The supposed intimidation factor with Reaves hasn't mattered as much as the Leafs may have hoped when the acquired him.
theathletic.com
The Leafs have been outscored 6-0 with Reaves on the ice this season. Opponents have controlled 64 percent of the expected goals. Reaves has yet to register a point and has landed only four shots on goal with six attempts.
Fourth lines featuring Reaves have been sinkholes for the Leafs, units where possession has gone to die.
The first incarnation, which saw David Kämpf centering Reaves and speedster Noah Gregor, was disastrous: The Leafs were out-chanced 16-7, outscored 3-0, and emerged with a shocking 27 percent of the expected goals, per Evolving Hockey.
Kämpf-led lines had been good at digging their way out of defensive zone quicksand. Head coach Sheldon Keefe couldn’t use the line that way with Reaves on it — which led to Kämpf (!) leading the team in offensive zone faceoffs early on.
After moving Kämpf into the third centre spot, Keefe tried 19-year-old Fraser Minten between Reaves and Gregor briefly (about four minutes) before pivoting to Pontus Holmberg.
The results were poor still as the Leafs won just 32 percent of the expected goals, according to Evolving Hockey.
Fourth lines for the Leafs have served no function to this point. They haven’t generated any offence, or even much offensive zone time for that matter, while getting lit up on defence. Reaves’ lack of speed and skill has been central to those issues.
The Leafs have had to chase the game when he’s out there, not unlike what happened with former Leaf Colton Orr years ago.
And that’s with Keefe doing what he can to protect Reaves: Only Auston Matthews has a higher (slightly) offensive zone faceoff percentage (56.5 percent) among Leaf forwards than Reaves (56.3). And because the Leafs coach has no longer been able to rely on his third and fourth lines for defensive purposes, he’s had to lean on Matthews-led units for more onerous duty there, which has at least factored into that line’s quiet start to the season. (They finally broke out with two goals against the Bruins.)
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When the Leafs signed Reaves, it was tempting to think that his contract wasn’t all that big of a deal — just $1.35 million on the cap. It, however, has already led to the team dumping the more useful Sam Lafferty for flexibility purposes.
The Leafs could have almost had two forwards playing for the NHL minimum — like the recently signed Sam Gagner and Danton Heinen — who brought more value with the money they allocated to Reaves.
This is only the regular season, mind you, not the playoffs when Reaves’ presence in the lineup figures to become even more problematic.