I doubt Meltzer has a clue who they're gonna take.
He works for the team. He's chummy chummy with just about everyone. I'm not saying he
knows -- I'm saying he has a way of leaking thoughts, that he may have heard, masked as his own opinion. If everyone else knows nothing, Meltzer usually knows an iota above nothing.
I do not want dvorsky, but I'm ready to be hurt again by this franchise so I know it's coming, there's too much smoke out there to just be a coincidence, while I don't think dvorsky is going to be a flop, but he strikes me as a top 9 center with a slight chance at top 6, not really a guy you target at #7
Back to the idea yesterday of this seem taking the same archetypes over and over, Dvorsky is a shoot first sorta-center. I think Dvorsky is a bit more well rounded than someone like Gauthier, but credit where credit's due, Gauthier has legitimately plus traits whereas Dvorsky is more average-above average across the board. It's a center weak draft, so that's already flirting with danger. Like I've said: find the first non-elite center (defenseman too) pick in any draft and most times you've found the most questionable value pick (Hayton, Turcotte, Kotkaniemi, etc.). If I thought he was even Mason McTavish, the archetype described, I'd be more bullish.
I've seen him 5-6 times, and I just do not see elite skills. I had a point/game Robert Thomas as a top 10ish pick, so I don't need to hear the notion that I don't "like" players of that ilk. Frankly, Dvorsky has excellent box score stats, but I don't necessarily buy it watching him. I'd be curious to know about how much of his production is PP weighted. I generally stay away from highlights unless I want to see someone at their very best, but even Dvorsky's highlights are mostly routine plays, shots, rebounds, etc. It’s exactly what he looks like in a full game. This is what middle 6 prospects look like.