Prospect Info: Ives 2022 Top 100 NHL Draft Rankings (Spring Edition, 2.0)

StevenToddIves

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Any late round overager / double overager that may be interesting
I don't think I've shut up about Logan Morrison, who is barely ranked anywhere and I have ranked #39 overall. This kid was stellar all season long for the Hamilton Bulldogs, and he's been one of the five best forwards in the OHL playoffs. I have no idea why no one is talking about him. Here's my full write-up:

C Logan Morrison, Hamilton OHL
Everyone who follows my draft write-ups knows it is quite rare when I review over-agers. I need to really love a prospect to take the time to fastidiously re-evaluate a player I've probably evaluated previously. Well, you might not be familiar with him, but Logan Morrison is such a prospect. I'm going to take some time to explain the reasons why this criminally unranked player deserves strong consideration for the 2022 NHL Draft, and as early as the 3rd round.

Logan Morrison went undrafted in 2021 after not playing a single game all season due to the OHL shutting down during the pandemic. At the time, he was listed as a 5'11-170 center and probably known more for his play without the puck than with it. I was similarly guilty of overlooking Morrison -- I had not seen him play in over a year, and as he was not a strong consideration for any Canadian tournament teams, he sort of just dropped out of your sphere of attention.

This year, Morrison showed up at 6'0-180. It was clear from the outset of the season that he had a chip on his shoulder about going undrafted, as his skating speed -- which was already a plus -- seemed to improve in explosiveness and he was clearly in the best physical condition of his life. Morrison's added strength has led to a more physical style of play and a far greater acuity in one-on-one battles. Quite simply, instead of sitting home playing video games, this was clearly a kid who took a lost year of development and worked his ass off to become a better hockey player.

The same work ethic Morrison has shown off the ice has translated onto the ice. He is one of the hardest working players in the OHL, and he's a player you notice every time he's on the ice. The compete level isn't his finest intangible, because we need to discuss his hockey IQ. I'm going to make a hot take right here and say Morrison has one of the best hockey IQs in the entire draft -- it's a top 10 pick sort of elite strength. You see this in everything Morrison does. He is perhaps the best takeaway artist of any OHL forward, routinely picking pockets of unaware stickhandlers, baiting passes into lanes he's about to flood, using deception to force opponents to put the puck precisely where he wants it. This carries over to his offensive awareness -- Morrison is an outstanding passer with terrific vision. Though he is not the elite sort of puck skills player to aspire to an NHL 1C role, we're talking about a player with bona fide middle-6 two-way center upside, a kid who can excel on a 1PK and 2PP unit and contribute in all facets of the game.

Ultimately, I really don't care if no one else wants to rank Logan Morrison for the 2022 draft. He's a steal in the 3rd round. Heck, he's a great pick in the 2nd. He came back after a year of inactivity and the crushing let-down of going undrafted and responded with 93 points in 57 games, and is currently on a 100+ point pace. He plays two-ways and he plays hard. He has elite hockey IQ and puck-hawking abilities, combined with near-elite passing skills. He can skate and he can score. He can play all situations, all special teams, and either center or RW. What more can be asked of the kid? He needs to be drafted, he's just an outstanding hockey player and he's the kind of young man you win with.
 

Guadana

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Both @Guttersniped and myself have repeatedly cited RD Noah Warren as the type of player who would be an outstanding pick for the Devils in the 3rd round.

I was just wondering if some of our other prospect analysts have watched Warren and how they would assess his abilities. What say you -- @Guadana @Captain3rdLine @Jason MacIsaac ?
Im not super excited about him. I would not spend early second round pick on him. Late second/early third - easily. Am I Killjoy?
I think big part of his play working against smaller players with questionable skating. I don’t think he can add some spped and starting speed especially. And he should adapt his game. Reason why I can’t say he is safe pick. I think if he will stay the same he could be punished for what he is trying to do.

Im not tellin about offensive side of his game, because I didn’t focuse on them. Because I don’t care. For me defenseman could be drafted even in second round easily, if he can be good defensive defenseman only. If you will say he is good, so it’s ok. If he is not, so be it. For me it’s more important what he is doing with the puck under pressure in defensive zone, how fast he can make decision and how accurate and fast he treats the puck.

I like how he is trying to push on opponents, force them. But I think he is trying to starting to use physical pressure too early. And I think NHL top players will use it against him, will draw penalties or just make two three good steps to cut him out. Like I said he should adapt this part of his game. And mechanics of his board work. This thing will come with experience I believe.

I have worries about how he can play against the cycling. His first step isn’t fast. But it’s only worries. He is a big kid and if he will develop his stick game, he will close a lot of space. Again - he has a visual room to grow. But he is mature kid. And it’s always a question with ceiling of mature kids.

But I did focus on the aspects he should work on. I do really think he absolutely deserve to be picked. He is lanky, big agressive boy, who is trying to use the stick against players, protect the space and trying to be active. His skating is pretty well for his size. If you try to find defenseman in the third round, I don’t think you could ask more, because if defenseman has even better tools, he will be picked earlier.
 

StevenToddIves

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Im not super excited about him. I would not spend early second round pick on him. Late second/early third - easily. Am I Killjoy?
I think big part of his play working against smaller players with questionable skating. I don’t think he can add some spped and starting speed especially. And he should adapt his game. Reason why I can’t say he is safe pick. I think if he will stay the same he could be punished for what he is trying to do.

Im not tellin about offensive side of his game, because I didn’t focuse on them. Because I don’t care. For me defenseman could be drafted even in second round easily, if he can be good defensive defenseman only. If you will say he is good, so it’s ok. If he is not, so be it. For me it’s more important what he is doing with the puck under pressure in defensive zone, how fast he can make decision and how accurate and fast he treats the puck.

I like how he is trying to push on opponents, force them. But I think he is trying to starting to use physical pressure too early. And I think NHL top players will use it against him, will draw penalties or just make two three good steps to cut him out. Like I said he should adapt this part of his game. And mechanics of his board work. This thing will come with experience I believe.

I have worries about how he can play against the cycling. His first step isn’t fast. But it’s only worries. He is a big kid and if he will develop his stick game, he will close a lot of space. Again - he has a visual room to grow. But he is mature kid. And it’s always a question with ceiling of mature kids.

But I did focus on the aspects he should work on. I do really think he absolutely deserve to be picked. He is lanky, big agressive boy, who is trying to use the stick against players, protect the space and trying to be active. His skating is pretty well for his size. If you try to find defenseman in the third round, I don’t think you could ask more, because if defenseman has even better tools, he will be picked earlier.
Yeah, I'm not sure I'd take Warren in the 2nd, especially since I think at least one of Rinzel or Lamoureux will be available at that spot. But I certainly take Warren in the 3rd round, no doubt in my mind.
 

Blackjack

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I wanted to take some time to talk about a Slovakian who is not named Slafkovsky or Nemec.

I felt Adam Sykora was simply outstanding today. His compete level is as high as anyone in the 2022 draft, and he plays with such frenetic energy it seems like he is everywhere at once every shift. The young left winger is skilled and fast and I've gone on the record more than once saying he has top 6 upside, and he just missed the 2023 draft by a matter of days.

This is a player who is worth a pick as early as the 25-30 range for me. I currently have him ranked #35, but for me it's very tight between #30-#40. So, if you're looking for a earthshaking sleeper, here are his consensus rankings:

48 Smaht Scouting
54 Scouching
73 Draft Prospects Hockey
100 FC Hockey
UNRANKED Everyone Else

I think this is a kid who may be available in the 3rd or even 4th round, folks. And Adam Sykora is for real. He's a high floor kid who will, at the very least, be one of the better bottom 6 energy guys in the league. As for his upside? Well he scored more goals in the Slovakian men's league than any other teenager as a 17 year old when the season ended. He'll turn 18 on September 7th.

This is a major potential steal.

Will Scouch absolutely loves this guy and the video is a lot of fun. Now I'm really hoping we draft him. If a fan of a team that once employed John Madden and Blake Coleman can't see the appeal of a player like this I don't know what to say.

I wouldn't be surprised at all if STI is right about his offensive upside. If this were a 2023 draft eligible doing these things in his D-1 there'd be a ton of buzz.

 

StevenToddIves

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Will Scouch absolutely loves this guy and the video is a lot of fun. Now I'm really hoping we draft him. If a fan of a team that once employed John Madden and Blake Coleman can't see the appeal of a player like this I don't know what to say.

I wouldn't be surprised at all if STI is right about his offensive upside. If this were a 2023 draft eligible doing these things in his D-1 there'd be a ton of buzz.


Well, obviously I agree with you. If we're tracking all my Adam Sykora posts since the autumn, I might have written more glowing things about the young Slovakian than anyone. I'm all in on this kid, hook line and sinker.

It's funny, because I have a great deal of respect for Scouch despite often disagreeing with him. Usually, it's because I like players like Sykora far more than Scouch. But the fact that Scouch has also really taken to this young talent I think says volumes about the fiery Slovakian. It's an outstanding video, maybe the best one I've seen from Scouch yet... I was seriously impressed by it.

The problem with drafting Sykora is the obvious conundrum of the Devils using the #2 and #37 picks both on LWs, when they have serious needs at RD and C. I think if you're looking at Sykora in the 3rd round -- which is possible but not likely -- it's a no-brainer. But I refuse to rule him out at #37, simply because I think he has 2nd line upside and because of his advanced defensive game and elite intangibles, Sykora might be just 2 years away from challenging for an NHL role. It's a nice conundrum to have.
 

HughJazz3dg

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Hey Steven, I may have missed it. Any chance you’ve done a report on Beau Jelsma? I see him on your list.

I only ask because he’s the only reason to be proud of Brownsville (small hamlet I’m from.)
 

StevenToddIves

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Hey Steven, I may have missed it. Any chance you’ve done a report on Beau Jelsma? I see him on your list.

I only ask because he’s the only reason to be proud of Brownsville (small hamlet I’m from.)
From April 3:

LW Beau Jelsma, Barrie OHL
Beau Jelsma is the type of player who plays an old-school power forward game with every iota of his ability, except for the fact that he's a bit undersized at 5'10-170. Though this inhibits his ability to impact the game like a big-bodied player of the same style, it also makes him a terrific sleeper for the later rounds of the draft. Especially when we also factor in that Jelsma is a pretty skilled kid who can score, plays a very good two-way game and is an absolute terror on the forecheck.

Jelsma has been mostly overlooked in the draft community, probably not just because he's undersized for his particular style, but also because he lacks a singular, standout tool. It's important to add that this is mitigated by the fact Jelsma also lacks any discernible weakness. Jelsma is a pretty good skater with very good intelligence. He shoots well, knows how to find the soft spots to open himself up for a shot, and shoots the puck well without being any kind of high-end sniper. He's smart, efficient and accurate in the passing game, though lacking high-end creativity or vision. He handles the puck well.

Jelsma is a package of pretty-good tools which all come together under the very shiny ribbon of an outstanding compete level. This kid is all over the ice every shift. He's a forechecking beast, he crashes the crease, he hits everything in sight. He's the first kid back on the back check and works his tail off defensively. He's certainly liked and relied on by his coaching staff, and his energy is infectious for his teammates.

I've seen Jelsma with one inordinately high ranking -- #57 overall by Eliteprospects. Outside of that bureau, I'd say he's seen as a 4th/5th round pick. It's important to note Jelsma is not a line-driver, but it's equally important to note he's a guy you can probably slot up the line-up to energize whatever line he plays on. Though he's more of the mucker when playing with more skilled linemates, this is a kid who can produce, as evidenced by a very impressive 26 goals in 60 OHL games. Beau Jelsma is not a player I would recommend reaching for as early as Eliteprospects suggests, but he's an outstanding, high-floor pick for the 4th round, a player with a high probability of playing an extremely effective role for an NHL bottom 6 with the potential to slot up the line-up in a pinch.
 

Rusty7550

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Well, obviously I agree with you. If we're tracking all my Adam Sykora posts since the autumn, I might have written more glowing things about the young Slovakian than anyone. I'm all in on this kid, hook line and sinker.

It's funny, because I have a great deal of respect for Scouch despite often disagreeing with him. Usually, it's because I like players like Sykora far more than Scouch. But the fact that Scouch has also really taken to this young talent I think says volumes about the fiery Slovakian. It's an outstanding video, maybe the best one I've seen from Scouch yet... I was seriously impressed by it.

The problem with drafting Sykora is the obvious conundrum of the Devils using the #2 and #37 picks both on LWs, when they have serious needs at RD and C. I think if you're looking at Sykora in the 3rd round -- which is possible but not likely -- it's a no-brainer. But I refuse to rule him out at #37, simply because I think he has 2nd line upside and because of his advanced defensive game and elite intangibles, Sykora might be just 2 years away from challenging for an NHL role. It's a nice conundrum to have.
His highlights From Canada and Italy games (number 10). That hit on Lowry was really good, even Cozens was laughing.

 
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StevenToddIves

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His highlights From Canada and Italy games (number 10). That hit on Lowry was really good, even Cozens was laughing.


Well, if nothing else we've succeeded in building our own little Adam Sykora fan club on the Devils draft HFBoards. The kid is just so much fun to watch, and he's a really good player with upside, too.
 

Its Always Sundstrom

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Well, obviously I agree with you. If we're tracking all my Adam Sykora posts since the autumn, I might have written more glowing things about the young Slovakian than anyone. I'm all in on this kid, hook line and sinker.

It's funny, because I have a great deal of respect for Scouch despite often disagreeing with him. Usually, it's because I like players like Sykora far more than Scouch. But the fact that Scouch has also really taken to this young talent I think says volumes about the fiery Slovakian. It's an outstanding video, maybe the best one I've seen from Scouch yet... I was seriously impressed by it.

The problem with drafting Sykora is the obvious conundrum of the Devils using the #2 and #37 picks both on LWs, when they have serious needs at RD and C. I think if you're looking at Sykora in the 3rd round -- which is possible but not likely -- it's a no-brainer. But I refuse to rule him out at #37, simply because I think he has 2nd line upside and because of his advanced defensive game and elite intangibles, Sykora might be just 2 years away from challenging for an NHL role. It's a nice conundrum to have.

I swore you had him pegged as a mid-round pick earlier. Has his stock risen that much recently?
 
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Guttersniped

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I swore you had him pegged as a mid-round pick earlier. Has his stock risen that much recentl?

9BB6C379-51F9-43AA-89F1-7091FC78CBB2.jpeg



Nothing fresher than a meme based on a SNL skit from 1975-77 (I saw these later btw, they are ever so slightly before my time lol).

And I’m not even doing it right, this isn’t a pun based on a malaprop, I’m just being gross.
 

Its Always Sundstrom

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Nothing fresher than a meme based on a SNL skit from 1975-77 (I saw these later btw, they are ever so slightly before my time lol).

And I’m not even doing it right, this isn’t a pun based on a malaprop, I’m just being gross.
And to appreciate this, you came to the right place. Look, even made you a sandwich.
 

StevenToddIves

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I swore you had him pegged as a mid-round pick earlier. Has his stock risen that much recently?
When I first starting writing up Adam Sykora, his highest ranking was #48 and the lion's share of rankings left him completely, whether they had ranked 64 or 100 or whatever. I thought I was being daring just last month when I gave Sykora a ranking at #35 overall.

Now? I think the kid is getting some well-deserved hype. He's looked really good in the World Championships and people are starting to notice his mesmerizing combination of heart and smarts. Sykora is a high-end defensive forward and one of the best forecheckers in the draft. He's also quite skilled, and when we factor in the fact he just missed the 2023 draft by a matter of days, it's really tough to deny he should be taken by the end of the 2nd round.

Here's a clip of a Sykora goal, assisted by Slafkovsky:

 

StevenToddIves

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So, I'm currently enjoying Game 5 of NYR Vs. Carolina -- great first period so far. But I decided to post in this thread because some people may overlook it when I'm inordinately high on a player, as I am this year with guys like Perevalov, Chesley, Kulich, Beck, Koromyslov, Sykora, Schaefer, Morrison or Warren (etc., etc.)

These are some players on Carolina I was inordinately high on in their draft year: Pesce, Jarvis, Necas. Pesce I had just outside the 1st round in 2013 when he went early in the 3rd round. Necas is a guy I had in the top 7 area all year in 2017, and felt he was a steal at #12. Jarvis I had as the top RW in the 2020 draft -- over Jack Quinn and our own Alex Holtz. It's also worth mentioning that I had Svechnikov tied with consensus #1 Rasmus Dahlin at the top of the 2018 draft... which might have some relevance this year, considering how close I have ranked Shane Wright and Juraj Slafkovsky.

The Rangers have a few players I was extremely high on, as well. I may have been one of two draft writers ranking Adam Fox as a 1st round pick when he went #66 overall to Calgary in 2016. A lot of Devils fans may remember how hard I was pushing for the Devils to take K'Andre Miller at #17 overall in 2018. I had K'Andre ranked higher than anyone in the business, as a borderline top 10 pick.

I'm not trying to toot my own horn, as it were. I'm simply stating that -- if I'm really really sticking my neck out for a draft prospect, they're probably worth paying some attention to.

To conclude, I'll make an "All-Underrated" team for the 2022 class:

C Owen Beck
C Logan Morrison
LW Jiri Kulich
RW Alexander Perevalov
W Adam Sykora
LD Arseni Koromyslov
LD Tomas Hamara
RD Noah Warren
RD Artyom Barabosha
G Ivan Zhigalov
 

My3Sons

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So, I'm currently enjoying Game 5 of NYR Vs. Carolina -- great first period so far. But I decided to post in this thread because some people may overlook it when I'm inordinately high on a player, as I am this year with guys like Perevalov, Chesley, Kulich, Beck, Koromyslov, Sykora, Schaefer, Morrison or Warren (etc., etc.)

These are some players on Carolina I was inordinately high on in their draft year: Pesce, Jarvis, Necas. Pesce I had just outside the 1st round in 2013 when he went early in the 3rd round. Necas is a guy I had in the top 7 area all year in 2017, and felt he was a steal at #12. Jarvis I had as the top RW in the 2020 draft -- over Jack Quinn and our own Alex Holtz. It's also worth mentioning that I had Svechnikov tied with consensus #1 Rasmus Dahlin at the top of the 2018 draft... which might have some relevance this year, considering how close I have ranked Shane Wright and Juraj Slafkovsky.

The Rangers have a few players I was extremely high on, as well. I may have been one of two draft writers ranking Adam Fox as a 1st round pick when he went #66 overall to Calgary in 2016. A lot of Devils fans may remember how hard I was pushing for the Devils to take K'Andre Miller at #17 overall in 2018. I had K'Andre ranked higher than anyone in the business, as a borderline top 10 pick.

I'm not trying to toot my own horn, as it were. I'm simply stating that -- if I'm really really sticking my neck out for a draft prospect, they're probably worth paying some attention to.

To conclude, I'll make an "All-Underrated" team for the 2022 class:

C Owen Beck
C Logan Morrison
LW Jiri Kulich
RW Alexander Perevalov
W Adam Sykora
LD Arseni Koromyslov
LD Tomas Hamara
RD Noah Warren
RD Artyom Barabosha
G Ivan Zhigalov
I recall the K'Andre Miller discussion. Props to you for seeing the potential.
 
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StevenToddIves

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I recall the K'Andre Miller discussion. Props to you for seeing the potential.
I'm still a bit sore about that one. Miller was so routinely dismissed by the stat-lemmings, and often falsely compared to players he had nothing in common with like Eric Gelinas(!). There was also a more nefarious element, when people -- even in the hockey writing community -- routinely questioned his hockey IQ despite him, to me, being clearly one of the smartest kids for the 2018 draft.

In the final consensus rankings, Miller was pretty solidly behind multiple inferior defensemen. I think if we re-rank the D from 2018, we'd have something more like this:

1 Dahlin
2 Q. Hughes
3 Bouchard
4 Miller
5 Dobson
6 Romanov
7 Boqvist


Ty Smith is likely in the 8-10 range.
 
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My3Sons

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I'm still a bit sore about that one. Miller was so routinely dismissed by the stat-lemmings, and often falsely compared to players he had nothing in common with like Eric Gelinas(!). There was also a more nefarious element, when people -- even in the hockey writing community -- routinely questioned his hockey IQ despite him, to me, being clearly one of the smartest kids for the 2018 draft.

In the final consensus rankings, Miller was pretty solidly behind multiple inferior defensemen. I think if we re-rank the D from 2018, we'd have something more like this:

1 Dahlin
2 Q. Hughes
3 Bouchard
4 Miller
5 Dobson
6 Romanov
7 Boqvist


Ty Smith is likely in the 8-10 range.
I recall the IQ discussion and if memory serves you specifically compared and contrasted Miller to Bide Wilde. My memory is that you saw Wilde as having iffy IQ and deciding making while Miller really just needed refinement. At they time of thr draft I was surprised they didn’t pick Miller based on your evaluation but I was pacified because you suggested Smith was a solid pick. Smith really did develop well as a junior defender so hopefully there is a bounce back in his future.
 

StevenToddIves

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I recall the IQ discussion and if memory serves you specifically compared and contrasted Miller to Bide Wilde. My memory is that you saw Wilde as having iffy IQ and deciding making while Miller really just needed refinement. At they time of thr draft I was surprised they didn’t pick Miller based on your evaluation but I was pacified because you suggested Smith was a solid pick. Smith really did develop well as a junior defender so hopefully there is a bounce back in his future.
It was a while back, but I seem to recall making the same argument. Miller is an incredibly intelligent kid, and I think we see that in how stratospherically he has improved despite not converting to defense until he was 15.

K'Andre Miller should have been the Devils pick at #17 in the 2018 draft, there was no doubt in my mind in 2018, and there's no doubt in my mind four years later. However, Smith was my #2 ranked D after Miller when we drafted him, and as such I was not too disappointed. Hopefully Smith will bounce back, though I feel it may be for another organization, since I feel Fitzgerald prefers Bahl or Okhotyuk for the 3-LD slot in 2022-23.
 
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evnted

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k'andre miller going to NYR is just so devastating lol. can't claim as much credit as STI on this one as i did ultimately opt for ty smith over him with our pick, but he was such an awesome player to scout and i spent many a days defending him on twitter over guys like bode wilde. i completely agree the IQ concerns were ridiculous, if memory serves me right the kid had only recently switched from F to D so obviously he was gonna have issues, and they were far from fundamental misunderstandings. i still like to see him succeed just...not from an organizational standpoint lol
 

StevenToddIves

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k'andre miller going to NYR is just so devastating lol. can't claim as much credit as STI on this one as i did ultimately opt for ty smith over him with our pick, but he was such an awesome player to scout and i spent many a days defending him on twitter over guys like bode wilde. i completely agree the IQ concerns were ridiculous, if memory serves me right the kid had only recently switched from F to D so obviously he was gonna have issues, and they were far from fundamental misunderstandings. i still like to see him succeed just...not from an organizational standpoint lol
I root for all *my* players to succeed, regardless of what team they're on. I'm a hockey fan first, and a Devils fan second.

It still boggles my mind that people like the two of us had to relentlessly defend K'Andre against criticisms which often bordered on the absurd. I think he's going to keep getting better. I ranked him over Smith because the upside was just so palpably huge. I saw elite level speed, size and athleticism with high-end hockey sense and compete level. Smith was certainly the better player in 2018, but now it's 2022 and K'Andre has already lapped him.

Scouting for the elusive "upside" is a valuable lesson people like us should probably work harder to instill on people who pay too much attention to the numbers and spend not enough time actually watching the players. People who try to dismiss Juraj Slafkovsky as a top 3 -- even top 5 -- pick because of his numbers just sound silly to me. The upside is stratospheric.
 
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Goptor

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I still like Smith and he probably would have been in the top3/4 of that list if it was done this time last year.

Ruff's system is terrible for Smith and I think he'll have a resurgence when Ruff is canned.
 

StevenToddIves

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I still like Smith and he probably would have been in the top3/4 of that list if it was done this time last year.

Ruff's system is terrible for Smith and I think he'll have a resurgence when Ruff is canned.
I don't think there's much chance Smith starts the 2022-23 season on the Devils. There's scarce chance of him beating out Okhotyuk and Bahl in a training camp battle for the 3-LD slot. Fitzgerald has displayed a clear preference for the stronger, more difficult to play against defenders.

I think Smith is traded before the draft, or maybe on draft day to move up into the late 1st round again if a RD like Chesley or Luneau slips into the 20s.
 

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