This talk of “4th lines” had me interested. Does Donny Granato deploy a 4th line?
Some notable stats: (these are not necessarily lines but rather clusters of players with similar toi, and ozone starts)
Skinner, Thompson, Tuch
60% Ozone starts, 14:00 ev toi
Olofsson, Cozens, Mittelstadt (not a line)
55-58% ozone starts, 13:00 ev toi
The next four players all all unique in deployment
Krebs
56% Ozone, 12:30 ev toi
Asplund
51% Ozone, 12:30 ev toi
Okposo
44% Ozone, 13:30 ev toi
Girgensons
39% Ozone, 12:30 ev toi
If you look at the guys not returning, they are all pretty unique too. Guys like Hayden, Jankowski, Eakin all are low toi, low ozone starts, but not super similar to each other.
I think the different in starts and ice times among linemates has to do with post special teams line mixing, and situational game management like late facoffa in the d zone or 4 on 4.
That said, the ev toi differences are not severe, and really, it seems Don has guys he likes to deploy in dzone, and guys he likes in ozone. Don also shelters the young guys.
From this, it seems possible that Okposo, Grigensons and ASPLUND will be the “4th line”, get about 13 minutes of ev toi and 60% dzone starts.
Sikinner-Thompson-Tuch continues to be the “1st line” 14:00 ev toi and 60% ozone starts
Then…
Olofsson, Mittelstadt, Quinn
55-58 ozone starts, 12:30 ev toi
Peterka, Krebs, Cozens
58-60 ozone starts, 12:30 ev toi
I’m tempted to put Cozens with VO and Mitts, but I can’t see Granato trusting basically 3 rookies to play 12:00 ev.
The issue is, VO, Mitts, Quinn is going to get absolutely caved in the dzone, so it seems really risky to have not added a line mate for Girgs and KO to keep Asplund up the lineup. Reuniting the LOG line would be perfect, but then you have one of Peterka, Quinn in the AHL or press box.
As the roster is currently constructed, measuring by zone starts, you really have 3 scoring second lines, no two way lines, and 1 checking line. Measuring by toi, you have a 1st line scoring line, a 2nd line 2-way line, and two 3rd line scoring lines. Can’t think of a time either of those roster constructions worked. But it also seems like they are going to try it.