Speculation: Monahan forward most likely dealt first

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ok, first crack at it....

we agree this is basically you dumping RyJo which NY considers at correct currency on basis of commensurate + nominal profit + chance RyJo = short term lightening in a bottle

per cf you show 0 cap space, and 47/50 contracts so you can theoretically add up to 3 bodies...


Leschyshyn 766,667 x2 + Vesey 800k x 2 + NYR 2024 4th
= 1.566,667 cap hit
for
RyJo 4.0 final max retain 50% = 2.0 hit + Avs 2026 2nd

Colorado gets 400k + instant cap relief, and the 2 pieces coming back are < 1m ea. so if they clear waivers further cap benefit.
Vesey is useful, speed, grit and a solid 4th line W
Lesch is called Leshitshow on our board.
4th rounder < 2nd, but is immediate, 2nd rounder is 2 yrs delayed


Rs get tweak which might help w/search for F help
We should be focused on Pinto from Sens, but this could work in the background

Not awful but I think this could be improved. I’ll look at cap friendly for a counter proposal. I’m not sure the draft picks are necessary given the retention making the salaries level.
 
Playing on a bad team puts players into roles that are above where they would be on good clubs. Is Monahan more than a third liner on a good club?

Now you’ve done it. The replies will be:

1. If he elevated a bad team, imagine what he’ll do with a good team.

2. He will be more than a 3C because of the wingers on a good team.

3. Good teams want to win face offs.

4. “Did I mention he’s 6’2”?
 
Playing on a bad team puts players into roles that are above where they would be on good clubs. Is Monahan more than a third liner on a good club?

Considering he can play any forward position, yes. He's also one of the best producers from the PP bumper spot in the NHL, he would play on many PP1s. He's 47th in the league for points on the powerplay, that's better than most teams PP1 personnel lol.

A lot of teams will be looking to bolster production with the man advantage and to bring in a savvy vet like Monahan is an easy way to do it.
 
Oh please. More pump and dump? Lehkonen can at least skate.
t's not coz you disagree that im pumping my player with the intent of dumping him. We are discussing value and I am bringing valid arguments that go beyond eye rolling and "tsk.. another pump and dump oh pleaseee". Derision to discredit arguments is a fallacy; gimme stats instead of condescension.

Monahan is by no means a negative value to the habs, I wouldnt be mad if they kept him. In fact, I kind of wonder if his departure in the context of the trade deadline isn't possibly detrimental to the current feeling in the locker room. I dont think they will make the playoffs (i predict 82 points/ .500), but i also think they want to believe they can, so they try. Getting rid of Monahan and Savard may tell htem that management "gave up" on the season and i wonder if this will make the players give up.

Monahan doesn't skate like Makar, doesnt mean he is slow or deplaced or even winded. The guy reads the play well enough to never be out of place. Lekhonen is not an especially gifted skater either; his success relies almost solely on him being first on the puck and battling hard to get it out - if he doesnt give 100%, he doesn't get there first. He is litterally winded every shift, which means his play will decline over time more sharply unless he adapts. That is just not Monahan's role or style; he is much more efficient.
 
t's not coz you disagree that im pumping my player with the intent of dumping him. We are discussing value and I am bringing valid arguments that go beyond eye rolling and "tsk.. another pump and dump oh pleaseee". Derision to discredit arguments is a fallacy; gimme stats instead of condescension.

Monahan is by no means a negative value to the habs, I wouldnt be mad if they kept him. In fact, I kind of wonder if his departure in the context of the trade deadline isn't possibly detrimental to the current feeling in the locker room. I dont think they will make the playoffs (i predict 82 points/ .500), but i also think they want to believe they can, so they try. Getting rid of Monahan and Savard may tell htem that management "gave up" on the season and i wonder if this will make the players give up.

Monahan doesn't skate like Makar, doesnt mean he is slow or deplaced or even winded. The guy reads the play well enough to never be out of place. Lekhonen is not an especially gifted skater either; his success relies almost solely on him being first on the puck and battling hard to get it out - if he doesnt give 100%, he doesn't get there first. He is litterally winded every shift, which means his play will decline over time more sharply unless he adapts. That is just not Monahan's role or style; he is much more efficient.

He’s a bad skater. He’s slow. In the last Ottawa game he was smoked by a 36 year old. It’s ok to admit that and not euphemize it.
 
I just wanna see what he gets and laugh at the side that was wrong
It's always hard to predict what a player will return at the deadline. I mean Kulak returned a 2nd round pick and Chiarot an unconditional 1st round pick that was one Pens victory against Chicago away to be a middle of first round pick. I know some guys will come in and say big dman etc but really those two guys are cannon fodder at best. It always depends on the market. How many buyers. How many sellers. But one thing is sure if i would be KH and the offers for Monahan would be a 2nd round pick alone i'd hang the phone immediately and would prefer losing him for nothing next summer. At one point you need to make a stand.
 
Playing on a bad team puts players into roles that are above where they would be on good clubs. Is Monahan more than a third liner on a good club?

Sure. But playing well in a bigger role is far different than being a warm body.

Josh Anderson is playing bigger minutes, by far, than what his play warrants or that he'd likely get on a better roster... Matheson is among league leaders in ice time & 13th in D scoring. No one is suggesting he'd be a #1D on a contender.

With Monahan, despite the incessant postings by a few posters who clearly haven't actually watched him play, the reality is that he is playing very good hockey on a very bad roster...

I don't doubt for a second that his level of play is good enough to play, and contribute, in the top 6 of any NHL team... That's not to say he'd be a better option than the top 2 Cs on any team, but I'm not sure that there is a current roster with 6 forwards playing better hockey than he is this year.

Add to that his versatility to play W, and his low cap hit, and you have a very good deadline target for any team looking to bolster their top 9 for a deep playoff run.

The only aspect of his game that he probably doesn't provide a net upgrade to is PK. He's 5th fwd on Habs in SH TOI, I'd imagine a contender has better dedicated options to deploy in that role... It's not his strength, though his commitment to it while also carrying heavy minutes at ES & PK, speaks to his health this year & professionalism.

Haters gonna hate, reality is that he's playing at a very high level and few teams have better middle 6 options in their lineup.

He’s a bad skater. He’s slow. In the last Ottawa game he was smoked by a 36 year old. It’s ok to admit that and not euphemize it.
It's ok not to repeat the same bad take 50 times in a thread about a player that doesn't play for your team as well
 
Is MonaHan any good at PK? You can find the answer in this thread and it might surprise you.
I am not sure what point you are making here.. that he is good or bad at PK?

From what i've seen, he is fine. Nothing to write home about, but also no Bergeron. I mean.. Montreal is 29th in terms of PK, so how good can you say anyone is? I looked at plus minus, and he has -10 but you dont get those numbers unless you are in those PK situations (lol ie: Armia is +1), and Savard has the same numbers. Montreal is 5th worse in the league with 4.27 penalties per game, so it's possible that MSL has no choice but to use him.

I think in the perfect world, Suzuki would be 1 or 2 C, with Dach being the other to split offensive workloads, which would split the other team's best assets between them. In theory that would help both players produce offensively. With Newhook and Dach out, MSL seems to want to use Monahan to the same effect.

However, Dvorak is injured, Evans can handle some of the PK work and guys like Mitchell are meh. Monahan gives MSL that other option, especially as his faceoff percentage is high. I dont know that Monahan would be used in PK optimally (id rather see him on a top 6, especially with another Center with a different strong side on faceoffs), but the point is that he can, and i dont think he looked out of place doing it.
 
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Playing on a bad team puts players into roles that are above where they would be on good clubs. Is Monahan more than a third liner on a good club?
It does. But Monahan is a career 55 points guy. It's not like his production is abnormal. His career pace in regular season is 26 goals 58 points every 82 games. His career pace in playoffs is 27 goals 57 points every 82 games and his pace in the 2 years he spent with us has been 21 goals 58 points every 82 games.

The question GM will ask for Monahan is "Is he healthy?" and "What happened in 2020-2020 and 2021-2022?". His production of the last 2 years is not a question mark. When Monahan is physically and mentally fit he is a 55 points guy and after seeing him play for 74 games there's no question about it as far as i'm concerned.

In a league with 32 teams i'd say Monahan is a 2nd line center. Where he would play on a contending team depends on what is the strength and weakness of said contending team. But if he plays on a 3rd line he's a deluxe 3rd line center who can do the job on a 2nd line in case of injuries.
 
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It's always hard to predict what a player will return at the deadline. I mean Kulak returned a 2nd round pick and Chiarot an unconditional 1st round pick that was one Pens victory against Chicago away to be a middle of first round pick. I know some guys will come in and say big dman etc but really those two guys are cannon fodder at best. It always depends on the market. How many buyers. How many sellers. But one thing is sure if i would be KH and the offers for Monahan would be a 2nd round pick alone i'd hang the phone immediately and would prefer losing him for nothing next summer. At one point you need to make a stand.
I like it when people state value, post rationales (with stats especially) and comparables, and brag or own it accordingly when they are proven right or wrong.

I find it funny when a players gets a big return and some folks justify their earlier statements with "He got a first, but he wasnt worth a first" or "I was right! he never got a first!" but the player got way more than the value of a first in other means.

It does. But Monahan is a career 55 points guy. It's not like his production is abnormal. His career pace in regular season is 26 goals 58 points every 82 games. His career pace in playoffs is 27 goals 57 points every 82 games and his pace in the 2 years he spent with us has been 21 goals 58 points every 82 games.

The question GM will ask for Monahan is "Is he healthy?" and "What happened in 2020-2020 and 2021-2022?". His production of the last 2 years is not a question mark. When Monahan is physically and mentally fit he is a 55 points guy and after seeing him play for 74 games there's no question about it as far as i'm concerned.
im curious.. what do you mean by "mentally fit"? He seems to be solid to me, that way. Mtl media doesnt seem to phase him, at least
 
Sure. But playing well in a bigger role is far different than being a warm body.

Josh Anderson is playing bigger minutes, by far, than what his play warrants or that he'd likely get on a better roster... Matheson is among league leaders in ice time & 13th in D scoring. No one is suggesting he'd be a #1D on a contender.

With Monahan, despite the incessant postings by a few posters who clearly haven't actually watched him play, the reality is that he is playing very good hockey on a very bad roster...

I don't doubt for a second that his level of play is good enough to play, and contribute, in the top 6 of any NHL team... That's not to say he'd be a better option than the top 2 Cs on any team, but I'm not sure that there is a current roster with 6 forwards playing better hockey than he is this year.

Add to that his versatility to play W, and his low cap hit, and you have a very good deadline target for any team looking to bolster their top 9 for a deep playoff run.

The only aspect of his game that he probably doesn't provide a net upgrade to is PK. He's 5th fwd on Habs in SH TOI, I'd imagine a contender has better dedicated options to deploy in that role... It's not his strength, though his commitment to it while also carrying heavy minutes at ES & PK, speaks to his health this year & professionalism.

Haters gonna hate, reality is that he's playing at a very high level and few teams have better middle 6 options in their lineup.


It's ok not to repeat the same bad take 50 times in a thread about a player that doesn't play for your team as well
So he’s likely to return a second rounder and a b prospect from a good club providing Habs retain is what I’m seeing.
 
So he’s likely to return a second rounder and a b prospect from a good club providing Habs retain is what I’m seeing.

I can't see in any trade situation the Habs wasting a retention spot on such a low salary as Monahan. Prorated at the TDL his cap hit will already be small. IMO
 
im curious.. what do you mean by "mentally fit"? He seems to be solid to me, that way. Mtl media doesnt seem to phase him, at least
I don't know i'm not a Flames fan and i rarely watch their games. I have no clue what happened to him during the 2020-2021 and 2021-2022 season. Did he play injured? Did he have troubles dealing with COVID. Was there a problem with the coach? His production those two seasons was way below his career production including playoffs career production. He can play wing it's not like hey we have too many centers he can't play top 6 he's been very effective on the wing for us when Dach was healthy. He's a great versatile option to have I wish Marc Bergevin would have acquired such a player when we had Prime Price/Subban/Pacioretty.
 
I can't see in any trade situation the Habs wasting a retention spot on such a low salary as Monahan. Prorated at the TDL his cap hit will already be small. IMO
Imo without retention (or a layer round pick coming along) the return would be a third and B prospect from a good club. Monohan would be more of an insurance policy against an injury than a regular top six.
 
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So he’s likely to return a second rounder and a b prospect from a good club providing Habs retain is what I’m seeing.

That likely the floor. As with every year, the deadline deals reflect perceived value a GM is willing to pay.

Doubt Hughes would trade him for less than that, won't be surprised in the least if he gets more.

Time will tell
 
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I don't know i'm not a Flames fan and i rarely watch their games. I have no clue what happened to him during the 2020-2021 and 2021-2022 season. Did he play injured? Did he have troubles dealing with COVID. Was there a problem with the coach? His production those two seasons was way below his career production including playoffs career production. He can play wing it's not like hey we have too many centers he can't play top 6 he's been very effective on the wing for us when Dach was healthy. He's a great versatile option to have I wish Marc Bergevin would have acquired such a player when we had Prime Price/Subban/Pacioretty.
would have cost a hell of a lot more. I read that injuries were the reason. I forget which Calgary coach it was, but one was saying Monahan was captain material, that he actually chose to play injured. I mean, most players have injuries that they play through, but the sense i got was that Monahan took that to another degree, that it was all heart and putting the team first. Injuries were obvious to fans to the point that when he got traded, i didnt hear many people complain that the habs got a 1st to take him on.
 
Imo without retention (or a layer round pick coming along) the return would be a third and B prospect from a good club. Monohan would be more of an insurance policy against an injury than a regular top six.

Get ready to be surprised I guess. His floor is more like a late 1st or equivalent prospect now, assuming health, which admittedly is a big assumption. The bidding war will be about who puts the biggest + next to the 1st.

Healthy Monahan is a great hockey player.
 
Get ready to be surprised I guess. His floor is more like a late 1st or equivalent prospect now, assuming health, which admittedly is a big assumption. The bidding war will be about who puts the biggest + next to the 1st.

Healthy Monahan is a great hockey player.

I really like Monahan, and I think a lot of people here are underrating him. But a 1st rounder is a lot to hope for. I figure a 2nd rounder is the low end for the expected return. Go up a bit from there if there's a bidding war or if MTL retains.

1st plus shouldn't happen unless a GM is desperate for a splash to save his job.
 
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His value is completely attached to how many teams are interested in acquiring him. I could see the price being as high as a first or as low as a late 2nd and a nothing prospect. Montreal absolutely needs to deal him first out of the available centers though because I think his value will plummet of he's the last available option on the market.
 
I don't know i'm not a Flames fan and i rarely watch their games. I have no clue what happened to him during the 2020-2021 and 2021-2022 season. Did he play injured? Did he have troubles dealing with COVID. Was there a problem with the coach? His production those two seasons was way below his career production including playoffs career production. He can play wing it's not like hey we have too many centers he can't play top 6 he's been very effective on the wing for us when Dach was healthy. He's a great versatile option to have I wish Marc Bergevin would have acquired such a player when we had Prime Price/Subban/Pacioretty.
Was playing with chronic pain and hampered mobility due to having bad hips both right and left. Had 2 hip surgeries in the few years before we acquired him. Take those terrible, unusual issues away, and Sean Monahan is and was a star center. Anyone saying different even from the CGY boards is full of crap. All one needs to do is read the threads on that board about him and you'd see how highly thought of he was. And so goes the same around the league. He's a blue-chip player who had some really horrible luck with hip injuries. He says that his hips are now 100% healed. And therefore he's playing at his real potential today. But he's "scraps" and has "big warts" according to some posters here. It's stand-up comedy at its finest.
 
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His value is completely attached to how many teams are interested in acquiring him. I could see the price being as high as a first or as low as a late 2nd and a nothing prospect. Montreal absolutely needs to deal him first out of the available centers though because I think his value will plummet of he's the last available option on the market.

Agree with the first part, not so much the 2nd...

With such an open/large field of teams with realistic cup aspirations, when one contender loads up it could well put more pressure on their division/conference rivals in also improving their roster.

I think we'll see a flurry of moves once he first big trade gets done, and wether it affects Monahan or not, I think this year will see a few really brutal "tanner Jeannot" type deals go down.
 
Agree with the first part, not so much the 2nd...

With such an open/large field of teams with realistic cup aspirations, when one contender loads up it could well put more pressure on their division/conference rivals in also improving their roster.

I think we'll see a flurry of moves once he first big trade gets done, and wether it affects Monahan or not, I think this year will see a few really brutal "tanner Jeannot" type deals go down.
Kent Hughes said as much in his latest press conference: once Lindholm is gone, suddenly offers will be more attractive and numerous, as GMs see Monahan as the next best option. Some might just not see a fit, but it's a big league, with a lot of teams who could use him in one role or another.
 
Was playing with chronic pain and hampered mobility due to having bad hips both right and left. Had 2 hip surgeries in the few years before we acquired him. Take those terrible, unusual issues away, and Sean Monahan is and was a star center. Anyone saying different even from the CGY boards is full of crap. All one needs to do is read the threads on that board about him and you'd see how highly thought of he was. And so goes the same around the league. He's a blue-chip player who had some really horrible luck with hip injuries. He says that his hips are now 100% healed. And therefore he's playing at his real potential today. But he's "scraps" and has "big warts" according to some posters here. It's stand-up comedy at its finest.
Leverage............Supply.............Demand...............

Safe to say that HF doesn't have any GM's posting on here eh..............
Let the chips fall as they may. The Kreskin type posters make their comments.....LOL

The main board, is a collection of bias , and hatred for the habs.
 
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