Prospect Info: Ives 2022 Top 100 NHL Draft Rankings (Spring Edition, 2.0)

StevenToddIves

Registered User
May 18, 2013
11,077
27,989
Brooklyn, NY
Here's my draft profile on Reid Schaefer from back in February:

LW Reid Schaefer, Seattle WHL
I'm just going to come out and say it right away: I want Reid Schaefer on my hockey team. He's gone completely unnoticed by all the independent scouting bureaus and draft writers, but the Bob McKenzie scouting poll sees him as a late 3rd rounder at #79 overall. I'm going to have him ranked higher. Why? Well, we're talking about a 6'3-215 power forward who plays with extreme physicality and possesses the requisite skill to play alongside skilled scorers. If I'm picking anywhere in the 3rd round and I see Reid Schaefer's name on the draft board, this is the guy I'm taking. Hell, I'm drafting this kid anywhere from the mid-2nd round.

Schaefer plays a high-compete game and is features incredible physical strength which he loves to throw around. If you're a defender chasing a puck in the corners with the Spruce Grove native anywhere on the ice, you'd better be looking over your shoulder or you might spend the next few days wondering where the truck was which just ran you over. In net-front battles he is immovable and unstoppable, and he scores a ton of rebounds while creating screens and general havoc which allows his teammates to play up their own offensive acumen. Schaefer creates space for everyone else wearing his teams' jersey, and his coaches concurrently use him as sort of a Swiss army knife, flipping him from line to line according to game situation. Playing a team with a star scorer? Schaefer is a defensive beast on the checking line. Down by a goal late? Schaefer moves up to the top line and his scorers immediately have more room to work with.

Reid Schaefer has 25 goals in 47 games and would have more if he were a staple on the top-line, but he seems to relish his role as the Thunderbirds' jack-of-all-trades. He possesses a great shot, though most of his goals are of a greasier, more interior variety. His one-timer, however, is terrific -- accurate and heavy, making him a nice option for the right circle on the PP. He is an accurate and efficient passer without being a high-vision dazzler. He is a good stickhandler, though like many bigger players his go-to move is to shield the defender with his huge frame and then use his long reach to hold the puck out of their reach.

To me, Schaefer has one area of improvement which can see him become an absolute monster at the NHL level, and that's his skating. Right now, I'd say he skates well for his size and his top speeds are above average. But, much like a young Jamie Benn, if he can gear this up to the next level, his upside professionally may be beyond what anyone is close to realizing. Because he's just a dominant power forward right now in so many aspects, and the addition of a separation gear would just improve the rest of his surrounding game stratospherically.

There's nothing not to like here. I think at the very least, you'll have an intimidating 4th liner who can pop in some offense with his strong shooting and net-front play. But with a few years of development and areas of improvement, I believe the upside here is immense. I watch the NHL this year and see what similar-styled players like Tanner Jeannot and Marcus Foligno are achieving, and I feel Reid Schaefer has the upside to be even better -- sort of a prime era Jamie Benn-lite. There's no guarantee Schaefer will hit these lofty heights, but I still feel he's a terrific pick because I have few doubts he'll at least carve out a power role in an NHL bottom 6.
 

StevenToddIves

Registered User
May 18, 2013
11,077
27,989
Brooklyn, NY
The winning goal for tonight's Seattle 2-1 survival-victory over Portland was scored by another kid I love for the T-Birds, LW/C Jordan Gustafson. I felt he played a marvelous game and his compete and intelligence were notable every shift. His game-winner was a beauty one-timer from just outside the right circle.

Gustafson is a likely 3rd round pick, but I'm even higher on him that that. I have him ranked for the late 2nd round, at #63 overall. Here's his write-up from March:

LW Jordan Gustafson, Seattle WHL
Sometimes a player does not blow you away in any singular respect, but the sum of their tools combined with great intangibles just makes you willing to bet on them. Jordan Gustafson is precisely this type of player. The Alberta native is neither particularly big at 5'11-180, nor is he particularly skilled with any elite tool. But he's a high-intelligence, high compete kid with no weaknesses in his game and as such, he's a very high floor kid with the potential to become a character bottom six forward at the highest levels.

Gustafson has scored 20 goals and 25 assists in 45 games for a very offensively potent Thunderbirds team. He's a decent skater in terms of balance and agility, but can use some extension work to up his top speeds. Gustafson is a pretty good passer and puck handler -- he makes good decisions in these areas, but his physical skill is not quite up to the level of his intelligence. I'd say Gustafson's shot can be described similarly -- good enough to play up, but also in need of improvement. Defensively, Gustafson is adequate but sometimes tries to do too much, and can over-commit trying to pick off a pass or anticipate the play.

Where Gustafson shines is in his offensive savvy and his 200-foot compete. This kid works his tail off for every second of every shift. He routinely beats bigger and stronger opponents in puck battles, and he's the kind of kid who would block a shot with his face if he had to. He's really good at finding the open areas of ice in the offensive zone and creating passing lanes and soft areas for his linemates to pass him the puck. He's willing to crash the crease and he's terrific on the forecheck. He's more of a heart and soul player than anything else, but he's one heck of a heart and soul player.

Jordan Gustafson has some seriously weird discrepancies in his rankings. While I'd say his average ranking is from the late 2nd to the early 4th round, some scouts seem to find him to be a non-prospect while a known name like Craig Button has given him an astounding 1st round ranking at #24 overall. Though Gustafson is an easy player to like and to root for, I can't see justifying him so highly in the 2022 draft. However, this is a kid you really hope lasts until the 4th round or later and you snatch him up there, because his high floor and off-the-charts work ethic meshes nicely with some intriguing goal-scoring ability.
 

Tao Jersey Jones

Registered User
Sep 28, 2003
16,771
7,655
Plainfield, NJ
OK, like @Tao Jersey Jones I just finished watching the Seattle vs. Portland WHL playoff game. And I wanted to talk a bit about a Seattle's Tom Wilson-esque LW Reid Schaefer.

Seattle was in an elimination game, down 3-2 in the best of 7 series. Schaefer got the T-Birds on the board early with an absolute laser beam from between the dots. His 30-goal season was no fluke -- this guy is a near-elite shooter who is as good at scoring off net-scrums as any draft-eligible in the WHL. Schaefer then played a tremendous two way game, had a few more offensive chances and about 6 or 7 hits. The 6'3-215 Schaefer is possibly the most physical forward available in the entire 2022 draft.

With one minute to go in a one-goal elimination game on a veteran team, Schaefer was out on the ice to protect the lead.

The backlash against big/physical players by many draft analysts is the only reason I can think that Reid Schaefer's consensus ranking is probably around the 100-120 range. I have him at #31 overall, and I'm comfortable with him in the early 30s. But I guarantee, some of these "new age" analysts who think that "big & physical" means "dumb and unskilled" will have him ranked 50 spots behind some 5'8 forward who scores less than he does and doesn't bother with defense or puck battles.

Don't be fooled by the lemmings. Reid Schaefer is a heck of a hockey prospect and has sleeper and steal written all over him.
I'm just glad I won't have to remember Cross Hanas from Clay Hanus next season. Insert NJRR Oh My Danoshop.
 

Monsieur Verdoux

Registered User
Dec 6, 2016
2,102
3,349
Finland
Here's my draft profile on Reid Schaefer from back in February:

LW Reid Schaefer, Seattle WHL
I'm just going to come out and say it right away: I want Reid Schaefer on my hockey team. He's gone completely unnoticed by all the independent scouting bureaus and draft writers, but the Bob McKenzie scouting poll sees him as a late 3rd rounder at #79 overall. I'm going to have him ranked higher. Why? Well, we're talking about a 6'3-215 power forward who plays with extreme physicality and possesses the requisite skill to play alongside skilled scorers. If I'm picking anywhere in the 3rd round and I see Reid Schaefer's name on the draft board, this is the guy I'm taking. Hell, I'm drafting this kid anywhere from the mid-2nd round.

Schaefer plays a high-compete game and is features incredible physical strength which he loves to throw around. If you're a defender chasing a puck in the corners with the Spruce Grove native anywhere on the ice, you'd better be looking over your shoulder or you might spend the next few days wondering where the truck was which just ran you over. In net-front battles he is immovable and unstoppable, and he scores a ton of rebounds while creating screens and general havoc which allows his teammates to play up their own offensive acumen. Schaefer creates space for everyone else wearing his teams' jersey, and his coaches concurrently use him as sort of a Swiss army knife, flipping him from line to line according to game situation. Playing a team with a star scorer? Schaefer is a defensive beast on the checking line. Down by a goal late? Schaefer moves up to the top line and his scorers immediately have more room to work with.

Reid Schaefer has 25 goals in 47 games and would have more if he were a staple on the top-line, but he seems to relish his role as the Thunderbirds' jack-of-all-trades. He possesses a great shot, though most of his goals are of a greasier, more interior variety. His one-timer, however, is terrific -- accurate and heavy, making him a nice option for the right circle on the PP. He is an accurate and efficient passer without being a high-vision dazzler. He is a good stickhandler, though like many bigger players his go-to move is to shield the defender with his huge frame and then use his long reach to hold the puck out of their reach.

To me, Schaefer has one area of improvement which can see him become an absolute monster at the NHL level, and that's his skating. Right now, I'd say he skates well for his size and his top speeds are above average. But, much like a young Jamie Benn, if he can gear this up to the next level, his upside professionally may be beyond what anyone is close to realizing. Because he's just a dominant power forward right now in so many aspects, and the addition of a separation gear would just improve the rest of his surrounding game stratospherically.

There's nothing not to like here. I think at the very least, you'll have an intimidating 4th liner who can pop in some offense with his strong shooting and net-front play. But with a few years of development and areas of improvement, I believe the upside here is immense. I watch the NHL this year and see what similar-styled players like Tanner Jeannot and Marcus Foligno are achieving, and I feel Reid Schaefer has the upside to be even better -- sort of a prime era Jamie Benn-lite. There's no guarantee Schaefer will hit these lofty heights, but I still feel he's a terrific pick because I have few doubts he'll at least carve out a power role in an NHL bottom 6.
Unfortunately he isn't a secret anymore.

32. Buffalo Sabres: Reid Schaefer, LW, Seattle-WHL

Schaefer’s been a name trending in NHL circles in the second half. He’s a big, physical winger who provides some offense and finishing touch and I would say has a 50/50 chance to be a first rounder. He would complement a lot of the skilled guys in the Sabres system with a different style of play.

 

StevenToddIves

Registered User
May 18, 2013
11,077
27,989
Brooklyn, NY
Unfortunately he isn't a secret anymore.

32. Buffalo Sabres: Reid Schaefer, LW, Seattle-WHL

Schaefer’s been a name trending in NHL circles in the second half. He’s a big, physical winger who provides some offense and finishing touch and I would say has a 50/50 chance to be a first rounder. He would complement a lot of the skilled guys in the Sabres system with a different style of play.

#youhearditherefirst hahaha
 

StevenToddIves

Registered User
May 18, 2013
11,077
27,989
Brooklyn, NY
Unfortunately he isn't a secret anymore.

32. Buffalo Sabres: Reid Schaefer, LW, Seattle-WHL

Schaefer’s been a name trending in NHL circles in the second half. He’s a big, physical winger who provides some offense and finishing touch and I would say has a 50/50 chance to be a first rounder. He would complement a lot of the skilled guys in the Sabres system with a different style of play.

I have to say, my very favorite thing about draft writing is when I've been writing tons about a sleeper or underrated prospect trying to get them their due credit, and then other people in the draft writing business start picking up on him.

It makes me very happy when I see people giving props to Adam Sykora at the WC and Jiri Kulich at the U-18. But seeing Schaefer in a first round mock by one of the biggest draft writers around? Well, I'm just completely thrilled.

Schaefer is not just a big-hitting big-body, this kid has a first-line-caliber shot/release and a terrific two-way game and hockey IQ. Let's just say I hope he goes high, just not in our division.
 

Monsieur Verdoux

Registered User
Dec 6, 2016
2,102
3,349
Finland
I have to say, my very favorite thing about draft writing is when I've been writing tons about a sleeper or underrated prospect trying to get them their due credit, and then other people in the draft writing business start picking up on him.

It makes me very happy when I see people giving props to Adam Sykora at the WC and Jiri Kulich at the U-18. But seeing Schaefer in a first round mock by one of the biggest draft writers around? Well, I'm just completely thrilled.

Schaefer is not just a big-hitting big-body, this kid has a first-line-caliber shot/release and a terrific two-way game and hockey IQ. Let's just say I hope he goes high, just not in our division.
Yeah, he had also another of your favorites in the first round. I mean Owen Beck was #31 in Pronman's mock draft.

I really liked Sykora's game against Team Canada. He has skill and seems to be a great skater.
 

StevenToddIves

Registered User
May 18, 2013
11,077
27,989
Brooklyn, NY
Yeah, he had also another of your favorites in the first round. I mean Owen Beck was #31 in Pronman's mock draft.

I really liked Sykora's game against Team Canada. He has skill and seems to be a great skater.
Oooh -- I'll have to check out Pronman's mock.

Here's my list of sleepers, which is to say players with a lower consensus ranking, whom I have far higher.

8 RW/LW Perevalov
20 C/LW Kulich
23 C Beck
29 LD Koromyslov
30 RD Rinzel
31 LW Schaefer

35 LW/RW Sykora
37 LW Neuchev
39 C Morrison
48 LW Dolzhenkov
50 LW Jonsson
51 LW Milne
54 C Kaskimaki
59 LD Hamara
60 LD Livanavage

63 LW/C Gustafson
64 LD Pelevin
67 LD Edward
68 LW Bump
70 LW James
71 RW/C Bourosh
75 C Ali
78 C Ronni
83 LW Bell
87 LW Konyen
92 C/LW Petrovsky
93 C Arnsby

I'll be writing up some "super sleepers" for the very late rounds before the draft.
 

StevenToddIves

Registered User
May 18, 2013
11,077
27,989
Brooklyn, NY
Aside from our top pick, the player I want most is Ryan Chesley solely based on everything STI has written about him and the under the radar vibe he has ala Sanderson and Faber.
I can't say enough about Chesley. But I think he goes top 15. At 14/15 Winnipeg and Vancouver are both pretty needy at RD, and we can go so far to say Vancouver is desperate, while Winnipeg loves drafting out of the US-NTDP.
 

Monsieur Verdoux

Registered User
Dec 6, 2016
2,102
3,349
Finland
Oooh -- I'll have to check out Pronman's mock.

Here's my list of sleepers, which is to say players with a lower consensus ranking, whom I have far higher.

8 RW/LW Perevalov
20 C/LW Kulich
23 C Beck
29 LD Koromyslov
30 RD Rinzel
31 LW Schaefer

35 LW/RW Sykora
37 LW Neuchev
39 C Morrison
48 LW Dolzhenkov
50 LW Jonsson
51 LW Milne
54 C Kaskimaki
59 LD Hamara
60 LD Livanavage

63 LW/C Gustafson
64 LD Pelevin
67 LD Edward
68 LW Bump
70 LW James
71 RW/C Bourosh
75 C Ali
78 C Ronni
83 LW Bell
87 LW Konyen
92 C/LW Petrovsky
93 C Arnsby

I'll be writing up some "super sleepers" for the very late rounds before the draft.
Yeah, it's pretty interesting list.

Also Pronman has Rinzel at #30. Surprisingly Chesley wasn't a first round pick in his mock draft.
 

Guttersniped

I like goalies who stop the puck
Sponsor
Dec 20, 2018
22,675
50,599
OK, like @Tao Jersey Jones I just finished watching the Seattle vs. Portland WHL playoff game. And I wanted to talk a bit about a Seattle's Tom Wilson-esque LW Reid Schaefer.

Seattle was in an elimination game, down 3-2 in the best of 7 series. Schaefer got the T-Birds on the board early with an absolute laser beam from between the dots. His 30-goal season was no fluke -- this guy is a near-elite shooter who is as good at scoring off net-scrums as any draft-eligible in the WHL. Schaefer then played a tremendous two way game, had a few more offensive chances and about 6 or 7 hits. The 6'3-215 Schaefer is possibly the most physical forward available in the entire 2022 draft.

With one minute to go in a one-goal elimination game on a veteran team, Schaefer was out on the ice to protect the lead.

The backlash against big/physical players by many draft analysts is the only reason I can think that Reid Schaefer's consensus ranking is probably around the 100-120 range. I have him at #31 overall, and I'm comfortable with him in the early 30s. But I guarantee, some of these "new age" analysts who think that "big & physical" means "dumb and unskilled" will have him ranked 50 spots behind some 5'8 forward who scores less than he does and doesn't bother with defense or puck battles.

Don't be fooled by the lemmings. Reid Schaefer is a heck of a hockey prospect and has sleeper and steal written all over him.
I don’t see a backlash against bigger players at all, the last draft statistically was dominated by bigger dudes as compared to the more recent trend of valuing skill. With a lot of mystery about players due to less playing time and scouting teams simply leaned into size.

Current Canadian Juniors players are paying the price of lost development time. OHL players are getting crushed since they didn’t play at last year but WHL had a 24 game regular season with no playoffs. Schaefer played 12 games last season and had 2 assists so he wasn’t on anyone’s radar coming in. It likely a bunch of CHL kids are getting undervalued.
 
Last edited:

My3Sons

Nobody told me there'd be days like these...
Sponsor
OK, like @Tao Jersey Jones I just finished watching the Seattle vs. Portland WHL playoff game. And I wanted to talk a bit about a Seattle's Tom Wilson-esque LW Reid Schaefer.

Seattle was in an elimination game, down 3-2 in the best of 7 series. Schaefer got the T-Birds on the board early with an absolute laser beam from between the dots. His 30-goal season was no fluke -- this guy is a near-elite shooter who is as good at scoring off net-scrums as any draft-eligible in the WHL. Schaefer then played a tremendous two way game, had a few more offensive chances and about 6 or 7 hits. The 6'3-215 Schaefer is possibly the most physical forward available in the entire 2022 draft.

With one minute to go in a one-goal elimination game on a veteran team, Schaefer was out on the ice to protect the lead.

The backlash against big/physical players by many draft analysts is the only reason I can think that Reid Schaefer's consensus ranking is probably around the 100-120 range. I have him at #31 overall, and I'm comfortable with him in the early 30s. But I guarantee, some of these "new age" analysts who think that "big & physical" means "dumb and unskilled" will have him ranked 50 spots behind some 5'8 forward who scores less than he does and doesn't bother with defense or puck battles.

Don't be fooled by the lemmings. Reid Schaefer is a heck of a hockey prospect and has sleeper and steal written all over him.

He’s another guy that NHL scouts will notice and maybe NJ has to take him in the second round?
 
  • Like
Reactions: nugg

StevenToddIves

Registered User
May 18, 2013
11,077
27,989
Brooklyn, NY
I don’t see a backlash against bigger players at all, the last draft statistically was dominated by bigger dudes as compared to the more recent trend of valuing skill. With a lot of mystery about players due to less playing time and scouting teams simply leaned into size.

Current Canadian Juniors players are paying the price of lost development time. OHL players are getting crushed since they didn’t play at last year but WHL had a 24 game regular season with no playoffs. Schaefer played 12 games last season and had 2 assists so he wasn’t on anyone’s radar coming in. It likely a bunch of CHL kids are getting undervalued.
I'm talking about certain draft writers, not NHL teams, who are *normally* smarter. Ty Nelson has a higher "consolidated ranking" than Ryan Chesley. If an NHL team drafts Nelson over Chesley, they are in big, big trouble.

He’s another guy that NHL scouts will notice and maybe NJ has to take him in the second round?
Yeah, I don't see Schaefer as an option in the 3rd anymore. He's been too good for Seattle in the WHL playoffs.
 

StevenToddIves

Registered User
May 18, 2013
11,077
27,989
Brooklyn, NY
Why no Kyrou in the top 100? Size?
Kyrou is very in need of myriad improvements defensively. I'd probably rank him in the 125-range.

When assessing offensive-minded defensemen, I ask myself a few questions. Because I either need them to be "adequate" defensively or simply sublime offensively in order to benefit their NHL team. There is no bigger anchor for an NHL team than a decent-but-not-great point producer who is constantly giving the other team scoring chances. This would unfortunately describe Ty Smith this year, or Will Butcher the year before.

I feel the only way a defenseman can get away with suspect or spotty defense is if they are an absolute force offensively, which would describe a Quinn Hughes.

Kyrou no Quinn Hughes. He can produce points, but he's also a player opposing forwards are extremely happy to see out on the ice against them. I don't think this compares to a Noah Warren, who has maybe 20-point upside but leaves opponents quaking in their skates every time they look at him.
 

StevenToddIves

Registered User
May 18, 2013
11,077
27,989
Brooklyn, NY
Schaefer hit a shorthanded post but was rewarded with an empty netter as Seattle advances to the Conference Finals to face Kamloops.
Also Schaefer had a pair of assists for a 3-point night in the Game 7 win. I wish I could've watched more intently, but I was flipping between Seattle v Portland and the Colorado v St.Louis game.

Two great semi-finals now in the WHL. Seattle v Kamloops and Edmonton v Winnipeg should both be barn-burners.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Tao Jersey Jones

Tao Jersey Jones

Registered User
Sep 28, 2003
16,771
7,655
Plainfield, NJ
I'm going to be writing up some more players in the coming weeks on the Draft Prospects II thread, let me know if there's anyone you want more detail about.
The WC ends at the end of this month. The Memorial Cup ends at the end of next month.

Who else should we be watching in the CHL who's not in your top 100 thread as the Canadian junior leagues postseasons move on?

edit:

Remaining teams

Q

Shawinigan
Charlottetown
Sherbrooke -Zhigalov
Quebec/Rimouski

Saint John (host)

O

Hamilton
Windsor
North Bay
Flint

W

Winnipeg
Edmonton
Kamloops
Seattle
 
Last edited:

Ad

Upcoming events

Ad

Ad