And when they first expanded, they put all the expansion teams in one conference and then the winner got creamed when they met an O6 team in the SCF. If Canadian teams are really so uncompetitive, the same thing will happen with a Canadian division.
That's not how the math works out.
This may be why people have trouble understanding it.
It's a subtle numerical effect.
It's not that a Canadian team can't literally ever win a cup. It's that the odds are statistically much less.
You have to beat the odds twice, first to get to the 3rd round, and then you have to beat much steeper odds to win the final.
And it's not just beating the odds twice.
It's that teams have to be constructed to be overcharged in the round 1, teams like the leafs and oilers have to put all of their eggs in one basket, because they don't have enough eggs to go around. Canadian teams crash and burn in the playoffs because they can't afford the depth to go far. It creates the mirage of parity but eventually some AI will spill the beans.
Ironically the Habs were the opposite of this. They had a depth of mid level players that took over in the later rounds. They had the luck of exactly what you'd expect happening.
The leafs lost tavarres and they won. The Jets lost both Demelo(remember they had paper thing D) and Scheifele in game 1.
They got lucky with vegas and hit a brick wall with Tampa.
The reason this is so detrimental to the league, is eventually fans will figure it out, and they'll walk away from the league.
I'd argue we're about to see this in Toronto.
Toronto can win in Baseball/Basketball/Football/Soccer. They've gotten titles in all 4. There's little reason for casual people to support hockey. It's losing cultural momentum and we'll see with the next rogers-bell contract if the networks agree with the analysis.
the Matthews years were the glory years and their highlight was getting to the 2nd round once, and they could follow that up by going on a rebuild.
Canadian teams take forever to rebuild, and their contender ship status is incredibly narrow.
They can't accumulate the depth needed to make it in later rounds.
If I'm the Leafs, cost certainty is a non factor. Random fans? LOL Cost certainty is a factor for low revenue teams taking advantage of the situation. Facts.
It's not just cost certainty it's expense certainty.
The Jets are one of the lowest revenue teams in the league. But they also have one of the richest owners. They can afford the once in a decade surge loading up on free agents.
But they have performance ceiling.