Another way of looking at it, we got roughly the same for McDonagh, a non-rental, as we got for a 36 year old rental Brian Leetch: 1, 2 and a pair of good, but unspectacular D+F prospects. Except we also downgraded Miller for Names. Sure you now know that Kondratiev and Immonen busted (and we all know there's no chance of Howden, Hijak or any of our current prospects going bust), but at the time, they were seen as A- prospects. In fact, the first rounder we got was known from the start to likely be higher than Tampa's one. I don't want to hear comments, "at the time we got 1+2 and a pair of minor leaguers" because that's 20-20 vision. The 2 prospects we got in 2004 were viewed at the time about the same as the 2 prospects we got now.
So a 36-year-old Leetch rental brings in what a 28-year-old McDonagh non-rental brings us, except Leetch returned a better first rounder and we downgraded our forwards (Miller/Names). And that 2004 trade was never seen as a big win for the Rangers. FML.
Seems a little crazy to me to compare markets 14 years apart. The more realistic comparison is with Yandle (although he didn't have a Miller packaged with him). That being said, I still think this deal was more of a win than the one for Arizona. At worst, it's equal.
Prospect - Howden = Duclair (Can be argued that Duclair was a better prospect, but I would disagree)
Prospect - Hajek > Nothing (At worst equal to a second rounder - again I would disagree)
Pick - 1st Round Pick > Conditional 1st (Became a 1st because we made ECF)
Pick - Conditional 1st > Second Rounder
Roster Player - Namestnikov > John Moore
So as you can see, every piece is better, or at worst, equal to what we sent to Arizona. Furthermore, this is assuming you equate McDonagh with Yandle, which again, I would disagree with. McDonagh has been injured and even prior to that, was having a down year. In my opinion, Yandle was a more valuable piece at that point in his career, than McDonagh is now. Tampa is somewhat trading for him in the hopes that he will get back to what he was in prior years. Furthermore, McD, after 2014, never got back to the elite level of play he displayed throughout that year.
Acknowledging all of that, it's clear we received a much higher price in terms of value by adding Miller. If we equate McDonagh with Yandle (which most were doing prior the trade), then it can be determiend that by adding Miller (and valuing McDonagh slightly more) this was worth
A guaranteed 1st > A Conditional First
A Conditional 1st > A Guaranteed Second
A very good D Prospect in Hajek > Nothing (Huge additional piece)
Namestnikov > J. Moore.
In my opinion, if you look at it through this lens, we got quite a haul. Of course, not getting Sergachev or Point is a major letdown, but if Tampa's system wasn't one of the best in the league, we would be very pleased with this deal.