Blue Jays Discussion: Off-Season Pt III | Winter meetings are over. Still waiting for stuff to happen

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Sign Springer, Realmuto, Bauer and Didi,
Trade Jansen + Grichuk for pitching

C-Realmuto
1st-Vladdy
2nd-Bichette
3rd-Biggio
SS-Didi
LF-Gurriel
CF- Springer
RF- Hernandez
DH-Tellez

Bauer
Ryu
Pearson
Ray
Sterling/Roark
 
Sign Springer, Realmuto, Bauer and Didi,
Trade Jansen + Grichuk for pitching

C-Realmuto
1st-Vladdy
2nd-Bichette
3rd-Biggio
SS-Didi
LF-Gurriel
CF- Springer
RF- Hernandez
DH-Tellez

Bauer
Ryu
Pearson
Ray
Sterling/Roark
As much as I'd love to see it, I cant see them spending quite that much as well as all those guys signing here.
 
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Deal is changing quite a bit. The original deal was a lot. If there are no more top prospects, then this makes more sense. I didn’t think Darvish had that type of value but this type of deal fits his value imo.

Padres already moving 2 of their 5 players from their 2020 draft. First Wilcox to the Rays for Snell and now Cassie to the Cubs.
 


11, 13, 15, and 16 prospects on MLB.com. That still includes the guys they sent to TB though so I guess it's 9, 11, 12, 13 now

All 4 guys in rookie ball
 
How Snell trade impacts market, '21 races
1. The AL East is wide open
Tampa Bay won its first AL East title in a decade, and given the dominance the Rays displayed -- they won the division by seven games in a 60-game season -- they would have been favorites heading into 2021 had they returned most of their roster.
That won’t happen. Snell and Charlie Morton are gone. Kevin Kiermaier could be next. The Rays will find a way to remain competitive -- general manager Erik Neander is among the best executives in the game -- but the door is now wide open for the Yankees and Blue Jays.
Will the Yankees step up and do what it takes to bring back DJ LeMahieu and Masahiro Tanaka? Will the Blue Jays -- already one of the more aggressive teams this offseason -- take it to the next level in their pursuit of LeMahieu, George Springer, Trevor Bauer or J.T. Realmuto?
What happens in the coming weeks will have a major impact on how the AL East plays out in 2021, especially now that Tampa Bay has shed 40 percent of its World Series rotation.
 


More proof teams aren't giving up their elite prospects hardly ever. I guess they would if you were getting an elite young pitcher with 5 years of cheap control, but those pitchers are never dealt.

I'd take a run at Luis Castillo, but he should cost more than a 34 year old Darvish.
 
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More proof teams aren't giving up their elite prospects hardly ever. I guess they would if you were getting an elite young pitcher with 5 years of cheap control, but those pitchers are never dealt.

I'd take a run at Luis Castillo, but he should cost more than a 34 year old Darvish.

The Padres got Darvish for relatively little. It's almost absurd. Either COVID has broken the valuation systems or the Cubs are trying to out-scout the projections.

Putting a Dollar Value on Prospects Outside the Top 100

Santana 8m
Caissie 500k
Preciado 4m
Mena 1m
Davies (Even)

Darvish 38.7M
Caratini (Even)

If I'm the Jays I check on both Gray and Castillo. We might be able to get both without losing Martin or Groshans.
 


11, 13, 15, and 16 prospects on MLB.com. That still includes the guys they sent to TB though so I guess it's 9, 11, 12, 13 now

All 4 guys in rookie ball


from a Cubs' point of view, they needed to shed payroll and Davies is 7 years younger. Cubs get 4 prospects who if on other teams in baseball would/could be top 10 in that org. SD is so loaded in prospect those kids are ranked lower.

I think the Jays can strike a similar deal with a team looking to shed payroll. They have depth to do it.
 
Toronto has a unique opportunity to really improve their team through FA. They can plug any remaining holes via trade. If we don't get 2 of the following , I consider this offseason a botched opportunity:

Realmuto
Springer
Lemahieu
Bauer
 
Any day now Jays. Get off your asses and make some moves. We need pitching and veteran hitters badly to help push us into contender status. This seems like the perfect offseason to buy some big $ contracts from teams that have owners who are looking to shed salary. Rogers is printing money these days and Rona hasn't slowed them down whatsoever. They have no excuse to not be a big-time buyer, honestly don't know what Atkins is doing right now. :wally
 
Any day now Jays. Get off your asses and make some moves. We need pitching and veteran hitters badly to help push us into contender status. This seems like the perfect offseason to buy some big $ contracts from teams that have owners who are looking to shed salary. Rogers is printing money these days and Rona hasn't slowed them down whatsoever. They have no excuse to not be a big-time buyer, honestly don't know what Atkins is doing right now. :wally

Yeah I agree. They really need to push the envelope and bring in premier talent. I have to wonder if covid is playing a role in recruiting? I wonder if players are shying away from playing in a triple A stadium to start the season?

I think if it is an issue the players are stupid as we are willing to pay big bucks on a young talented team with TONS of prospects. Plus the stadium is only temporary during covid.
 
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Toronto has a unique opportunity to really improve their team through FA. They can plug any remaining holes via trade. If we don't get 2 of the following , I consider this offseason a botched opportunity:

Realmuto
Springer
Lemahieu
Bauer

You’re going to be very disappointed. Not trying to be negative but there’s a very real chance the Jays don’t land one of those guys
 
An expensive wallet that wanted a guaranteed roster spot. I'd like to gamble on him too, but man, if he sucks, you're stuck with 5+ years of suck that you can't move.
But if you are signing this guy you have done your due diligence scouted his KBO games. It's not like this is some High School kid coming out of nowhere. This guy played in a professional league
 
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But if you are signing this guy you have done your due diligence scouted his KBO games. It's not like this is some High School kid coming out of nowhere. This guy played in a professional league

Thats the other interesting part. If you're going to offer him that kind of money, you should be confident enough in your evaluation to think he won't need minors.

Also I find it interesting that a team thats fully committing to winning this year, gave him the no minors clause, but a building team like the Jays, couldn't?

I mean we've had Fisher on the roster for 2 years hitting .200 and catching flyballs with his face. Just seems like the classic scared money scenario. Scared money don't make any money.
 
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The Padres got Darvish for relatively little. It's almost absurd. Either COVID has broken the valuation systems or the Cubs are trying to out-scout the projections.

Putting a Dollar Value on Prospects Outside the Top 100

Santana 8m
Caissie 500k
Preciado 4m
Mena 1m
Davies (Even)

Darvish 38.7M
Caratini (Even)

If I'm the Jays I check on both Gray and Castillo. We might be able to get both without losing Martin or Groshans.

The Darvish trade amounted to a salary dump because of his age and money owed. Castillo and Gray's trade value align more closely with Snell who cost the Padres their #2 prospect, and top 30 prospect overall among other things. Suffice it to say that I do not think the Jays are getting either without trading Groshans.
 
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Toronto has a unique opportunity to really improve their team through FA. They can plug any remaining holes via trade. If we don't get 2 of the following , I consider this offseason a botched opportunity:

Realmuto
Springer
Lemahieu
Bauer

You are setting the bar unreasonably high, it is unlikely that any team is able to sign 2 of those 4 players. If the Jays get even one of those players you should be delighted. Besides, there are other really good players available on the free agent front (Sugano, Brantley, Richards, Turner, Gregorius, Semien, Tanaka, Paxton, Bradley Jr., Wong, Cruz, Odorizzi) and trade market.

Would you be upset with an off-season in which the Jays traded for Lindor and signed Sugano, Turner and a few relievers? I certainly wouldn't.
 
The Darvish trade amounted to a salary dump because of his age and money owed. Castillo and Gray's trade value align more closely with Snell who cost the Padres their #2 prospect, and top 30 prospect overall among other things. Suffice it to say that I do not think the Jays are getting either without trading Groshans.

Unless you’re giving the Reds significant salary relief (Moustakas) in the deal as well.

TOR: Castillo, Moustakas
CIN: Roark, Moreno, Hiraldo, Zeuch
 
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Unless you’re giving the Reds significant salary relief (Moustakas) in the deal as well.

TOR: Castillo, Moustakas
CIN: Roark, Moreno, Hiraldo, Zeuch

If Cincinnati is so cashed strapped that they are willing to attach an asset to dump Moustakas' salary they will not be willing to take back Roark's 11M. Moreover, it will be Gray that is attached to Moustakas because he is older, more expensive and less controllable than Castillo. Even then, I think your offer is light as Moreno and Hiraldo are quite far from the major leagues which limits their value and Zeuch has no value.
 
Thats the other interesting part. If you're going to offer him that kind of money, you should be confident enough in your evaluation to think he won't need minors.

Also I find it interesting that a team thats fully committing to winning this year, gave him the no minors clause, but a building team like the Jays, couldn't?

I mean we've had Fisher on the roster for 2 years hitting .200 and catching flyballs with his face. Just seems like the classic scared money scenario. Scared money don't make any money.

The Jays committed nearly as much money to Gurriel despite his success in a foreign professional league knowing full well he would spend time in the minors before he was ready to face major league competition.

It's perfectly reasonable to believe in a player, offer him a contract of that size, AND think (or have concerns) that he's going to need a bit of time to fully adjust to major league baseball and not want to HAVE to keep him in the majors while he does that.
 
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The Jays committed nearly as much money to Gurriel despite his success in a foreign professional league knowing full well he would spend time in the minors before he was ready to face major league competition.

It's perfectly reasonable to believe in a player, offer him a contract of that size, AND think (or have concerns) that he's going to need a bit of time to fully adjust to major league baseball and not want to HAVE to keep him in the majors while he does that.

Of course it is. But my point is, given where we are as a team, knowing thats the difference between getting your guy and not getting your guy, its definitely not a hill I'd die on. Im sure the Padres won't regret it either.
 
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