He will never live up to the hype simply because he is to tiny....I wouldn't say he will be a bust...i have him down for 35-40 points....but the Flames fan base are way absurd in pumping him up.
His problem will forever be his lack of size...yes he can some neat tricks out there and dipsy doodle but he will never be remotely be close to some superstar that Flame fans have made him out to be....
If, and this is a big if, he can stand the rigors of the NHL style playing against big men, I could see him as a decent 2nd line player...in the 50-55 point range....but I simply cannot see him lasting with his size...
Again, once he starts getting plastered on a regular basis, I find it hard to believe his system will allow him to ever continue at a high level....simple physics really....
This is more or less what most Flames' fans are 'expecting', however. Sure, there may be one or two outliers, but from most of the Fans it is "Anywhere between 35-45 points, with the potential to do better, and maybe worse." Some fans think that if everything goes right, he can hit 50-55pts. Of course you are going to get some of the posters who hop on any hype train and proclaim a ppg rookie campaign, but once again, those are outliers, and I think there have been very few.
There is a lot of tongue-in-cheek hyperbole in this thread by many people, and there is definitely a lot of hype around this kid - most of it external as Burke and Treliving have been quick to lower everyone's expectations.
As for myself, the thing I am most impressed with is his defensive game. Following him in BC I knew this kid was fairly relentless after the puck, but always saw Arnold play a 'safer' game that allowed for Gaudreau (and Hayes) to play offence a bit more. Didn't expect this kid to be backchecking so hard and so regularly like I have seen him. A few big mistakes for sure (definitely shows at times he is a rookie), but he seems to know where to go on the in all 3 zones most of the time.