The quote above is the the one I was replying to with Larmer/Coffey/Bure as examples. I was replying to a quote that said " no NHL player has missed more than a month of the season and came back to put up great stats"
It did not say no player coming of an ELC, it said no player.
Common sense also says if a dude is worth $7M a year he should be able to miss 26 games and not come back looking like a 3rd/4th liner.
Forgot to point out my issue isn't with the "no one" stuff. Those were some cool stats to read.
I don't understand how you expanded on that and applied it to Nylander. Coffey had a Norris trophy before he held out lol.
Then you use a biased opinion to easily bet that Marner will see no drop in production if he went through the same process as Nylander.
If we're going to use your outliers, then Marner isn't even close himself to being Bure or Coffey yet. He's still developing too. If he was ready for that status he wouldn't have disappeared against Bergeron and Marchand in the playoffs. So I'm not sure where you get the confidence to make this bet from besides strong bias towards Marner and strong bias against Nylander.
Not only that your bet would have to include Marner playing on the third line for a good portion plus no PP1. You still making that bet?
I have Marner's poster hanging on my wall and I'm still not taking that bet. If he gets to go back with Tavares and is given his PP1 spot back then okay.
However keep in mind that works against downgrading Nylander because all the examples you use, those players went back to full usage with all the best perks such as PP1, linemates etc.
Outliers and bias aren't really the best ingredients to be taken seriously.
