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McDavid heating up, what are odds on 150 points this season?

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Dust said:
Chicago, Columbus, Det x2, Philly, Ottawa, Montreal is the next 7 games for Edmonton. Pretty good chance to put up some big numbers, not a single playoff team in that bunch.
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Dude stop making stuff up! Edmonton's next game is against Vancouver!
 
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Garbageyuk said:
His pace is slowly creeping down. He won’t hit 150, like I said a couple months ago. I think there’s a possibility he cools off to the point where he doesn’t even reach 130.

The grind, fatigue, and bumps & bruises are just starting to set in. Competition will continue to ramp up as the playoff races get tighter. Checking will get tighter and more intense, and there’s still 3 months of the season left.

I’m betting he finishes between 120 and 130 like he always does.
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I haven't look at his splits the last few seasons but I can tell you that he definitely performs better as the season goes on every year. He won't slow that much.
 
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Garbageyuk said:
His pace is slowly creeping down. He won’t hit 150, like I said a couple months ago. I think there’s a possibility he cools off to the point where he doesn’t even reach 130.

The grind, fatigue, and bumps & bruises are just starting to set in. Competition will continue to ramp up as the playoff races get tighter. Checking will get tighter and more intense, and there’s still 3 months of the season left.

I’m betting he finishes between 120 and 130 like he always does.
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Not really slowing down just being his consistent self. He's easily good for a point for game but hasn't gone on another big run yet. Mark my words. He'll have a run eventually where he gets like 30 points in 15 games or something. lol
 
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Regal said:
05-06 and 06-07 were high scoring, but the others were below the last couple years, even taking into account the top players generally scoring more relative to the league those years due to the PPOs. So only teenage Crosby really got a similar level of league scoring. That’s not quite the same.
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I wonder what this Edmonton squad does with about 450 PP's a season like Crosby started with. How many do teams get now? low 200's?
 
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Garbageyuk said:
His pace is slowly creeping down. He won’t hit 150, like I said a couple months ago. I think there’s a possibility he cools off to the point where he doesn’t even reach 130.

The grind, fatigue, and bumps & bruises are just starting to set in. Competition will continue to ramp up as the playoff races get tighter. Checking will get tighter and more intense, and there’s still 3 months of the season left.

I’m betting he finishes between 120 and 130 like he always does.
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McDavid has averaged 1.61 PPG over his last 366 regular season games played. Slipping back to that well established pace built over a long period of time, which is since 1/1/18 and equates to 4.5 full 82 game seasons, would see him finish with 142 points on the year.

Anticipating somewhere between 120 and 130 assuming he plays 80-82 games is the definition of being an unreasonable hater at this point.

McDavid has truly entered the next stratosphere above other players if 6 goals and 10 points over his past 6 games makes you hop on to post about his pace creeping down. He has at least a point in 26 of the 27 games played since his prior pointless game, of which he has a grand total of 3 on the season.

It’s reasonable for someone to anticipate him falling short of 150.

120 at this point though is a joke. Yeah, 34 points in his final 35 games or 44 in his final 35 for 130 after 86 in his prior 47 (and 589 in his prior 366 games) is going to happen. Come on now.
 
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Video Nasty said:
McDavid has averaged 1.61 PPG over his last 366 regular season games played. Slipping back to that well established pace built over a long period of time, which is since 1/1/18 and equates to 4.5 full 82 game seasons, would see him finish with 142 points on the year.

Anticipating somewhere between 120 and 130 assuming he plays 80-82 games is the definition of being an unreasonable hater at this point.

McDavid has truly entered the next stratosphere above other players if 6 goals and 10 points over his past 6 games makes you hop on to post about his pace creeping down. He has at least a point in 26 of the 27 games played since his prior pointless game, of which he has a grand total of 3 on the season.

It’s reasonable for someone to anticipate him falling short of 150.

120 at this point though is a joke. Yeah, 34 points in his final 35 games or 44 in his final 35 for 130 after 86 in his prior 47 (and 589 in his prior 366 games) is going to happen. Come on now.
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Lol, cut the shit. He was on pace for 150+ last year and finished with 123, so what happened there? Looks like something “unreasonable” happened. It will happen again this year too. He won’t hit 150.

Btw, I’m an Oilers fan; I would love to see him do it. I’m just not a delusional fanboy.
 
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North Cole said:
is it? Crosby came into the league and sv% drop to 0.901, PPO was a full 2 powerplays higher than it is now, and scoring was also booming. The last couple of years we are just starting to head back to where it was in 05-09, difference being powerplay structures are vastly superior than they used to be because we don't run 2D at the point anymore.
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2005-07 were high scoring years, one of which Crosby was 18. For 2007-08 and 2008-09 it's pretty easy to check the league average goals per game in those seasons as well as the points the top scorers put up, one of which Crosby also only played 53 games in.

Garbageyuk said:
Lol, cut the shit. He was on pace for 150+ last year and finished with 123, so what happened there? Looks like something “unreasonable” happened. It will happen again this year too. He won’t hit 150.

Btw, I’m an Oilers fan; I would love to see him do it. I’m just not a delusional fanboy.
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He wasn't on pace for 150 last year though, infact after 40+ games he wasn't even close.
 
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QJL said:
He needs 44 points in 35 games to reach 130 points. He has scored at a better pace than that all of his previous 5 seasons. There is zero chance he doesn’t hit 130 if he’s healthy. Slowing down might result in a number short of 140.

I’ll predict: 57+86=143
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Why didn’t he do it last year then? He was healthy and finished with 123.
 
McSpecial DraiBlend said:
I haven't look at his splits the last few seasons but I can tell you that he definitely performs better as the season goes on every year. He won't slow that much.
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Plus Oilers just got Kane back and seem to be playing better lately. I bet he gets 70g and 150pts this year.

Garbageyuk said:
Why didn’t he do it last year then? He was healthy and finished with 123.
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Probably because he didn't have 86 points after 47 games.

Last year, after 47 games, Mcdavid had 25 goals and 43 assists for 68 points.
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His final 35 games, he had 19 goals and 55 points to finish at 44-79-123

At minimum, he should be able to match his output of last years final 35 games.

That would put him at 58 goals and 141 points for the season.
 
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Frank Drebin said:
Plus Oilers just got Kane back and seem to be playing better lately. I bet he gets 70g and 150pts this year.


Probably because he didn't have 86 points after 47 games.

Last year, after 47 games, Mcdavid had 25 goals and 43 assists for 68 points.
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He was still on pace for 150+ part way through the season last year early on. He cooled off and didn’t reach 150, needless to say.
 
Garbageyuk said:
Lol, cut the shit. He was on pace for 150+ last year and finished with 123, so what happened there? Looks like something “unreasonable” happened. It will happen again this year too. He won’t hit 150.

Btw, I’m an Oilers fan; I would love to see him do it. I’m just not a delusional fanboy.
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He’s on pace for 150 in double the amount of games at this point. We’re less than two weeks from the calendar turning to February and it is still a reasonable discussion.

You’re an Oilers fan, but one who forgot that COVID protocol helped play a role in seeing the Oilers play just 4 games between December 19 through January 14, nearly a month.

You don’t think that disrupts the rhythm and flow of the season?

I will walk back the hater comment. I think you’re being far too conservative considering his entire body of work up to this point. I also don’t think I’m delusional because I’m not calling for 160 or 2+ PPG. When the floor for this season seems to be 140, I am confident he can pick up the 10 extra points along the way, or maintain his overall season pace.
 
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Garbageyuk said:
Lol, cut the shit. He was on pace for 150+ last year and finished with 123, so what happened there? Looks like something “unreasonable” happened. It will happen again this year too. He won’t hit 150.

Btw, I’m an Oilers fan; I would love to see him do it. I’m just not a delusional fanboy.
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His last game on pace for 150 points last year was game 23. He is still on pace this year, just having played game 47.

After 47 games last year
25 goals 43 assists 68 points
Tied with Huberdeau and Draisailt

This year after 47 games,
39 goals 47 assists 86 points
14 ahead of Draisailt, 21 ahead of Kucherov

This season is simply not last season in terms of production
 
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Garbageyuk said:
He was still on pace for 150+ part way through the season last year early on. He cooled off and didn’t reach 150, needless to say.
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I know you're an Oilers fan, but you're aware that 45 is a much bigger number than 25 yes?
 
Garbageyuk said:
He was still on pace for 150+ part way through the season last year early on. He cooled off and didn’t reach 150, needless to say.
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seriously man, is math that hard for you? 68 points in 47 games last year is 119 point pace...he finished with 123. where are getting this 150 point pace at the halfway mark last season from?
 
Gunnersaurus Rex said:
Imagine thinking that this is a criticism of a player....he didn't get 130 points, only 123 and still won the scoring title.
Just stop now. It's embarrassing.
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Who’s criticizing? He’s my favourite player and I’m an Oilers fan ffs. All this outrage because I don’t think he’ll reach 150, and think it’s likely he finishes where he usually does.

Juxta Position said:
seriously man, is math that hard for you? 68 points in 47 games last year is 119 point pace...he finished with 123. where are getting this 150 point pace at the halfway mark last season from?
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I didn’t say it was at the halfway mark.
 
Garbageyuk said:
Why didn’t he do it last year then? He was healthy and finished with 123.
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Because he has 68 points through 47 games, not 86 POINTS THROUGH 47 GAMES.

If he did what he did last year games 48-82, he’ll finish with 141 points.
 
QJL said:
Because he has 68 points through 47 games, not 86 POINTS THROUGH 47 GAMES.

If he did what he did last year games 48-82, he’ll finish with 141 points.
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We’ll see what happens. I’ll believe it when I see it. Injuries, bumps & bruises, fatigue, etc. could all slow him down enough to prevent it from happening.

I’ll bet on precedence and the other factors over his pace every time, until shown otherwise.
 
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