General COVID-19 Talk #2, NHL Phase 2 begins early June Mod Warning post 1

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I ran into an friend's brother a couple weeks ago and shook his hand. I later realized that it was probably my first handshake since this all started 2-3 months before.

I play in rec leagues, and for that alone I'm probably shaking hands, fist bumping, high fiving, or hugging 30+ people per week during normal times.

So yeah, even though I may have still hung out with neighbors or family members periodically throughout all this I can say with absolute confidence that I have come in contact with significantly fewer people because of the quarantine. And that's not considering the Kings games or other sports I'm not attending in close contact with thousands of other fans, or that I haven't been sitting at a bar or a restaurant near other patrons who may be coughing or sneezing without face coverings, or that there's fewer people around the office, or that people are consciously standing farther away from me (and not because of the smell now) etc. etc.

Now that's anecdotal, may be completely different for you, but if I'm one of those few neighbors that you hung out with during quarantine than you too experienced drastically less exposure risk by proxy through me....even if you feel like you didn't come into contact with any fewer people.


Personally I've been basically hanging around my neighborhood for months but that's about it. Still some of my neighbors have construction jobs so they have been at work and in contact with people throughout this entire quarantine, and my kids hang out with their kids all the time. So anyone they're parents have been in contact with then I have too by proxy. That number starts to get incredibly large.

And this is how most people are living, they might not be directly in contact with many people but by proxy they have been. Reality is that throughout this a lot of people have still had to work and be in contact with people and so its tough to really even tell how effective this all has even been.

My parents however have been inside cut off from the world and none of our friends or family will visit them out of fear of passing this onto them. And that's how it should be. They are at risk so they and everyone else they know do what we can to prevent exposure to them.

But are we just extending the window of time that my parents need to be in complete isolation? Is there a possibility that by extending this window of time we have essentially increased their risk of getting it? Or that by keeping them inside for months maybe longer has actually lowered their ability to beat the virus if they get it?

These are very real concerns that I have, and it doesn't take too much thought to understand that it is valid.
 
8 deaths in OC today, 4 were SNF

after the 2 scary days numbers are a little more normal and look even better when you average everything out

6/6- 2 deaths 1 snf = 1
6/7 - 1 death 0 snf =1
6/8-- 0 deaths =0
6/9- 8 deaths 1 snf =7
6/10-13 deaths 6 snf =7
6/11- 4 deaths 2 snf =2
6/12- 8 deaths 4 snf

This is 2.57 non SNF deaths a day , the to 7 days in a row aren't nearly as scary now
 
Should never have shut down if hospitals weren't overcrowded. And the fact that we are still facing major changes for the following school year is not acceptable. We accomplished nothing and now we are supposed to be happy about life maybe returning to normal a year from now?

Problem is, waiting till hospitals are overcrowded to shut down is 2 weeks to late. That is one of the things that makes Covid difficult, the delay between getting it and actually feeling sick. Ultimately we might have never got there? In certain places? They went with models that have proven to be a little (in some cases very) aggressive.

We may never know how bad it could have gotten, without shut downs and masks. Or maybe we will this fall, as I doubt there is an appetite for another large scale shut down.
 
Should never have shut down if hospitals weren't overcrowded. And the fact that we are still facing major changes for the following school year is not acceptable. We accomplished nothing and now we are supposed to be happy about life maybe returning to normal a year from now?
I'm going to disagree here. I'm a critical care RN. We needed the shutdown to build supplies and learn about this. If you get all of us nurses sick, then there is no back up for experience. Also, we were able to take some time to learn about this virus as it played out in NY. We were able to build policies, keep staff safe, get improved outcomes instead of tubing (intubating) someone that would otherwise need it. Also, we're not blasting them full of IV fluids which is the normal 1st response when BP drops and then overloading a compromised heart/kidney when they in fact can't handle it or would be otherwise contraindicated since Pt's are walking out with heart failure now who didn't have it previously. We accomplished a lot in the last few months, it's just not tangible to the every day person. I'm taking COVID patients now and this disease is awful. Our level of PTSD is climbing. Some of my coworkers have gotten sick, some needing ICU level of care. They survived but 3 weeks later can barely climb a flight of stairs and splitting schedules to keep stamina up. Another thing to consider if everyone gets this is that a hospital bill in ICU can easily hit $100k over the course of 12 days. That's a big burden for any family to take on and will likely effect the next generation of kids/stress/bills affording college etc. I've been holed up since this thing became news I go to work, I don't even go out to Peet's Coffee and still won't. I've seen what this thing does and am not at all curious what that would do to me or a member of my family. But to each his/her own. Hope this doesn't come across as unloading on you in particular but I've been pretty much done coming home from work wondering if I'm going to infect a family member. It does drive me crazy to not go out, but heck....I don't see a better option. I never thought I'd see the day that going to Lowes to pick up safety goggles would an "outing".
 
None of the responses to me have dealt with the negative sides of this. And there are many, unemployment, mental health, decimating small businesses, government spending drastically increasing, people not receiving regular health and wellness check ups, increase in domestic abuse, Alcohol and drug abuse, etc...

There is an incredibly long list and the fact that all of this is weighed solely against Coronavirus curve flattening and we can't even be sure that what we have done has for sure worked. Is kind of insane to me. So I just don't find these arguments compelling as they don't even acknowledge the awful downside of what our leadership has done.

And I also know for a fact that there is a great many people not social distancing and it sure seems like we started this process well after it had already been here for months. So how effective has it been anyways. Who really even knows how much of what we did had a positive impact? I can tell you for certain that it has had a massive negative impact. So we should all acknowledge that. And it is the reason very few people have any appetite to do this again.
 
None of the responses to me have dealt with the negative sides of this. And there are many, unemployment, mental health, decimating small businesses, government spending drastically increasing, people not receiving regular health and wellness check ups, increase in domestic abuse, Alcohol and drug abuse, etc...

There is an incredibly long list and the fact that all of this is weighed solely against Coronavirus curve flattening and we can't even be sure that what we have done has for sure worked. Is kind of insane to me. So I just don't find these arguments compelling as they don't even acknowledge the awful downside of what our leadership has done.

And I also know for a fact that there is a great many people not social distancing and it sure seems like we started this process well after it had already been here for months. So how effective has it been anyways. Who really even knows how much of what we did had a positive impact? I can tell you for certain that it has had a massive negative impact. So we should all acknowledge that. And it is the reason very few people have any appetite to do this again.

Between this thread and the previous one there's about 1,200 posts on this topic on this sub forum alone, many of them addressing the negative side. Like just about everyone the internet, you're not here to be convinced, you're here to complain and bang the drum about "your" side, whatever side that may be. That's fine, it's why these places exist, but let's not pretend there's anything new in what you're saying that hasn't been beaten to death that requires some new unique explanation.
 
Between this thread and the previous one there's about 1,200 posts on this topic on this sub forum alone, many of them addressing the negative side. Like just about everyone the internet, you're not here to be convinced, you're here to complain and bang the drum about "your" side, whatever side that may be. That's fine, it's why these places exist, but let's not pretend there's anything new in what you're saying that hasn't been beaten to death that requires some new unique explanation.


 
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This is going to be anecdotal. My cousin and her daughter are health care workers at St. Joe's hospital in Phoenix. They are saying that the increase in hospitalizations in Arizona is at least partially due to people coming into the hospital for another issue, they are tested, and if positive are marked down as a COVID-19 admission even if they are asymptomatic. The hospital makes more money when they treat COVID-19 patients.
 
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None of the responses to me have dealt with the negative sides of this. And there are many, unemployment, mental health, decimating small businesses, government spending drastically increasing, people not receiving regular health and wellness check ups, increase in domestic abuse, Alcohol and drug abuse, etc...

There is an incredibly long list and the fact that all of this is weighed solely against Coronavirus curve flattening and we can't even be sure that what we have done has for sure worked. Is kind of insane to me. So I just don't find these arguments compelling as they don't even acknowledge the awful downside of what our leadership has done.

And I also know for a fact that there is a great many people not social distancing and it sure seems like we started this process well after it had already been here for months. So how effective has it been anyways. Who really even knows how much of what we did had a positive impact? I can tell you for certain that it has had a massive negative impact. So we should all acknowledge that. And it is the reason very few people have any appetite to do this again.

Here is a REAL negative side for you , because who are suppose to wear masks when working in teams, when the techs at our shop got out to do installs and pick up equipment at parts houses were either like alot of people who do not believe this is a thing or are tired of wearing masks or whatever BS reason they didn't we are now about to quarantine upwards of 50 people in our shop because 1 apprentice who didnt social distance went and visited his mom who has tested positive and didn't bother to tell us until he lost sense of smell and taste with unusual headaches and feeling ill while working in a attic we will get results back monday or tuesday the doctor said, so this means is possibility of infecting dozens of fellow workers, clients ,associates at parts houses and all their families to start with all because grown ass men and women can't wear a mask the few minutes they go to storeor walk the hallways or ride in another persons vehicle for a hour or less normally
This will cause high medicals bills for anyone infected, possible long term breathing issues untold anxiety issues , oh and possible death if any are diabetic or asthmatic or older clients.........this is REAL I know people lost their jobs but most are still alive, i know some lost their business but they are still alive and can rebuild this is what americans use to do ,not whine about how they have to wear a mask that could save literally hundreds of lives and no we can't prove what would have happened with out the mqsks and social distancing but it kind of shows here in california when newsome was one of the first to lock it down . i am the defination of republican white male , gun owner,nra supporter , veteran and i have to give credit to our governor and others who saved lives by doing the right thing and it is one of the reason I am switching to independant due to the extreme lack of leadership from our side starting with top WH officials down to the governors who opened up so badly and have caused this rise in deaths is some states, and your right another wave will hit us but the longer we can prevent it hopefully we will have a vaccine or treatment
 
Here is a REAL negative side for you , because who are suppose to wear masks when working in teams, when the techs at our shop got out to do installs and pick up equipment at parts houses were either like alot of people who do not believe this is a thing or are tired of wearing masks or whatever BS reason they didn't we are now about to quarantine upwards of 50 people in our shop because 1 apprentice who didnt social distance went and visited his mom who has tested positive and didn't bother to tell us until he lost sense of smell and taste with unusual headaches and feeling ill while working in a attic we will get results back monday or tuesday the doctor said, so this means is possibility of infecting dozens of fellow workers, clients ,associates at parts houses and all their families to start with all because grown ass men and women can't wear a mask the few minutes they go to storeor walk the hallways or ride in another persons vehicle for a hour or less normally
This will cause high medicals bills for anyone infected, possible long term breathing issues untold anxiety issues , oh and possible death if any are diabetic or asthmatic or older clients.........this is REAL I know people lost their jobs but most are still alive, i know some lost their business but they are still alive and can rebuild this is what americans use to do ,not whine about how they have to wear a mask that could save literally hundreds of lives and no we can't prove what would have happened with out the mqsks and social distancing but it kind of shows here in california when newsome was one of the first to lock it down . i am the defination of republican white male , gun owner,nra supporter , veteran and i have to give credit to our governor and others who saved lives by doing the right thing and it is one of the reason I am switching to independant due to the extreme lack of leadership from our side starting with top WH officials down to the governors who opened up so badly and have caused this rise in deaths is some states, and your right another wave will hit us but the longer we can prevent it hopefully we will have a vaccine or treatment
I think I understand what you’re saying but man... sentences and paragraphs please.
 
None of the responses to me have dealt with the negative sides of this. And there are many, unemployment, mental health, decimating small businesses, government spending drastically increasing, people not receiving regular health and wellness check ups, increase in domestic abuse, Alcohol and drug abuse, etc...

There is an incredibly long list and the fact that all of this is weighed solely against Coronavirus curve flattening and we can't even be sure that what we have done has for sure worked. Is kind of insane to me. So I just don't find these arguments compelling as they don't even acknowledge the awful downside of what our leadership has done.

And I also know for a fact that there is a great many people not social distancing and it sure seems like we started this process well after it had already been here for months. So how effective has it been anyways. Who really even knows how much of what we did had a positive impact? I can tell you for certain that it has had a massive negative impact. So we should all acknowledge that. And it is the reason very few people have any appetite to do this again.

This is MORE than flattening the curve. Again, we had to learn how to take care of these patients without killing staff, obtain PPE, start testing which was at zero. It's not just economy, although that is what the news is selling.

I have zero problem acknowledging the negative impact on our economy, it's the cost of it all, it is absolutely unfortunate. However, who gets to decide what life is worth? If you get all of us critical care folks sick and we can't work, then you have a very decimated critical care team who gives lesser quality care and you have more people die because then you got a bunch of rookies on the job taking care of all the normal heart attacks, GI bleeds, traumas, strokes etc. It takes about 5 years to become a solid critical care RN, doctor is much longer. You don't just replace bodies like a Bolshevekian system where you thrown someone with a licence and IV and tell them to save a life. Titrating drips, managing IV Tubes, this takes years to learn. You can't learn this in a book. On top of that, we needed to get testing in place, staff has gotten exposed because there was no proper testing in the hospital on a fast turn. I get about 12 hours turn around on low suspicion patients and 2 hours on high suspicion patients. We test everyone because you get sicker depending on the size of the viral load you're exposed to. For example, if I end up assisting with an intubation or if I break circuit on a vent and expose staff when turning a Pt, then I will get sicker than the average person on the street who picks up the virus on a gas pump and then picks their nose. The severity is more significant. It's way beyond if you have diabetes are obese etc. That's partially why you get people dying in their 30s and 40s. It's beyond medical history. So essentially if you destroy your health care team, then this really breaks out, then we're all up a river.

You can look at NY and look at CA and see the difference in numbers. I'm in the Bay Area and we were largely lower because we pushed out visitors, got super strict on precautions, we hold drills on codes, get better trained and were able to get prepared via obtaining enough PPE and then learn how to gown up/down (don and doff).

So far I've seen what you've acknowledged on the side of the economy but I have some follow up questions.

1. What do you propose we do if we could go back in time and when you do, please keep in mind that we had a massive shortage of PPE nationwide, no training, no understanding the this is NOT a respiratory virus and more of a systemic virus? Present a plan that balances the economy and health care workers, keeping in mind that if it isn't good. Health Care workers would walk off the job if you don't prioritize their safety. Because a lot of them just quit or retired. Remember that the higher the viral load you're exposed to, the sicker you get so your health care workers are gonna need to be on board.

2. How were we to learn about this disease process in terms of treatment otherwise? Information sharing between countries has not been as productive so we had to learn on our own experience. How would you have sped this up? Slowing things down, gave us a chance to avoid a tsunami of patients so we could study it and devise a plan of care and identify trends. It took months to do and we're trialing better drugs now. How would you have solved for this?

3, What is the value of human life vs the economy? If we're not going to lock down, are you advocating for a herd immunity and just let everyone catch this and why are you qualified to make that decision?

I'm not trying to attack you on this so I hope you don't interpret it that way, I'm just curious to see what an alternative plan would look like. We all get to play arm chair GM here so with hind sight as 20/20 so....
 
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This is going to be anecdotal. My cousin and her daughter are health care workers at St. Joe's hospital in Phoenix. They are saying that the increase in hospitalizations in Arizona is at least partially due to people coming into the hospital for another issue, they are tested, and if positive are marked down as a COVID-19 admission even if they are asymptomatic. The hospital makes more money when they treat COVID-19 patients.
I'm not sure on the cost side of things but it does allow us to maintain precautions in the hospital so the health care workers don't get sick and then I infect all the other patients. It would basically create a cruise ship scenario situation. Not every patient is doom and gloom, but you don't want to be passing this around like gravy at Thanksgiving if you get my drift or kill of a whole family by accident because everyone and their bother came to visit.
 
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To one of @Rusty Batch s points that I think is a good one I found a few links that were outdated and I just didn't have the time to crunch actual #s, but there is something to be said for ICU utilization. We're not in danger in CA with that yet, but it's worth keeping an eye on as places in other states are trending towards full units. And I don't think anyone is at all downplaying the economic, mental health side of this, we've talked about it for literally thousands of posts. It's an impossible balancing act of literal live vs. death vs. economy vs. mental stability vs. societal unrest and much, much more. But @Papa Mocha 15 explained it much, much better than I could, the case for slow-playing the start of this thing.

I keep seeing 'case spike' headline and I'll admit I haven't been watching the numbers as closely but every one I've looked at has been a result of increased testing rather than increased infection rates. I'm more worried about areas where hospitalizations and deaths show an upward slope and it's all been pretty steady.
 
I keep seeing 'case spike' headline and I'll admit I haven't been watching the numbers as closely but every one I've looked at has been a result of increased testing rather than increased infection rates. I'm more worried about areas where hospitalizations and deaths show an upward slope and it's all been pretty steady.

drama sells, baby
 
I'm not sure on the cost side of things but it does allow us to maintain precautions in the hospital so the health care workers don't get sick and then I infect all the other patients. It would basically create a cruise ship scenario situation. Not every patient is doom and gloom, but you don't want to be passing this around like gravy at Thanksgiving if you get my drift or kill of a whole family by accident because everyone and their bother came to visit.
Absolutely, it is wise policy to test everyone pre-admission, or immediately after admission if admission was due to an emergency, since we don't seem to know how easy it is for an asymptomatic person to transmit COVID-19.

I still believe the most vulnerable among us should practice isolation as much as possible.
 
Amazing that they still can't get this SNF s*** right.
It's less of a SNF and more of a filing cabinet for the elderly. The person didn't have the financial well being to live in a decent place and was filed away in wherever the surviving family members can afford. And in some cases it's not what they can afford but a way to pay back their family members for a bad childhood or whatever. My Dad lives in a "luxury" senior residence. He hasn't talked to one daughter in years, he barely goes outside, participates in none of the offered activities, has never been down to the pool/jacuzzi/ gym ares. I've talked to one of his friends that lives there and he told me he hasn't seen his kids in years. My Dad is 1 step away from needing to be placed in SNF and I don't think he will like it one bit.
 
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Between this thread and the previous one there's about 1,200 posts on this topic on this sub forum alone, many of them addressing the negative side. Like just about everyone the internet, you're not here to be convinced, you're here to complain and bang the drum about "your" side, whatever side that may be. That's fine, it's why these places exist, but let's not pretend there's anything new in what you're saying that hasn't been beaten to death that requires some new unique explanation.
Lot of new stuff in what your saying? I haven't been a part of the previous conversations, but this is a coronavirus thread. Which is what I was discussing.
 
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It's less of a SNF and more of a filing cabinet for the elderly. The person didn't have the financial well being to live in a decent place and was filed away in wherever the surviving family members can afford. And in some cases it's not what they can afford but a way to pay back their family members for a bad childhood or whatever. My Dad lives in a "luxury" senior residence. He hasn't talked to one daughter in years, he barely goes outside, participates in none of the offered activities, has never been down to the pool/jacuzzi/ gym ares. I've talked to one of his friends that lives there and he told me he hasn't seen his kids in years. My Dad is 1 step away from needing to be placed in SNF and I don't think he will like it one bit.
My wife's grandmother is the same way. They're spending way too much for someone they all hate and who takes zero advantage of the amenities.
 
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Lot of new stuff in what your saying? I haven't been a part of the previous conversations, but this is a coronavirus thread. Which is what I was discussing.

Rusty, I think the issue came about with this line

None of the responses to me have dealt with the negative sides of this

No offense, but I think a lot of us are just worn out at this point.

I have brought up those very same issues and I agree. However, it is hard to find the balance between the two. What if we weren't? What if schools weren't shut down almost immediately and it ran through them and we saw a huge spike in mortality rates in children? What are the acceptable losses there? It is already tragic enough that parents have lost their children due to this - many never recover from the loss of a child. So with more deaths you have more psych & substance abuse issues. It's a damned if you do damned if you don't situation.
 
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That's fine I haven't participated in this discussion for months and haven't really followed it. So some of you guys that have been discussing it this whole time are probably over it.
 
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