Luke DeCock: Justin Faulk Speculation

[Nikishin Go Boom]

The data from last year doesn't support that. Worst SH% on the PP by defenders with > 100min. of PP TOI last year:

Leddy: 0% in 232 min.
S. Jones: 0% in 175 min.
DeAnglelo: 0%
Girard: 0%
Sergachev: 0%
Gardiner: 0% in 115 min.
Keith: 0% in 113 min.
Provorov: 0% in 127 min.
Ristolainen: 2.3% in 233 min.
.
.
.
#44 out of 69: Faulk: 9.84% in 241 min.

Other notable guys with a worse SH% than Faulk on the PP: Shattenkirk, Josi, Klefbom, Ellis, Chabot, Byfuglien, Fowler, Krug, Barrie, Butcher, Nurse, Montour, Giordano, Gostisbhere, Subban, E. Karlsson, Seabrook, Hedman, Severson, Werenski, Dunn, Carlson, Letang, Rielly, and Suter. (among others). A guy taking a lot of shots from the point is going to have a poor shooting % because those are more low % shots. But, looking at shots taken and sticking with guys who took a lot of shots (> 40) last year, Faulk's numbers aren't that out of whack.

Ghost: 6.15%
Faulk: 9.84%
Burns: 11.84%
Yandle: 12.73%
Giordano: 5.77%
Josi: 4.0%
OEL: 10.2%
Ristolainen: 2.2%
Theodore: 9.1%
Severson: 6.98%
Krug: 4.76%
Hamilton: 4.76%
Klingberg: 11.9%
Barrie: 5.0%


Don't get me wrong, I don't think Faulk is a PPQB or a stud on the PP, but he can STILL score goals from the point if used in the right way. I can see why a reporter would call him an "Ace" because of his goal scoring.

you are looking at minutes played, I was looking at shots taken

 

[geehaad]

I'm surprised, seeing the struggles others are having, and how nicely the Canes roster is coming together, that people are still clamoring for a Marner or Laine.

 

[Vagrant]

another thing i forgot to mention is that if anaheim is negotiating with faulk at all, that basically lets you know that faulk would green light this deal if the extension looked good. based on the fact that anaheim knows his number and still got far enough with carolina to work out a framework says that there's some mutual interest.

 

[Finlandia WOAT]

Translation: Goddammit Faulk you better not ****ing Whitney us on this

 

[Svechhammer]

Weren't you repeatedly saying Waddell was gone in similar circumstances where the outcome wasn't immediate?

Maybe that's the point

 

[Svechhammer]

Translation: Goddammit Faulk you better not ****ing Whitney us on this

Don't Faulk us on this one, Justin!

 

[Navin R Slavin]

Translation: Goddammit Faulk you better not ****ing Whitney us on this

Fortunately, he can't go full Whitney on us. Even if this isn't the deal, there's a deal out there somewhere.

 

[RibFrabcus]

another thing i forgot to mention is that if anaheim is negotiating with faulk at all, that basically lets you know that faulk would green light this deal if the extension looked good. based on the fact that anaheim knows his number and still got far enough with carolina to work out a framework says that there's some mutual interest.

TSN is pretty much reportingt to be the case. They said this morning that the roadblock is the extension and it seems that all signs point to Faulk greenlighting if an extension is in place.

Edit: words hard

 

[TheReelChuckFletcher]

Licking my chops seeing a possible Nino-Aho-Kase line for at least the next 2 seasons. Please, make this a reality!

 

[Nikishin Go Boom]

Licking my chops seeing a possible Nino-Aho-Kase line for at least the next 2 seasons. Please, make this a reality!

seems like a less physical but higher scoring Ferland. Dont know if he'll be out there from game to game.

 

[MinJaBen]

Fortunately, he can't go full Whitney on us. Even if this isn't the deal, there's a deal out there somewhere.

Maybe, but he can surely block most if not all trades by creating a trade list that has teams with no reasonable options for him or the team. If I were him and his agent making a list (without regard to where I'd like to live) to have the best chance of make the NTC a NMC, I'd list:

Tampa (no cap)
Toronto (no cap)
Nashville (no need)
Washington (division, no cap)
NY Rangers (division, no cap, no need)
NY Islanders (division)
Columbus (division, no need)
Pittsburg (division, no cap)
Buffalo (no need)
Boston (no need, no cap)
Philly (division, no need)
St Louis (no cap, no need)
Calgary (no cap)
Vegas (no cap)
San Jose (no cap, no need)​

Build a realistic trade with one of those teams that has us shedding cap space and getting something meaningful back without getting fleeced.

 

[MinJaBen]

The tears are so salty....

Montreal should trade for Kase

 

[Boom Boom Apathy]

you are looking at minutes played, I was looking at shots taken

No, you just didn't read down to the 2nd half of the post where I posted only the guys with high number of shots. I'll repost it here. It still shows that Faulk's sh% isn't near the lowest.

But, looking at shots taken and sticking with guys who took a lot of shots (> 40) last year, Faulk's numbers aren't that out of whack.

Ghost: 6.15%
Faulk: 9.84%
Burns: 11.84%
Yandle: 12.73%
Giordano: 5.77%
Josi: 4.0%
OEL: 10.2%
Ristolainen: 2.2%
Theodore: 9.1%
Severson: 6.98%
Krug: 4.76%
Hamilton: 4.76%
Klingberg: 11.9%
Barrie: 5.0%

 

[Svechhammer]

Licking my chops seeing a possible Nino-Aho-Kase line for at least the next 2 seasons. Please, make this a reality!

If you go by DailyFaceOff rankings

Nino - Aho - Turbo
Svech - JStaal - Kase
Dzingel - Haula - Necas
McLovin - Wallmark - Martinook

Slavin - Hamilton
Gardiner - Pesce
Fleury - Bean/Priskie/McKeown

Mrazek
Reimer
Ned

Woah, that would be.... woah

And that's just with TVR being out to begin the year. Once he's back, the defense gets even better.

 

[TheReelChuckFletcher]

The tears are so salty....

Montreal should trade for Kase

 

[Finlandia WOAT]

The tears are so salty....

Montreal should trade for Kase

 

[Roboturner913]

I keep reading that Kase is more playmaker than goalscorer and his NHL stats (more goals than assists) aren't necessarily representative of his skillset.

If that's the case he would look nice on Aho's right wing and that lets you split up Aho/Turbo onto separate lines which is preferable IMO

 

[FreshSeabass]

Yeah this makes it sound like its a done deal when Faulk reaches an extension agreement. 6.5m - 7m yikes! Glad its not us.

4. Anaheim and Carolina have a deal in principle, and it is now Justin Faulk’s decision. The Raleigh News & Observer’s Luke DeCock reported Ondrej Kase is part of the return, and he’s someone the Hurricanes tried to acquire last season. The Ducks are on Faulk’s no-trade list, and the two sides are trying to hammer out an extension. Faulk makes $6 million in salary this season, and while he’s not going to reach Jacob Trouba territory, that contract raised the bar for the field. You have to think he’s targeting $6.5 to $7 million. The Ducks appear willing to make the move without any long-term security at this time. At the very least, Faulk has to see the writing on the wall in Carolina. You never know how life will go, but, on paper, it’s not ideal for a player heading into free agency.

 

[Nikishin Go Boom]

No, you just didn't read down to the 2nd half of the post where I posted only the guys with high number of shots. I'll repost it here. It still shows that Faulk's sh% isn't near the lowest.

But, looking at shots taken and sticking with guys who took a lot of shots (> 40) last year, Faulk's numbers aren't that out of whack.

Ghost: 6.15%
Faulk: 9.84%
Burns: 11.84%
Yandle: 12.73%
Giordano: 5.77%
Josi: 4.0%
OEL: 10.2%
Ristolainen: 2.2%
Theodore: 9.1%
Severson: 6.98%
Krug: 4.76%
Hamilton: 4.76%
Klingberg: 11.9%
Barrie: 5.0%

whats funny is he is bottom 10 in the league in high volume shooting on the PP. 9th on the list of 14. LOL. As I go back and look at my numbers my list was coming from overall shots. My bad.

 

[Svechhammer]

I keep reading that Kase is more playmaker than goalscorer and his NHL stats (more goals than assists) aren't necessarily representative of his skillset.

If that's the case he would look nice on Aho's right wing and that lets you split up Aho/Turbo onto separate lines which is preferable IMO

What was the stat that was posted last night? His Goals per 60 mins played over the past few seasons is literally on par with Ovi?

If you're telling me his playmaking ability is better than his goal scoring ability, and his goal scoring ability has been proven to be THAT....

 

[Boom Boom Apathy]

As I go back and look at my numbers my list was coming from overall shots. My bad.

No problem. I was just curious about the data. As I said, I don't think Faulk is any sort of wizard on the PP. He's a shot on the PP and that's it. For some teams, that might be of value, but he's not a PP QB by any means so I think we are in agreement on that.

 

[Wolfpuck]

The tears are so salty....

Montreal should trade for Kase

I used to be relatively indifferent to the Habs, but now I’m enjoying continuously dunking on them.

 

[MinJaBen]

Yeah this makes it sound like its a done deal when Faulk reaches an extension agreement. 6.5m - 7m yikes! Glad its not us.

4. Anaheim and Carolina have a deal in principle, and it is now Justin Faulk’s decision. The Raleigh News & Observer’s Luke DeCock reported Ondrej Kase is part of the return, and he’s someone the Hurricanes tried to acquire last season. The Ducks are on Faulk’s no-trade list, and the two sides are trying to hammer out an extension. Faulk makes $6 million in salary this season, and while he’s not going to reach Jacob Trouba territory, that contract raised the bar for the field. You have to think he’s targeting $6.5 to $7 million. The Ducks appear willing to make the move without any long-term security at this time. At the very least, Faulk has to see the writing on the wall in Carolina. You never know how life will go, but, on paper, it’s not ideal for a player heading into free agency.

Where is that from?

 

[Navin R Slavin]

Maybe, but he can surely block most if not all trades by creating a trade list that has teams with no reasonable options for him or the team. If I were him and his agent making a list (without regard to where I'd like to live) to have the best chance of make the NTC a NMC, I'd list:

Tampa (no cap)
Toronto (no cap)
Nashville (no need)
Washington (division, no cap)
NY Rangers (division, no cap, no need)
NY Islanders (division)
Columbus (division, no need)
Pittsburg (division, no cap)
Buffalo (no need)
Boston (no need, no cap)
Philly (division, no need)
St Louis (no cap, no need)
Calgary (no cap)
Vegas (no cap)
San Jose (no cap, no need)​

Build a realistic trade with one of those teams that has us shedding cap space and getting something meaningful back without getting fleeced.

Good point.

Well, if he's an own rental, that's not the worst thing in the world. But that's clearly what he is.

 

[Finlandia WOAT]

Where is that from?

Friedman's 31 thoughts.