what if McDavid just has a pretty good season next year?... like a 65-75 point one?... kinda seems like everyone is 100% anticipating a 100 point season
75 points as a 19 year old would be more than just pretty good. That'd make him a top 10 point scorer. I think it'd take a lot less than 65-75 for people to lose faith in McDavid. The issue with his contract is that because of the generational label, even with modest point totals during his ELC, there'll be teams willing to offer sheet him and pay him large amounts based on his potential alone.
Will an offer sheet work? No. But, it still raises the cost for Edmonton because McDavid is the rare player that would be worth both the inflated cap hit required for an offer sheet, and giving up 4 first round picks. In all likelihood, neither side will want to go through the BS of an offer sheet, but they'll both know that if Edmonton lowballs McDavid he could just go and sign an offer sheet for the amount he is asking for, get it matched, they end up at the same finishing line but everybody ends up looking bad when they could have just signed the same contract in the first place.
I don't think an Art Ross trophy for McDavid next season is an unfair prediction. Granted, smaller sample sizes should be taken with a grain of salt, but his numbers last season would put him over a full season in the top 3 points wise and he was only getting more productive as the season went on. The last guy to do that at 18? Crosby. Crosby then went on to win the Art Ross at 19. Obviously, you have to ignore raw point totals because the first two seasons out of the lockout saw everybody have hugely inflated numbers due to the change in how the game was called, which is why I am strictly referring to where they finished relative to the rest of the league as a basis for a comparison.