- May 9, 2014
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Nice post. A couple of thoughts:Doughty, parts of his game are annoying. That's not the issue. King's are at the cap, they are not a contender & can't get out of the first round.
Gavrikov: cut Walker & one of Iafallo, Moore, Arvidsson to fit him.
Lizotte, huge heart & determination to get up & fight back after getting knocked on his butt multiple times a shift. He isn't a 3C & isn't capable of going out against other teams top 6 as we all saw in the playoffs. That fix is 5-10M.
If the King's have a center breakout, it's unlikely they'll be able to defend at a high level right away & they'll still need a shutdown guy for the playoffs.
Cal, doesn't matter because he'll be bought out in a year & that money will be spent on a new goalie. So no change in cap.
After moving Walker & one of Iafallo, Moore, Arvidsson the King's need to cut another 5+ million to get the center depth to compete. Durzi makes 1.7, not enough. Mikey & Roy are 3-4M & losing them weakens their ability to defend.
Forwards,
Byfield, Kopi, Kempe
Moore, Danault, Arvidsson
These lines were working fine. No point in breaking them up, but Arvidsson might be lost anyways.
3rd line, Fiala, Not Lizotte, Vilardi
4th line doesn't matter for cap, just fill with cheap players.
Kopi could be moved to cut cap, but already need to add at center. Kempe, Danault, Fiala nope.
Arvidsson or Moore could be moved in addition to Iafallo & free up enough to bring in a JT Compher type. A PLD, Horvat, Scheifele level center would be a much better fit for Fiala & Vilardi. With Kopi aging, investing now in a top 6 center is a good move.
There's only one piece left. Gavrikov can replace Doughty's shutdown minutes. King's have young puck movers that need ice time. Transition & movement on the PP probably improve.
Doughty is annoying & hasn't done much in the last 9 years. That's not the issue. Doughty can be replaced internally by committee & has a big enough hit to restructure the team.
Blake's other option is to stay the course, keep getting bounced in the first round because he can't fill out the roster while watching Doughty's contract shrink from 4 years as he continues to age. This is the most probable outcome.
Just numbers.
Need a top 9, Top 6 center would be better.
Need Gavrikov or similar D
After cutting two of Arvidsson, Iafallo, Moore, there's only one place left.
That should about cover it.
Edit: Doughty has had 9 years to do something. At this point it's unlikely given the team composition that he is going to be part of another cup run in LA. Might as well face the end of an era & start building for the future.
Yup, now I'm done.
Theres a pretty good chance Byfield starts at 3C, especially as they see his future through the middle. That creates a regular top 9 wing spot that I suspect Kaliyev is favourite for. As you say a winger likely gets moved also for cap reasons and there is a case for Roy (back that in a moment). They need some grit on the wing to replace the vet winger, but one that can play a bit so we are looking at 2M+ for that so that’s not enough cap to free up.
So Roy, given he likely commands a big pay rise after this year and his value has never been higher NOW is the time to trade him. It’s a hard decision but it’s the tough decisions that count. We could have a right side of Doughty, Clarke and Spence and whilst not gritty it’s only Spence that is truly small. even if Clarke has muscle to add. So we need to balance that out on the left, Anderson, Gavrikov and another LD. That’s where I reluctantly trade Björnfot to get some grit and hopefully someone that can play enough minutes to be trusted. Probably someone in the 2M range, maybe 2.5. Remember Roy played his best hockey with Gavrikov, before then he was at times awful and a turnover machine. Hence I sell high because without Gavrikov he will likely slip back anyway. Gavrikov with Clarke (or Spence) is an exciting proposition.
So me, I bring in bottom 6 gritty winger, shutdown LD.
Out: Roy, Arvidsson, Bjornföt, Walker
Durzi 7D (We need someone with experience to play 7D until someone is ready in Ontario).
The problem is that whilst I think it gives a more balance lineup I cannot see that many moves being made unfortunately. My thoughts aren’t just for next season which is why I’d suck up the Clarke/Spence growing pains whilst also acquiring some decent assets/picks on the way.
Fantasy on my part, I’m fully aware.