I know you showed me breakdowns, and I appreciate it, but it was still only 81 regular seasons games with an average of ~12:30 a night. You picked out some of the 3 games of his entire career that he cracked 20 minutes. He had a very chaotic appearance in the playoffs a year ago having to come in with Nurse out that lead to 2 bad penalties because he was totally overwhelmed, and a very fortunate 10 games with 15:50 average per night that could have done horribly wrong if Skinner wasn't on his game. Yes, against good comp, but it is what it is, fortune favored him and Nurse for a week and a half, a lot of the best times when the entire team was rolling and Florida got on their heels a bit. Looking good in the AHL is nice. Countless players that couldn't consistently do it at a high level in NHL level have that on their resume as well.
So, we have that info, but I don't think there is any way around the fact that it's not enough to be anywhere near sure this is a 4.5M player, or even a 3M one. He simply didn't get enough opportunity to show what he could do. The only consistent high pressure situation ice time he had, against florida, almost no mistake he made was paid for with a goal against because of some good fortune. Loads of quality chances against, but Skinner was on a roll and stopped them. What do you do with that info? Just mark it off as spectacular and these 10 games, and 81 regular season games of 3rd pair sheltered ice time (aside from maybe 5% of the games), are sure proof that he can play with Nurse for 82 games at 20 mins a night plus a full 4 rounds of playoffs? That would be quite a leap, but maybe that was JJ's plan until St Louis messed us up. I would hate if that was the case honestly.