Oilers have 16 games remaining against the East. They're 7-6-1 currently against the East, so Even if they get slightly worse results than what they have so far, that's still probably another 6-7 wins for them, and while the Oil only have 3 wins against the West so far, they have 8 OT/SO losses, so maybe they'll get around 6-7 wins in their final 21 games against the West. That would give the Oilers around 22-24 wins, so most likely around 57-62 points.
For Buffalo to match that record, they would need to finish the year with around 10 more wins and 8 OT/SO losses. Buffalo has benefited greatly the first half with SO wins. Nearly 50% of our current wins are from the SO.
There's definitely a lot of hope right now that the Oilers will pass us, and we finish 30th, but there's a lot that could still go wrong. The Oilers could hit a bad stretch again, Arizona could go full tank and have a bad swing, Buffalo could pull a few WTF wins again. I see last place this year having probably around less than 58 points, more likely closer to 50 than 58, and for Buffalo to get to that point, they would need to finish with less than 10 wins in their remaining games. But right now, Buffalo doesn't control their fate fully, still have to count on a few other teams to pull out some more wins.
We have 37 games left, including @EDM, @ARZ, vs ARZ, and vs Carolina. Those 4 games will most likely have huge standings implications. With Buffalo 2 back of EDM right now, than game could be the difference of being tied with EDM for 30th, or going up by 2 games (4pts). It's going to be a tight race to the finish