Post-Game Talk: ITS OVER- Did we make a huge mistake on Pierre-Luc Dubois Thread?

“Would you rather that the Habs trade for Dubois or instead wait and try to sign him when he becomes


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Rapala

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Mar 29, 2013
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Name all the teams with two defencemen better than how he is playing this year. Not the past. Tthis year, please.
What is the point? Matheson playing for nothing with no pressure using a pro-rated formula is irrelevant.
Why don't we revisit this when we are actually playing for something and then see what Mike can do. His defending hasn't exactly been stellar.
 

RationalExpectations

Registered User
May 12, 2019
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Sounds suspicious. Please show the stats prorated to 82 games for all these guys you claim are doing better than Matheson who is pacing 61 points and +12 on a -74 team while facing more often than usual the other team's best forwards.

For example, neither of the two Islanders top D are close to Matheson numbers, but even if you put Dobson on the first pair, no way is Puloch playing at Mike's level THIS YEAR. Mike is the best or at worst 2nd best D on the Islanders.

When the first team I looked at I saw you put a 26 point guy on your list, I stopped doing the rest. Your claim - you back it up, if you please.

I don't think you realize how amaing Matheson is playing.

Everyone says Guhle played well this year, but he is -19 due to the miniutes logged on a bad teaM, AGAINST BETTER THAN AVERAGE OPPOSITION.

Mike is playing MORE minutes against at least as good oppposition, mostly without Caufield and Monahan playing, so the team roster is weak, and he is a PLUS player.

So his defence is not an issue THIS YEAR. His offence is top 14 in the NHL, and with only 1 teammate over 0.67 ppg to pass to or play off of.
It s not only about stats. Matheson is playing in a team with nothing to lose and the results of the said team have not been better with him in the lineup than without him. I am not saying I have not liked what I saw, just that you are limiting the stakes to number of points scored. And I agree he has not been as bad as advertised defensively.

However, Ask anybody if they d prefer play against Pulock Pelech or McAvoy Lindholm or Matheson, they d all say Matheson.
 
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BaseballCoach

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Dec 15, 2006
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It s not only about stats. Matheson is playing in a team with nothing to lose and the results of the said team have not been better with him in the lineup than without him. I am not saying I have not liked what I saw, just that you are limiting the stakes to number of points scored. And I agree he has not been as bad as advertised defensively.

However, Ask anybody if they d prefer play against Pulock Pelech or McAvoy Lindholm or Matheson, they d all say Matheson.
What does "playing with nothing to lose" mean? A guy playing with no pressure and just out to maximize points would be giving up a ton of goals, for example Drouin. Even Suzuki is a big minus.

The reason Matheson is a plus on a very minus team is that he is miles ahead of anyone else at breaking up the cycle and relaunching the attack. He also has the best gap control on the team. The team record with him in the lineup is affected by the absence of Caufield and Monahan, and often Dach. And yet, when he is on the ice, the team is fine. He has to carry either Barron or Kovacevic as well. The Islander D have each other, Matheson has no NHL calibre partners right now other than Edmundson ... never mind, no NHL calibre partners right now.

By the way, do you think I am unaware that Matheson's reputation is at a lower level than his play this year? The "ask other players" line led to people saying they most feared Carey Price against them, even when his save percentage was at .900 and he was having a poor year.

No question about it, and many observers have noted it, I am not in left field, Mike Matheson is playing LIKE A first-pairing defenceman this year.

Yes, I know very well he will need to repeat this level in a full season to get any Norris votes or at least be thought of as a real clear #1 D.

By the way, even with only 46 games played, Matheson's 34 points places him 45th in the league, clearly within the top 64.

So in ppg, Matheson is 16th among D this year, and of the 15 ahead of him, 8 have worse +/- per game and are known to be less than stellar defenders themselves.

That is right, only SEVEN D in the league have more points per game and a better +/- per game:
Makar​
Hughes​
Hamilton​
Fox​
Dunn​
Macavoy​
Theodore​
 
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yianik

Registered User
Jun 30, 2009
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Really?

More or less Danault?

Danault has a career high 53 points this year at 30.

Dubois is still 24 and has a career high 61 points this year.

I'll go with still more room to grow in Dubois' case, but I'll agree it doesn't come close for the F/O advantage for Danault, but Dubois's more of an offensive C ans d abetter goal-scorer (taking away Danault's outlier season from last year in that department).

Reductive reasoning, IMO.
Yeah PLD is a better goal scorer for sure, would have thought his skill set would have netted him more points so far, but hasn't.
Really?

More or less Danault?

Danault has a career high 53 points this year at 30.

Dubois is still 24 and has a career high 61 points this year.

I'll go with still more room to grow in Dubois' case, but I'll agree it doesn't come close for the F/O advantage for Danault, but Dubois's more of an offensive C ans d abetter goal-scorer (taking away Danault's outlier season from last year in that department).

Reductive reasoning, IMO.
Danault got dumped on at the end. Now I didn't like the rumour of him wanting to be guaranteed top 6 role, but his play was very good. Excellent defensively yet able to put up 50 plus points. Sure $5.5M.

PLD may be 34 but he has 6 years in. Yes , much better goal scorer than Danault and better skill certainly, but it does not show in the point totals.

I like PLD and think he could be a real nice add. But right now, on their body of work , point wise yeah, more or less Danault. Better chance of upside for PLD, yes.

As an aside, the childish " reductive reasoning " comment was not needed. Cheers.
 

Ezpz

No mad pls
Apr 16, 2013
15,413
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I'd trade for him cause if he hits ufa I've seen this song and dance of Quebecois leveraging the Habs for a better deal too many times. A big top 6 local guy who would have been the first or second most productive guy on our team this year for 8 years.
 

26Mats

Registered User
Jun 23, 2018
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Why pay more than 8 mil a seaeon for a proven 60 pt C
Well dubois is 24, Suzuki is 23. Dubois is only 1 year older than Suzuki.

Is Suzuki a proven 60 point center that doesn't deserve 8M?

I'd trade for him cause if he hits ufa I've seen this song and dance of Quebecois leveraging the Habs for a better deal too many times. A big top 6 local guy who would have been the first or second most productive guy on our team this year for 8 years.
What would you give up?
 
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Ezpz

No mad pls
Apr 16, 2013
15,413
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Well dubois is 24, Suzuki is 23. Dubois is only 1 year older than Suzuki.

Is Suzuki a proven 60 point center that doesn't deserve 8M?


What would you give up?
About two late firsts worth of value give or take. I would guess Winnipeg aren't strictly looking for futures.
 

Scriptor

Registered User
Jan 1, 2014
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Yeah PLD is a better goal scorer for sure, would have thought his skill set would have netted him more points so far, but hasn't.

Danault got dumped on at the end. Now I didn't like the rumour of him wanting to be guaranteed top 6 role, but his play was very good. Excellent defensively yet able to put up 50 plus points. Sure $5.5M.

PLD may be 34 but he has 6 years in. Yes , much better goal scorer than Danault and better skill certainly, but it does not show in the point totals.

I like PLD and think he could be a real nice add. But right now, on their body of work , point wise yeah, more or less Danault. Better chance of upside for PLD, yes.

As an aside, the childish " reductive reasoning " comment was not needed. Cheers.
I'm a huge fan of Danault, BTW, but I still think you are rounding out the edges for an 8-point difference, in favour of Dubois, with 9 more games played by Danault between the two players, both having career seasons, all to lessen the difference between the two players.

There should easily be 10 point difference in production between Dubois and Danault if Dubois had not been injured (I'm being conservative with 2 more points in 9 games).

If that 10-point difference is nothing, why would it be such a difference if Dubois had 71 points instead of 61 points when evaluating Dubois? It would definitely change the narratve about trading for him or not, you know...

That's what I mean by reductive reasoning. It's not an insult about your reasoning. It just means you are rounding the edges to finish the player's worth relative to the other player.

Fine add Norlinder.

Florida 1st
Dvorak
Norlinder
Sub in Struble or Trudeau for Norlinder, if you,re going that low in value, but I think it would also take a Barron or Harris (although RD is what WIN would want). The D would need to be a blue to play in the NHL, IMO.
 

Wateredgarden

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Oct 10, 2020
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The only way we don't get him at discount is if there are teams ready to take the risk to trade for him even though he will likely not sign with them. But 6'4 physically dominating centers are worth a lot in the eyes of teams who want to go far in the PO.
 
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jaffy27

From Russia wth Pain
Nov 18, 2007
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The only way we don't get him at discount is if there are teams ready to take the risk to trade for him even though he will likely not sign with them. But 6'4 physically dominating centers are worth a lot in the eyes of teams who want to go far in the PO.
Who’s 6’4?
 

YukonCornelius 5thOA

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Sep 6, 2006
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It will be hilarious to read 80+ pages when he signs somewhere else lol.
Totally. It’s kind of a sad thread imo, very presumptuous and cringey. People in here would be livid over a similar thread about a Habs player on another team’s board. But whatever, sad threads abound here anyway. ;)

Who’s 6’4?
Who’s physically dominating?
 

Habs4Life

Registered User
Aug 29, 2003
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Saint John, NB
We have some good bargaining chips and Habs are a small team rigjt now we can afford to trade a player like Sean farrell for Dubois in a package
 

Colezuki

Registered User
Apr 27, 2009
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Toronto
Totally. It’s kind of a sad thread imo, very presumptuous and cringey. People in here would be livid over a similar thread about a Habs player on another team’s board. But whatever, sad threads abound here anyway. ;)


Who’s physically dominating?
I think it would be less cringy but we did basically have this with Petry, it's just that there wasn't smoke around one team specifically just the US teams.
 

Colezuki

Registered User
Apr 27, 2009
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Toronto
Petry said on media he wanted out so did his wife, Dubois agent said he likes Montreal not that he only wants to play here.

Petry was much more different
More that any trade thread that included petry would be viewed the same, I agree it's a different scenario though when comparing
 
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