Confirmed with Link: Oilers Do Not Match Broberg ($4.58M X2) & Holloway ($2.29M x 2) Offer Sheets | Oilers acquire STL 3rd '28 & Paul Fischer for Futures

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What Would You Do?


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Dazed and Confused

Ludicrous speed, GO!
Aug 10, 2007
6,329
2,868
Berlin, Germany
... you don’t let a top prospect that you’ve spent 5 years developing go for a 2nd to keep a player like Kulak or Ceci.

If you match Broberg. you're probably looking at a defence of...

Ekholm-Bouchard
Nurse-Stecher
Broberg-Lindstrom/Kemp/Brown
Kemp/Brown

And you won't have the cap space to upgrade anyone. If he doesn't take that step forward, that is absolutely crippling.


Meanwhile if you keep Kulak and Ceci, you at least know the 3rd pairing will be a source of stability while you figure out the best partner for Nurse.
 

McShogun99

Registered User
Aug 30, 2009
18,592
15,094
Edmonton
Ah the magic word “potentially”. That’s a risky bet at 4.6M.
It’s a 1 year bet. You can trade him next August with the worst case scenarios being to buy him out or waive him. He looked good on the biggest stage playing his off side and will be better on his natural side. That’s why STL offered him so much to pry him away from us.
 
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McBooya42

Let's do this!
Jun 28, 2010
9,157
7,090
Edmonton
He’ll potentially be our top pairing LD in a few years, something Kulak doesn’t have the skill to be. If the Oilers locked him up earlier it wouldn’t have come to this but you don’t let a top prospect that you’ve spent 5 years developing go for a 2nd to keep a player like Kulak or Ceci.
He got an offer and refused to sign it, and instead wait for the summer. What else were they supposed to do?
 

CycloneSweep

Registered User
Sep 27, 2017
50,403
42,150
Really good arguments for keeping or letting these players go. It's a tough call in my eyes, but either way, it can work.

I don't see Perry being of use
I don't see Ceci handling top 4
I don't see Kane helping us as he is paid too much, with his aging body (love his game thou). Wish him the best.

I see youth and speed helping the core win the cup. Organic growth inproves us.

We are old and slow, in a lot of ways.

Broberg is a great talent that has more strength and confidence at his maturing age. This was clear. He is ready for a spot, even if it's 3rd pairing.

So retool a bit, with letting the aging players go, and keeping youth, to go with the core.

It just sucks, that the right side D, is the need.

We will have a hard time winning, with Ceci in our top 4, and guys like Perry.

I guess if Broberg plays 3rd pair, it does boost the other 1/2 pair, as you spread minutes better.


Retool your team with the cards your delt. A bigger shuffle then we had planned for, but the logistics dictate that we rethink a lot of things.

We definatly need to inprove the defence, or smaller chance for glory.

Broberg is similar at his age to Chara, Pronger, and many other good defenceman before they matured. Having said that, he could fall flat too.
Okay but to retool like you said and keep Broberg we will be a worse team. We can’t afford to keep Broberg and move Ceci for an upgrade.

Not really. Even if we went LTIR for Kane, and don’t accrue capspace, it’s not a big ask for 50% retention at the deadline. And if they took back Ceci, that means you can add any player who makes less than 6.5 million. And if you do double retention, you can add any dman in the league. It just means you’re limiting yourself to a pure rental right before the deadline. And if you run into a snag like last year where the only real upgrade on RD was Tanev who the Flames refused to trade to us, you’re screwed.
thats only on the miracle chance Kane is out for the whole year which it doesn’t look like he should be
 

CycloneSweep

Registered User
Sep 27, 2017
50,403
42,150
It’s a 1 year bet. You can trade him next August with the worst case scenarios being to buy him out or waive him. He looked good on the biggest stage playing his off side and will be better on his natural side. That’s why STL offered him so much to pry him away from us.
A one year high risk bet for a team that’s had a real good chance to win the cup this year and it might be our last GOOD chance.
Potentially throwing all that away on a player that might be a bottom pairing D this year is insane.
STL can afford to do this cause they are not in that window. They are in the middle of a retool.
 

OilerTyler

Disgruntled
Jul 5, 2009
17,147
9,392
Edmonton
It’s a 1 year bet. You can trade him next August with the worst case scenarios being to buy him out or waive him. He looked good on the biggest stage playing his off side and will be better on his natural side. That’s why STL offered him so much to pry him away from us.

It’s a 1 year bet but that 1 year could also be our last year of McDrai. If Broberg flounders we are pretty much screwed. He looked good in the playoffs but it’s probably worth remembering he was considered a bust four months ago.
 

belair

Win it for Ben!
Apr 9, 2010
39,347
22,943
Canada
Trade Kulak, take the 3rd for Holloway and PTO Yamamoto and Zadina. Stecher is your starting #6, Josh Brown #7.

There's just no feasible replacement for Broberg long-term. Too much of the team's future on D hangs in how much is left in the tank for Ekholm. If Nurse doesn't have a rebound, there are questions there, too.

I like where the trajectory was headed for both of these prospects, but we just can't afford to hang into both of them without significantly hindering the team's depth this season.
 
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Faelko

Registered User
Aug 11, 2002
11,995
5,250
It’s a 1 year bet. You can trade him next August with the worst case scenarios being to buy him out or waive him. He looked good on the biggest stage playing his off side and will be better on his natural side. That’s why STL offered him so much to pry him away from us.
So if he sucks this year and the Oilers decide to trade him, what kind of return do you expect for a guy making 4.6M playing third pair? I like Broberg at 1.5M, not at 4.6M and weakens our defensive depth.
 

Broberg Speed

Registered User
Oct 23, 2020
7,992
5,371
Trade Kulak, take the 3rd for Holloway and PTO Yamamoto and Zadina. Stecher is your starting #6, Josh Brown #7.

There's just no feasible replacement for Broberg long-term. Too much of the team's future on D hangs in how much is left in the tank for Ekholm. If Nurse doesn't have a rebound, there are questions there, too.

I like where the trajectory was headed for both of these prospects, but we just can't afford to hang into both of them with significantly hindering the team's depth this season.
Why do we have to bring bad UFAs into camp? Why not make a trade to improve the team?
Bring Barrie and Schultz in on PTOs maybe?
Why not make a trade before the deadline, move out cap and get better at the same time. Perhaps we should be moving Kulak and Ceci. Why do we need to downgrade with Barrie and Schultz? Get better not worse. Maybe keep the youth with upside.
 
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Behind Enemy Lines

Registered User
Feb 19, 2003
16,392
18,053
Vancouver
Help me understand LTIR.

if Kane is LTIR to begin the season, doesn't it make sense to try to add another LTIR contract to increase the pool and ensure a financial safety net if/when Kane returns in season.

Example: Shea Weber $7,857,143 x 2 cap hit. Not ideal that it's 2 years but frankly with the dollar amount and Oil needing to find cap savings this year and frankly next, it gives a very solid 'legal' cap overage.

Furthermore, Utah no longer needs this salary for cap compliance. Removing it helps them to create cap space and move to in-season accrual pool. Looking at their d-corp, they might actually be able to utilize a Kulak to augment their left side that has 35 year old Ian Cole at 3LD. Oh... and Utah is in St. Louis's division ;)

Net effect:
Oilers LTIR: $10,232,143 to start this season.
After Kane Activation LTIR Pool:$5,107,143

2025-26 Season:
Oilers LTIR: $7,857,143 (Shea Weber final year cap hit). Might actually help buffer to new Draisaitl contract?

Frees money to sign Broberg (no problem); Holloway (no problem); Broberg + Holloway (with need to trade Ceci at deadline). Remaining Available LTIR: $877,143 with team need to find Ceci upgrade.

Is this scenario possible under LTIR? Or I am as usual out to lunch?
(asking for two friends with initials JJ and SB... haha.)
 

CycloneSweep

Registered User
Sep 27, 2017
50,403
42,150
Why do we have to bring bad UFAs into camp? Why not make a trade to improve the team?

Why not make a trade before the deadline, move out cap and get better at the same time. Perhaps we should be moving Kulak and Ceci. Why do we need to downgrade with Barrie and Schultz? Get better not worse. Maybe keep the youth with upside.
Because we are trying to win the cup this year in McDrais current contracts. Not trying to have a development year for some mid grade prospects.
 
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Spawn

Something in the water
Feb 20, 2006
44,294
16,699
Edmonton
Match Broberg
Let Holloway go
Trade Ceci and Kulak with no cap back (hopefully with minimal assets out)
Sign Barrie 1x1M

Skinner-McDavid-Hyman
RNH-Drai-Arvidsson
Kane/Savoie/Lavoie*-Henrique-Brown
Janmark-Ryan-Perry

Ekholm-Bouchard
Nurse-Barrie
Broberg-Stecher
Brown

Skinner
Pickard

*Savoie gets an opportunity to get a taste for the league while Kane gets healthy. Once Kane is healthy, depending how Savoie is performing he can either go down to the AHL or you can waive Perry, Ryan or J. Brown. If Savoie doesn't impress out of camp than you give the spot to Lavoie. If Kane is healthy out of camp than the team will still work cap wise.

Tyson Barrie and Nurse played ~1100 minutes together across 3 seasons as a top 4 pair and had pretty good results. He's good enough to cover for the time being.

This feels like the only way to make it work with matching Broberg imo.

If you let Broberg go and match Holloway than you only need to deal one of Kulak or Ceci.

Matching both just doesn't seem feasible without counting on Kane being out for the entire year.
 

CycloneSweep

Registered User
Sep 27, 2017
50,403
42,150
Help me understand LTIR.

if Kane is LTIR to begin the season, doesn't it make sense to try to add another LTIR contract to increase the pool and ensure a financial safety net if/when Kane returns in season.

Example: Shea Weber $7,857,143 x 2 cap hit. Not ideal that it's 2 years but frankly with the dollar amount and Oil needing to find cap savings this year and frankly next, it gives a very solid 'legal' cap overage.

Furthermore, Utah no longer needs this salary for cap compliance. Removing it helps them to create cap space and move to in-season accrual pool. Looking at their d-corp, they might actually be able to utilize a Kulak to augment their left side that has 35 year old Ian Cole at 3LD. Oh... and Utah is in St. Louis's division ;)

Net effect:
Oilers LTIR: $10,232,143 to start this season.
After Kane Activation LTIR Pool:$5,107,143

2025-26 Season:
Oilers LTIR: $7,857,143 (Shea Weber final year cap hit). Might actually help buffer to new Draisaitl contract?

Frees money to sign Broberg (no problem); Holloway (no problem); Broberg + Holloway (with need to trade Ceci at deadline). Remaining Available LTIR: $877,143 with team need to find Ceci upgrade.

Is this scenario possible under LTIR? Or I am as usual out to lunch?
(asking for two friends with initials JJ and SB... haha.)
That’s not how LTIR works completely. we can over go 10% over the cap in the offseason and that includes players on LtIR(cause they technically aren’t on it yet). Right now we are almost there as it is.

Match Broberg
Let Holloway go
Trade Ceci and Kulak with no cap back (hopefully with minimal assets out)
Sign Barrie 1x1M

Skinner-McDavid-Hyman
RNH-Drai-Arvidsson
Kane/Savoie/Lavoie*-Henrique-Brown
Janmark-Ryan-Perry

Ekholm-Bouchard
Nurse-Barrie
Broberg-Stecher
Brown

Skinner
Pickard

*Savoie gets an opportunity to get a taste for the league while Kane gets healthy. Once Kane is healthy, depending how Savoie is performing he can either go down to the AHL or you can waive Perry, Ryan or J. Brown. If Savoie doesn't impress out of camp than you give the spot to Lavoie. If Kane is healthy out of camp than the team will still work cap wise.

Tyson Barrie and Nurse played ~1100 minutes together across 3 seasons as a top 4 pair and had pretty good results. He's good enough to cover for the time being.

This feels like the only way to make it work with matching Broberg imo.

If you let Broberg go and match Holloway than you only need to deal one of Kulak or Ceci.

Matching both just doesn't seem feasible without counting on Kane being out for the entire year.
So we are spending assets to downgrade our defence. Barrie is barely an NHL player anymore and Kulak is still better than Broberg. Spending assets to overpay a young player in hopes by the end of the year he is as good as Kulak was?
 

McBooya42

Let's do this!
Jun 28, 2010
9,157
7,090
Edmonton
So if he sucks this year and the Oilers decide to trade him, what kind of return do you expect for a guy making 4.6M playing third pair? I like Broberg at 1.5M, not at 4.6M and weakens our defensive depth.
On top of him requesting a trade already. What are the chances he's still going to want to be traded in a year or two? I know some feel that things can be mended (it's a new management and coaching group after all), and I think Coffee could be really good for Broberg and his continued development. Maybe he's looking for that confidence (in him) from the team? 3rd pairing duties to continue to develop, and then see where we're at after two years.
 
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Behind Enemy Lines

Registered User
Feb 19, 2003
16,392
18,053
Vancouver
That’s not how LTIR works completely. we can over go 10% over the cap in the offseason and that includes players on LtIR(cause they technically aren’t on it yet). Right now we are almost there as it is.


So we are spending assets to downgrade our defence.
Thanks, seemed too good to be true.

Trying to figure how Vegas snaked it. Was their LTIR staggered with an off season guy (Eichel) who when activated they moved miracle playoff healer with a seasonal allergy to the regular season to LTIR (Stone)?

Boy did the Oilers braintrust get caught napping.

EDIT: I miss Cap Friendly. Was poking around trying to see if there was an expiring LTIR contract option that would be an option to max out to 10% overage off-season pool.
 
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Spawn

Something in the water
Feb 20, 2006
44,294
16,699
Edmonton
So we are spending assets to downgrade our defence. Barrie is barely an NHL player anymore and Kulak is still better than Broberg. Spending assets to overpay a young player in hopes by the end of the year he is as good as Kulak was?
Broberg is already better than Kulak imo. Kulak is an extremely limited player who can't be counted on to move up in the lineup in case of injury and can't PK or contribute on the PP.

Barrie wasn't a good fit in Nashville. That doesn't mean he's barely an NHL player.

We need to upgrade on Ceci either way at the deadline imo. This is just making it work in the meantime until we get closer to the point that teams are selling.
 

belair

Win it for Ben!
Apr 9, 2010
39,347
22,943
Canada
Why do we have to bring bad UFAs into camp? Why not make a trade to improve the team?
Because PTOs are a good chance to see where a younger player currently measures up against the guys you have on the fringe.

There isn't much left in terms of talented depth scoring in FA.
Why not make a trade before the deadline, move out cap and get better at the same time. Perhaps we should be moving Kulak and Ceci. Why do we need to downgrade with Barrie and Schultz? Get better not worse. Maybe keep the youth with upside.
You don't make a trade because most rosters are set. And the types of difference making players on cheap contracts are less likely to be available before puck drop.

You move Kulak to keep Broberg. The guy replacing Holloway needs to be making as close to league minimum as possible. Look at what's out there in UFA, on waivers or on the farm.

The big 'get better' deals happen at the deadline when there's a trade market again and the teams committed to retooling are more defined.
 

CycloneSweep

Registered User
Sep 27, 2017
50,403
42,150
Broberg is already better than Kulak imo. Kulak is an extremely limited player who can't be counted on to move up in the lineup in case of injury and can't PK or contribute on the PP.

Barrie wasn't a good fit in Nashville. That doesn't mean he's barely an NHL player.

We need to upgrade on Ceci either way at the deadline imo. This is just making it work in the meantime until we get closer to the point that teams are selling.
Except he isn’t? By no metric is Broberg a better player than Kulak and spending almost double Kulaks salary to “upgrade” on the bottom pair is some decade of darkness level stupidity.

Barrie has fallen off a cliff ability wise and we don’t need a PP QB. If he was remotely close to a good NhL player still he would be signed.

Yes we need to upgrade on Ceci but using every ounce of cap on Broberg and requiring Kane to be on LTiR for the entire season in hopes to upgrade on Ceci AND hoping our diminished dcore can survive long enough to put us in a good playoff spot is an absolute mad amount of risk hoping Broberg can be more than a slightly better Kulak.
 
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belair

Win it for Ben!
Apr 9, 2010
39,347
22,943
Canada
That’s not how LTIR works completely. we can over go 10% over the cap in the offseason and that includes players on LtIR(cause they technically aren’t on it yet). Right now we are almost there as it is.


So we are spending assets to downgrade our defence. Barrie is barely an NHL player anymore and Kulak is still better than Broberg. Spending assets to overpay a young player in hopes by the end of the year he is as good as Kulak was?
Kulak is 30 and is a bottom pairing defenseman. There's no upside with that player. And if you need a player of his caliber at the deadline, it's not expensive to acquire.

You match because you're not expecting him to just be as good as Kulak. The offer sheet suggests there are other teams that see a much higher ceiling than you do.
 
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McBooya42

Let's do this!
Jun 28, 2010
9,157
7,090
Edmonton
On top of him requesting a trade already. What are the chances he's still going to want to be traded in a year or two? I know some feel that things can be mended (it's a new management and coaching group after all), and I think Coffee could be really good for Broberg and his continued development. Maybe he's looking for that confidence (in him) from the team? 3rd pairing duties to continue to develop, and then see where we're at after two years.
We'd have to ship out Kulak for picks only if possible. Kane on LTIR is what 5.1? Plus Kulak's salary, gives us 3.25 approx in space after matching for Broby. We're hooped with Kane coming back though, so you'd have to trade off Ceci too. We wouldn't be able to find someone to replace him unless they're REALLY cheap - maybe Barrie at 1 - 1.5?

Ek = Bouch
Nurse - Barrie
Broby - Stetcher
?
Holloway would have to be gone (that would actually make me chuckle as St. Louis ends up with the sweetner and not the actual target).

Any injuries would be dangerous, even with Brown in the minors.
Pretty sure someone has already come to the same conclusion here - sorry not trying to steal your post, but just trying to play through what needs to happen.

I'm back and forth on what to do to be honest. I know Broberg is going to be at least a top 4 D, and I think he will be a decent one. We will need it moving forward. On the other hand, there's risk involved, and a questioning of his commitment even if given the opportunity to shine.


Edit: @Spawn I should have just quoted your post lol. Sorry dude, but my logic agrees with you.
 
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CycloneSweep

Registered User
Sep 27, 2017
50,403
42,150
Kulak is 30 and is a bottom pairing defenseman. There's no upside with that player. And if you need a player of his caliber at the deadline, it's not expensive to acquire.

You match because you're not expecting him to just be as good as Kulak. The offer sheet suggests there are other teams that see a much higher ceiling than you do.
I’m not talking about just moving Kulak. Replacing Kulak and Ceci with Broberg and Stecher/Barrie is a large downgrade and uses all our possible cap unless Kane is gone for the entire season.

Okay? Teams see a high upside, like teams have never been wrong before? It happens all the time. St Louis has cap space to use cause they aren’t a playoff team or a contender. So they are overpaying to guarentee they get him in hopes they are right.

Paying him 4.5 mill to play on the 3rd line cause he might eventually replace Nurse is a terrible use of cap in the situation we are in.
 
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McBooya42

Let's do this!
Jun 28, 2010
9,157
7,090
Edmonton
Match Broberg
Let Holloway go
Trade Ceci and Kulak with no cap back (hopefully with minimal assets out)
Sign Barrie 1x1M

Skinner-McDavid-Hyman
RNH-Drai-Arvidsson
Kane/Savoie/Lavoie*-Henrique-Brown
Janmark-Ryan-Perry

Ekholm-Bouchard
Nurse-Barrie
Broberg-Stecher
Brown

Skinner
Pickard

*Savoie gets an opportunity to get a taste for the league while Kane gets healthy. Once Kane is healthy, depending how Savoie is performing he can either go down to the AHL or you can waive Perry, Ryan or J. Brown. If Savoie doesn't impress out of camp than you give the spot to Lavoie. If Kane is healthy out of camp than the team will still work cap wise.

Tyson Barrie and Nurse played ~1100 minutes together across 3 seasons as a top 4 pair and had pretty good results. He's good enough to cover for the time being.

This feels like the only way to make it work with matching Broberg imo.

If you let Broberg go and match Holloway than you only need to deal one of Kulak or Ceci.

Matching both just doesn't seem feasible without counting on Kane being out for the entire year.
This is the only way to make it work. Logically.
 

Broberg Speed

Registered User
Oct 23, 2020
7,992
5,371
Because we are trying to win the cup this year in McDrais current contracts. Not trying to have a development year for some mid grade prospects.
So we should invite bad players to camp to improve the hockey team?
Because PTOs are a good chance to see where a younger player currently measures up against the guys you have on the fringe.

There isn't much left in terms of talented depth scoring in FA.

You don't make a trade because most rosters are set. And the types of difference making players on cheap contracts are less likely to be available before puck drop.

You move Kulak to keep Broberg. The guy replacing Holloway needs to be making as close to league minimum as possible. Look at what's out there in UFA, on waivers or on the farm.

The big 'get better' deals happen at the deadline when there's a trade market again and the teams committed to retooling are more defined.
Why not make a trade and un-set the roster so we can make the team better?

What's wrong with trades? Why not make a good one? We don't have to wait until the deadline.
 

McShogun99

Registered User
Aug 30, 2009
18,592
15,094
Edmonton
A one year high risk bet for a team that’s had a real good chance to win the cup this year and it might be our last GOOD chance.
Potentially throwing all that away on a player that might be a bottom pairing D this year is insane.
STL can afford to do this cause they are not in that window. They are in the middle of a retool.
Mcdavid is going to be 28 going into this years playoffs. I’d like to believe we have 4-6 years left of being contenders if the team is managed properly and part of that is keeping good young players like Broberg, Savoie, Bouchard and Holloway etc to keep the contending window open longer.

Moving Kulak to keep Broberg should be a no brainer. He’s a 3rd pairing player on the decline. Look at the 3rd pairing of recent contenders and Cup winners. Dallas had Petrovic, Florida had Kulikov etc. No team in a cap world is stacked on all 6 D positions. Ekholm probably has 2 elite years left, who knows if Nurse will get better. We need a good young LD to play in our top 4 soon.
 

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