are generally shot based one way or another, and hes not a shoot first player. This also flys in the face of getting tougher to play against. Might as well add Bjugstad and some Lady Byng finalists at this rate.
I'd be fine with him at like $4 million.
Fans acting like he sucks because his JFresh chart is bad just reminds me of when everyone said Rakell sucked last year when the Penguins got him:
With the Rakell chart there was some underlying numbers that showed some promise, even on a bad team, and he wasn't wrong about Rakell not reallly driving play himself. He has worked out great with Malkin and Sid as noted as well.