When people say contender. Are they talking cup or PO's?
It doesn't take much for be a PO contender, top 18ish teams (is 16 teams +9th in each conf. a fair estimate? ) . The Jets are already there, again in a 32 team league just hover around 50%, doesn't take much.
Cup contender... Really I think there's 4-5 cup contenders each year based on a mix of reg season and recent PO success.
Does trotz put us in the second group? Are we handedly usurping COL, STL, MIN, NSH in the central for instance? Then consider healthy Vegas, or Calgary. Still lots of offseason left ofc.