As difficult as this is to deal with, gonna throw some positive energy in here. The Leafs played like complete f***ing shit in game 3. With that being said
1) This team has performed nowhere near the level they are capable of and STILL all 3 losses were extremely close. They were half asleep in game 1 and lost because they shot themselves in the foot. They absolutely dominated game 2 for about 59 minutes, they had a horrible 1 minute collapse and lost the game. They played like complete dog shit in game 3 and STILL went to OT. So even though they played up to like 50% of their potential Florida BARELY squeaked out the wins.
The reason for optimism ? They have played nowhere near their potential and still every game was extremely close. Now imagine this core plays to their potential, the games wouldn't even be close.
2) Comments about this team not being clutch and not showing up when it matters. No team in the Eastern conference could beat Tampa for 3 straight years, you know who did ? Our boys. You know how showed up when they needed it the most in round 1 ? Our top guys. The 4-1 comeback, Matthews led the way. The clutch goals by Rielly, the clutch plays by ROR and the OT goal in game 6 from Captain Johnny. Yes they have not done it this series so far, but they've proven they are capable of doing it, and already did it against a much better Tampa team.
3) We won 3 straight games in a row vs Tampa, no reason why we can't go on a win streak now. Florida won what 6 games in a row in the playoffs ? At some point the odds are gonna balance out, especially with the brand of hockey they play, which is a counter attack opportunistic approach rather than a puck possession approach. If Florida can win 6 playoff games in a row, Toronto is capable of winning 4 playoff games in a row, starts with a strong game 4.
4) The desperation is there, these guys have essentially been thrown to the wolves now. Management/coaching know that this is the final straw, this team will be going all in. The players know that failure now will result in a major overhaul, that should be most important to non other than Mitch Marner. The hometown kid, lifelong Leafs fan who's dream was to play for this team and win with this team. If the playoffs alone weren't enough to give him a kick in the ass, the realization that this can possibly be his last game/series with this team if he doesn't get it done will undoubtedly light a fire under his ass to perform. The depth scoring has been there, the star guys need to perform and they have ever reason now to show up.
5) Looking at the games with a clear head now. Game 1 was 50/50 up for grabs, Florida didn't want it more than us. Our guys just made stupid plays that Florida took advantage of, they didn't necessarily make any great plays, our guys just made bonehead plays. Game 2 was complete domination apart from the first minute of the 2nd, 5 shots off the post and miraculous saves from Bob. Game 3, we played like complete shit and it still went to OT.
These guys are a very beatable team, they're not some juggernaut stomping through the series, they've had some insane puck luck and have just converted at an absurdly high rate where our guys have been stopped at an absurdly high rate. You keep running those numbers and the likelihood that this continues is extremely low.
Game 1 - 4-2
Game 2- 3-2
Game 3 - 3-2 (OT)
With our stars being completely non existent they are BARELY winning. If our guys were scoring 3-4 goals a game and we still kept getting outplayed and lost, it would be a little different. The positive here is, if our guys show up, Florida is very beatable. The desperation and motivation will be there going into game 4.
The odds are stacked against us, but we have played nowhere near our potential and each game was still very close on the scoreboard. If the guys wake up for game 4, we can beat them. 1 game at a time, but with everything that's at stake I see no reason why the boys won't come out fired up. It's gut check time for real and it will only be positivity from this point on.
We either are find out are core guys are capable and can show up and get it done. Or we find out that they're not capable, at which point we move in a direction that will lead to real team success.