So, some aggregate thoughts now that the dust has settled, we've all had some time to think, and the boards are working again:
1) I, like most was underwhelmed by the return when I initially heard it, especially when we heard it had been expanded to include Miller, because a) I thought that was the extra piece added to get the very top of the TB young personnel and b) frankly, I freely admit I don't know that much about other team's prospects, except for what I read on here, and everyone was so adamant that the only player(s) worth getting from TB were Sergachev (and maybe Foote). But in retrospect, it's clear that none of Sergachev, Point, Nylander, or Marner were coming here – not because they were their teams best prospects, and their GMs outplayed ours by keeping them out of the deal, but because they're key, contributing players on Stanley Cup contenders. No GM would have ripped such an important component from a contending team just to acquire another – it's a lateral move that messes with your chemistry. In future, I need to remind myself of this fact.
2) In the history of big name players being traded for futures, who has brought back surefire superstar prospects? Aren't the deals almost always like this? Isn't the key to get guys trending in the right direction rather than can't-miss prospects, since the latter are always held out? Aren't top prospects/young players almost never dealt in this league except in deals that bring a comparable player in return (e.g. Sergachev-Drouin) or in deals where their own management has so clearly undervalued their own asset, it generally leads to the GM's subsequent firing (e.g. McDonagh, Forsberg)? The last deals I can recall where top prospects were purposefully included with management knowing their full value was the two competing deals for Lindros (Forsberg from PHI, Kovalev from NYR).
3) I'm loving what I read from Edge, Jonathan and our other more knowledgeable posters prospect-wise when it comes to both Howden and Hájek. Steady development from year to year. Check. Continued good play with better players and against better competition. Check. Best play most recently. Check. Standouts at major tournaments. Check. When I read the negative (#3C, bottom 4-6D ceilings), they read a lot like the where folks like Button had them pegged as of their draft day, without credit for the progress they've made since.
4) It is very much possible that SY would not part with Foote and that the Rangers preferred Hájek anyway. The two are not mutually exclusive.
5) Based on the comments from SY in the TB papers, it sounds like this very much was a McD for Howden, Hájek, 1st, conditional 1st/2nd + then, let's expand it to Miller for Namestnikov. The way SY tells it, they were working on the McD deal, and he asked what it would take to get Miller as well. GMJG then brought up Namestnikov's name.
6) Miller: I think those who love him judge him based on his best moments where he plays with physicality, drive, and talent. But there have been far too many bad – disappearing in the POs, taking shifts off, and the giveaways in his own end that continued even from his rookie days – and they haven't gone away. There are a component of his game just as ADA's lapses in his defensive end have to be taken into account along with his rushes, and they offset his other positives. I also can't help feeling based on what I've seen of his demeanor in interviews and the implications in GMJG's interviews that he was not viewed as a positive in the room. (I mean, how many people are so pissy-tempered it actually comes across in their between-period sit-downs with Al in a game that the team is wining?)
7) Namestnikov: I like him better than Miller. Plays a more complete game, plays a faster game, has better hands. Does not have the size, strength, or FO ability, but is more balanced, and I think is a player better suited to build around long-term. Love the Russian bloodlines/primarily US born and raised combo, which could be very useful given the mix of nationalities we now have in our younger assets. Unlike Miller, considered a great guy in the room. Could likely be locked up in a longer term deal for less AAV than Miller to provide some stability in the middle six during the rebuild. Or... could be flipped if the return is right.
8) Both McD and Miller may go on to thrive in TB. But by no stretch does that mean they would've thrived here. McD was clearly a different player after the Burrows hit/receiving the captaincy. Does he rebound under less pressure and playing with better players in TB? Miller got away with a lot of shit here, because he was counted on to be part of the next wave. In TB, he's a complementary piece who slots in behind a minimum of five better forwards, and 9-10 players, most of whom have seniority there. He'll be accountable to them/Cooper in a way that he wasn't here. So, if that works out better for them both, great – but it likely wouldn't have here.
All of which is to say I'm not going to pretend I didn't want more from the deal; I did. But I may have been wrong in that estimation. And more importantly, I'm not hung up on it now. At this point, the deal's in the rearview mirror, I'm excited by the improvment to the Rangers' cupboard and I'm looking forward to following the guys who now make up the current organization.