2021-22 Injuries caused poor play (hip).
2020-21 poor season.
2019-20 good regular season, spectacular playoffs with .941 save %, upset Toronto, lost to Tampa.
Why did you exclude 2019-20 in your analysis?
He's had 2 good years, 1 bad year, and 1 bad injured year in the last 4 years. He's the age when most goalies come into their own if they ever do. Forsberg was more risky when the Sens acquired him, and he's been good for 2 seasons now.
Sure, he's a gamble. Most goalies are. There was nobody else better available. The AAV is fine. Like most fans, I'd prefer if it was 3 years, but that's how free agency works, you either overpay AAV or term.
Goalies are hard to predict. Who'd have thought Adin Hill, Samsonov, and Gustavson would be so great last year? Note, don't put words in my mouth and say that I'm saying Korp will follow these guys, I'm not saying that, but I guarantee you're going to want to spin it that way, considering you left out 2019-20.