GDT: Leafs vs Jets

[kb]

Slump = 3-0-1?

OK

 

[Wafflewhipper]

Glass is always half-empty eh? Must be exhausting to always live with some imaginary worst case scenario.

Nothing imaginary about the division lead thats gone is there. Ahhh it’s the goalies failt,ahhh matthews wrist has a booboo,ahhhh we are this that and the other letters/ numbers leading on adv stats. We are just through a .500 winning % month of March because they played injured goalies. The goalies will play when the Doctor says they can. Unfortunately the next game they are out for maintenance. Thats not a built in excuse for losing like you like to cozy up to.
Management knew the goalies were both injured is concerning and done nothing. Now Freddy is seeing a specialist for a second appointment. Probably planning surgery. Jack has a bum leg that lasts a game. Keep blaming the save % of a injured goalie if thats what keeps you tickity boo.
Top two goalies being run out injured is not a imaginary worst case scenario. Its a real happening worst case scenario. Reality not one of your best attributes or waaaaaa

 

[FlareKnight]

Well hopefully we are ready to go. Have been playing better the last while overall. But wouldn't hurt to keep that going since this is very much a battle for first in the division.

 

[crump]

PP needs to be better. I am glad to see them loading up the first unit again. Interesting that Simmonds is on neither unless Tavares was just a placeholder for him on the second.

 

[Wafflewhipper]

Glass is always half-empty eh? Must be exhausting to always live with some imaginary worst case scenario.

You and Zeke fancy stats listen to Ferraro and company in this if you think this is all negative. And zeke your sv% stats are trumped by this. You enjoy now Frederik Andersen in Toronto for appointment on lower-body injury - TSN.ca
Click the video link where Ferraro chimes in about goaltending and injuries and playoffs.

 

[Gallagbi]

People might be surprised how high muzzin ranks in even strength dman offense since he came to he leafs. I'd say he should be on the #2 pp for sure.

Speed is what scares me there, Gally's skating isn't bad but I don't want any of him, Spezza or Muzzin in a foot race after a shot block or high turnover.

 

[leaffaninvancouver]

Slump = 3-0-1?

OK

The expectations some people have is completely insane. It’s like they forget the other teams are also trying to win.

 

[zeke]

Speed is what scares me there, Gally's skating isn't bad but I don't want any of him, Spezza or Muzzin in a foot race after a shot block or high turnover.

Yeah that's likely what Keefe is thinking. Also the skating part of zone entries too.

 

[Iapyi]

We do not need to panic. We've been generating scoring chances. We can not abandon the overall team defense game that is the only way to win in this league.

 

[Gallagbi]

Yeah that's likely what Keefe is thinking. Also the skating part of zone entries too.

Those and puck retrievals IMO.

 

[egd27]

Yeah, thank goodness for that elite 5 game sample size amongst two calendar years of below average goaltending.

He's turned into Martin Jones without the playoff success. Lucky us!

So salty

 

[egd27]

This is actually a pretty good recent article about rush chances: Which Teams are Relying on the Rush?

The Leafs are pretty good at limiting rush chances in general. There isn’t anything specific about odd man rushes, but if we were allowing too many odd man rushes against, you’d think our %of rush goals against would be much worse than it is.


I posted above about the net front thing. We actually don’t allow very many shots from the slot are are better than league average (while playing in an offence heavy division).


Is there any evidence our defensmen deflect pucks into their own net at a higher rate than normal?

Boxing out is less about limiting shots from the slots and more about limiting screens and deflections.

I have no idea if the amount of times our defensemen deflect pucks into their own net is at a higher rate than normal (whatever "normal" is) I would just like them to do it less as per your original question.

 

[baton elevated]

-give up fewer odd man rushes
-improve on boxing out players in front our net
-stop deflecting pucks into out own net

Don't forget not screening the goalie so much.

 

[egd27]

1 for 21 on PP needs to change.

Would certainly help make it so every goal against wasn't life and death.

 

[Gallagbi]

Boxing out is less about limiting shots from the slots and more about limiting screens and deflections.

I have no idea if the amount of times our defensemen deflect pucks into their own net is at a higher rate than normal (whatever "normal" is) I would just like them to do it less as per your original question.

I'd be just as interested in overall deflections as the # that end up in our net so we could see how our goalies measure up

 

[shaner8989]

Power Play

8.25 expected goals for per 60 (#1)
9.80 goals for per 60 (#3)

Penalty Kill

5.47 expected goals against per 60 (#5)
.820 save percentage (#30)
8.22 goals against per 60 (#21)

with Campbell:

2.41 goals against per 60 (#1)
.941 save percentage (#1)

with Hutchinson:

7.26 goals against per 60 (#16)
.857 save percentage (#17)

with Andersen:

9.80 goals against per 60 (#29)
.786 save percentage (#31)

Basically back to my first point.. Goaltending sucks minus 6 games from Campbell

 

[egd27]

Don't forget not screening the goalie so much.

#2 should take care of that.....yes

 

[Zybalto]

Basically back to my first point.. Goaltending sucks minus 6 games from Campbell

Campbell/Hutch combined, the PK is still top ten and close to the expected ranking.

It's pretty much all Andersen on the PK.

 

[Man Bear Pig]

If the Jets win, it's their SC and all because of Hellebuyck. I'm loving the saltiness of the North division fanbases.

 

[Gallagbi]

Campbell/Hutch combined, the PK is still top ten and close to the expected ranking.

It's pretty much all Andersen on the PK.

Any idea how much of that was specifically in March? I haven't been able to find a good breakdown of the specifics outside general Sv%

 

[CanadasTeam]

I was too slow lol, this pregame turned into one...

I was about to post this GDT:

Notes from pregame thread:




​

• Jack Campbell in net tonight​

• Freddy has pending medical exam tomorrow, did not travel with team​

• Freddy may or may not join team, TBD based on EXAM result​

LET'S GO​

 

[Rondo Hatton]

Would be nice if Winnipeg's goaltending isn't All World when playing us. Getting annoyed with every goalie we're seeing this month turns in career performance only to shit the bed the next game.

 

[Zybalto]

Any idea how much of that was specifically in March? I haven't been able to find a good breakdown of the specifics outside general Sv%

On my phone so not much time here but:

In March on the PK,

Campbell/Hutch = over .900 on the PK

Andersen = .720

 

[Gallagbi]

On my phone so not much time here but:

In March on the PK,

Campbell/Hutch = over .900 on the PK

Andersen = .720

Phone has been my limiting factor, I'm going to see what I can find for pre-March. Thanks

 

[Man Bear Pig]

Good to see Galchenyuk on the PP. His best skill is his shot, it doesnt make sense to have him on this team if he doesnt at least see PP time on the 2nd unit.