A real first line player produces no matter how bad the club is. They won’t drag a bad team to a cup but they will continue to produce. We didn’t see that from Nick this year. I was hoping for a lot more from him.
That’s not how it works. It’s not how it’s ever worked. From Yzerman to Mackinnon, those players rack up points on bad clubs. And they do it in their early 20s.
He’s not a number one yet. He’s 23. A lot of players have their peak season around that age. He played 82 games and was 72nd in points. So, no… he’s not proven as a first line player.
I think you're really over-estimating how well a player can produce all by himself on such a bad and heavily injured team. The emphasis on production without taking into account the extreme environment that Suzuki was in is clouding your judgement about his abilities as a 1st line center. He had no breathing room; he was basically the only player the opposing teams had to focus on and try to neutralize all year. Suzuki had
zero support with all the injuries.
By the standards of your comparisons, you're basically expecting him to perform like a generational talent, which is unfair. Yzerman was one of the best centers in the history of the NHL. Plus, the worst Detroit team of his era had better players than the ones Suzuki played with this year.
To put things into perspective, even MacKinnon, one of the best in today's generation that you're using as an example, had a rough time producing when he was on a bad team. In his rookie season, when Colorado was a playoffs team, he had 63 points in 82 games. The following three seasons, his production took a hit and regressed as they stopped making the playoffs. He followed-up his rookie year with 38 points in 64 games, 52 points in 72 games, and 53 points in 82 games respectively. When his production took off the year after, it coincided with the Avalanches finally turning a corner and becoming a playoffs team again.
In those three non-playoffs years, not a single Avalanches player managed to produce more than 59 points and all of their productions regressed. They were not hit badly with injuries; they even had players like Iginla, Landeskog, Duchene and O'Reilly playing together all 82 games at some point. That's way more support than Suzuki ever had this season.