blankall
Registered User
- Jul 4, 2007
- 15,119
- 5,524
There are a handful of hobby boxes available in the $100-$150 CAD range. When you consider inflation, a $100 box now would be the equivalent to a $78 box in 2014.
I suspect a lot of 22-23 stuff will go down further in price. Before the pandemic, there were boxes sitting on shelves for 5-10 years, unsold even at markdowns. Even something like 15-16 OPC Platinum was available for under $200 in quantities from some hobby shops. There was a run on sealed product during the pandemic and everything got cleared out.
People will say that Bedard will bring interest to the hobby, but he won't. He will bring interest to Bedard-year products. Additionally, people who gamble on boxes will move their limited funds away from products that don't have Bedard, to fund purchasing Bedard-year products. Those Bedard-year products are going to be obscenely expensive.
Unless someone breaks out huge like Draisaitl did for 14-15, those sealed products are going to continue to go down in value if there is as much of them on the shelf as it seems like.
No one who is excited about Bedard cards is running to buy a hobby box of Upper Deck extended to chase a Cam Dineen Young Guns.
You can already buy 24 pack retail boxes of 2021/22 Series 1 and 2 for $20 USD. Can't really lose with those prices. Some great rookies in there, like Byfield, Zegras, Caufield, McTavish, Raymond, Seider, Perfetti, Swayman, etc... one of them is bound to break out in 5ish years.