Blue Jays Discussion: It's a bird, it's a plane, it's Kevin Pillar!

[Woodman19]

Somehow they're only 4.5 games out of a playoff spot. Still a ton of teams to catch, but if they can go 5-2 or 6-1 in this Seattle-Atlanta stretch they'll have mostly dug themselves out of that early hole. Which is astonishing given their injury issues. These games are *massive* though.

I wouldn't say massive, just a good opportunity. Playing .500 keeps pace relatively until we can get healthier.

 

[theaub]

Need to take advantage of the soft schedule until July since its all downhill from there.

 

[MS]

I wouldn't say massive, just a good opportunity. Playing .500 keeps pace relatively until we can get healthier.

This is probably the softest week of the season, when you look at the starting pitching Seattle is throwing out there.

A team in the hole this team has dug absolutely has to clean up in this stretch. Anything worse than 5-2 is a big blow. Even healthier, it's going to be a ton harder to make up ground later in the year.

 

[Bad News Benning]

Somehow they're only 4.5 games out of a playoff spot. Still a ton of teams to catch, but if they can go 5-2 or 6-1 in this Seattle-Atlanta stretch they'll have mostly dug themselves out of that early hole. Which is astonishing given their injury issues. These games are *massive* though.

They basically can't afford any bad stretches the rest of the way. Every ten game stretch has to be .500 or better. Win as many series as possible between now and July and see where they stand.

 

[Bad News Benning]

This is probably the softest week of the season, when you look at the starting pitching Seattle is throwing out there.

A team in the hole this team has dug absolutely has to clean up in this stretch. Anything worse than 5-2 is a big blow. Even healthier, it's going to be a ton harder to make up ground later in the year.

Well I'd say 4-3 is the bench mark.

If you go 4-3 every 7 games between now and the all star break they should be sitting close to .500 which would put them back In contention for the wild card.

 

[Discoverer]

Well I'd say 4-3 is the bench mark.

If you go 4-3 every 7 games between now and the all star break they should be sitting close to .500 which would put them back In contention for the wild card.

Yeah, 4-3 in each 7-game stretch the rest of the way puts them at 87 wins, which at least puts them in the Wild Card conversation.

Given the opponents coming up, you want to see better than that, obviously. But with all the Jays injuries, I think 4-3 counts as "treading water" until some of the regulars get healthy.

 

[metafour]

Haven't really spent much time reviewing the draft prospects this year but I'm a bit surprised they have the jays taking two college players.

Seems like the jays are linked to a lot of the college bats in round 1 so I wonder if they plan to diversify money to some helium high schoolers later in the draft. Would love another Bo Bichette type bat in round 2.

The consensus is that they are going into risk mitigation mode, at least in the first round. I haven't seen anyone mock a HS kid to us.

 

[Eyedea]

Would be nice if Houck falls to us.

 

[dredeye]

Haven't really spent much time reviewing the draft prospects this year but I'm a bit surprised they have the jays taking two college players.

Seems like the jays are linked to a lot of the college bats in round 1 so I wonder if they plan to diversify money to some helium high schoolers later in the draft. Would love another Bo Bichette type bat in round 2.

I think they'd go college route to get some kids that maybe can go through the system quicker. Interesting that their looking bats early though. We're usually so pitching heavy

I'll add that I haven't even checked this years draft class and I'm usually all over it. Just don't have a moment to spare right now

 

[Diamond Joe Quimby]

Wouldn't surprise me if Joe Dunand ended up being drafted by the Jays. Not with their first pick, obviously.

 

[Woodman19]

You take whatever you can get but I hope we take some bats with our firsts.

 

[hoc123]

From what I've seen with BA and MLB mock drafts it seems Blue Jays are likely going college bat 22'nd overall, with Jake Burger and Logan Warmoth being the two players that have been consistently linked with the Jays. 28'th overall seems more up in the air, although it seems BA and MLB are saying it's more likely the Jays will go with another college player (likely a pitcher). Personally if Seth Romero is available 28'th overall I would pick him. He's a top 10 talent, and I would be willing to risk his potential attitude problems for that type of talent (there is also always a chance he smartens up when he gets older).

 

[metafour]

From what I've seen with BA and MLB mock drafts it seems Blue Jays are likely going college bat 22'nd overall, with Jake Burger and Logan Warmoth being the two players that have been consistently linked with the Jays. 28'th overall seems more up in the air, although it seems BA and MLB are saying it's more likely the Jays will go with another college player (likely a pitcher). Personally if Seth Romero is available 28'th overall I would pick him. He's a top 10 talent, and I would be willing to risk his potential attitude problems for that type of talent (there is also always a chance he smartens up when he gets older).

Seth Romero was just kicked off the baseball team; 3rd incident in like a year. I think he's out of the 1st round, but I'd look at him in the 2nd for sure.

Evan White might be the most interesting of the college bats linked to us. Some people think that he can play CF. I really like how he's shown real improvement in both power and strikeouts in all three of his seasons. There's still some physical project left in his body as well.

 

[Canada4Gold]

Random things I noticed browsing fangraphs.

Biagini tops our team in fWAR at 1.0 and is 26th in the majors for pitchers. Pillar tops our hitters at 0.8 fWAR and is 3rd last in WPA at -0.78. Donaldson is 2nd on the team in WPA(behind Biagini) at 0.81 despite only playing 9 games. Osuna is a pretty awful -0.56, must have been those blown saves early in the year.

 

[dredeye]

There are now 7 teams behind the jays in the standings. Problem is that 6 of them are nl teams

 

[hoglund]

Need to take advantage of the soft schedule until July since its all downhill from there.

It's not a soft schedule, they may be playing weak teams, but with no days off. Usually teams get 1 day off/week, the Jays are currently in a 17 consecutive days of games.

 

[Clark4Ever]

Jose showing signs of finally breaking out. Fingers crossed...

 

[ShaneFalco]

 

[ShaneFalco]

 

[Kurtz]

Random things I noticed browsing fangraphs.

Biagini tops our team in fWAR at 1.0 and is 26th in the majors for pitchers. Pillar tops our hitters at 0.8 fWAR and is 3rd last in WPA at -0.78. Donaldson is 2nd on the team in WPA(behind Biagini) at 0.81 despite only playing 9 games. Osuna is a pretty awful -0.56, must have been those blown saves early in the year.

Nearly quarter of the season in.

Smoak, Carrera, Pilar, Goins and Barney are carrying our offence.

Biagini is our top starter.

Sanchez has missed most of the season because our elite training staff does not employ a manicurist.

Everything about this season is making sense.

 

[zeke]

morales says he may play today and all i can think is that i'm not sure how eager i am to yank pearce or carrera out of the lineup for him.

 

[ShaneFalco]

morales says he may play today and all i can think is that i'm not sure how eager i am to yank pearce or carrera out of the lineup for him.

Which sounds funny, but they've both been playing very well

 

[zeke]

i'm not sure it should even sound that funny. morales doesn't project any better than they do.

 

[Territory]

Hey sully, remember when I said I wouldn't get invested?

I lied.

 

[Bad News Benning]

Hey sully, remember when I said I wouldn't get invested?

I lied.